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Lusitania vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 73-100
27-22 20-29 14-23 12-26
Position#12
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#6
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game90.4
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v CD Povoa
15 Nov 2025
LUSI73
CD P88
04 Nov 2023
LUSI73
CD P100
15 Oct 2022
LUSI73
CD P67
02 Apr 2022
LUSI96
CD P70
13 Mar 2022
LUSI71
CD P57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Imortal
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
no box
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
65-99
65
99
-34
no box
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 58
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 58
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 58
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
62avg 58
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
83-107
83
107
-24
75avg 58
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 58
A28/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
16-25
26-21
18-22
18-31
18-26
19-24
19-26
22-19
14-29
11-24
18-27
18-27
27-15
21-28
7-23
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
20-22
22-21
15-28
25-19
23-23
20-27
24-25
16-32
18-17
24-20
12-15
16-23
166.4Avg total
75.2Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.288.2164.4-12.00%
Season at home (2)74.082.5156.5-8.50%
Season away (3)77.792.0169.7-14.30%
Last 10 (10)75.291.2166.4-16.00%
Last 5 (5)79.490.2169.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.787.0162.6-11.321%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
80-46
80
46
+34
no box
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
46-97
46
97
-51
no box
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 70
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 70
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 70
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 70
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 70
H28/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
23-19
11-14
14-14
30-9
21-15
14-10
15-12
16-24
12-20
8-28
10-25
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
162.6Avg total
77.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.290.4172.6-8.220%
Season at home (3)76.791.3168.0-14.70%
Season away (2)90.589.0179.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.485.2162.6-7.830%
Last 5 (5)85.290.6175.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.390.3160.7-20.011%
vs Similar (13)79.275.3154.5+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.675.1155.7+5.457%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
LusitaniaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/10
LPB
82.1Avg total
38.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.879.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.577.7-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.782.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.842.279.9-4.442%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
82.4Avg total
39.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.077.4-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.936.572.4-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.983.1-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.281.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.846.981.7-12.10%-
vs Similar (13)37.036.973.9+0.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.037.778.7+3.357%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.5
50.9%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.8%
33.5%22.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
76.1%
69.3%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.4
54.2%
51.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.0
29.7%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.414.2
63.4%
69.3%14.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
CD Povoa
LLLLWLLLWW
#12
League position
#6
-15.5
Net rating
-8.3
95.1
Offensive rating
102.8
110.5
Defensive rating
111.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
22.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
29.7%
50.3%
Assist %
47.4%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 102.8Defence110.5 · 111.1Shooting49.1% · 50.7%3-point %30.8% · 29.7%Ball care22.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds23.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Lusitania   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
2
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23CD Povoa v Lusitania70-63
15/10/22Lusitania v CD Povoa73-67
18/04/22CD Povoa v Lusitania82-66
02/04/22Lusitania v CD Povoa96-70
13/03/22Lusitania v CD Povoa71-57
05/12/21CD Povoa v Lusitania77-80
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AVitoria70-75
21/10/23ASporting CP83-107
14/10/23AVitoria82-90
07/10/23HOvarense82-85
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
14/05/23HSporting CP73-93
10/05/23ASporting CP65-99
06/05/23ABenfica74-107
29/04/23AImortal77-82
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
10/05/23ABenfica46-97
06/05/23HSangalhos80-46
23/04/23ACAB Madeira74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.274.077.7
Allowed / game88.282.592.0
Point differential-12.0-8.5-14.3
Avg total164.4156.5169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game82.276.790.5
Allowed / game90.491.389.0
Point differential-8.2-14.7+1.5
Avg total172.6168.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%92.573.0+19.5
2 Sporting CP550100%96.482.6+13.8
3 Portimonense440100%76.271.5+4.8
4 Oliveirense54180%76.269.2+7.0
5 Benfica64267%88.869.5+19.3
6 Ovarense63350%79.079.8-0.8
7 Vitoria63350%79.584.2-4.7
8 Galomar62433%78.080.0-2.0
9 CD Povoa51420%82.290.4-8.2
10 Imortal51420%71.683.2-11.6
11 Lusitania5050%76.288.2-12.0
12 Esgueira5050%71.694.2-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2720141273
CD Povoa22292326100
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