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Sao Jose vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 70-73
17-20 15-10 15-17 23-26
Position#10
Record19-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#8
Record20-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Jose v Cearense
02 Nov 2026
SAO 96
CEAR53
04 Feb 2026
SAO 97
CEAR82
31 Mar 2025
SAO 84
CEAR71
21 Apr 2024
SAO 70
CEAR73
27 Oct 2023
SAO 78
CEAR82
27 Oct 2022
SAO 83
CEAR74
30 Jan 2020
SAO 83
CEAR104
17 Oct 2018
SAO 92
CEAR86
14 Jan 2016
SAO 81
CEAR90
12 Feb 2015
SAO 70
CEAR78
21 Dec 2013
SAO 54
CEAR71
04 Apr 2013
SAO 76
CEAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
59-92
59
92
-33
43avg 73
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
64-79
64
79
-15
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
58avg 73
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-85
103
85
+18
106avg 73
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-73
56
73
-17
45avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 73
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
96avg 73
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 73
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-93
64
93
-29
48avg 73
H12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
13-27
13-18
16-22
17-18
15-24
17-11
15-26
20-15
7-16
23-19
17-19
18-21
18-20
20-11
15-17
30-16
14-28
34-24
25-17
12-17
14-20
21-15
9-21
19-19
19-28
24-33
25-17
18-22
19-24
26-19
29-26
23-17
19-15
15-18
15-13
19-29
14-20
19-18
12-26
154.6Avg total
73.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.378.1157.3+1.253%
Season at home (18)79.774.4154.1+5.261%
Season away (18)78.981.7160.6-2.844%
Last 10 (10)73.581.1154.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)74.283.4157.6-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.180.4151.6-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.079.2157.2-1.262%
vs Weaker (10)86.776.5163.2+10.270%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 73
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 73
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 73
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 73
A13/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
157.1Avg total
79.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.977.3156.2+1.656%
Season at home (18)78.674.9153.4+3.767%
Season away (18)79.379.7158.9-0.444%
Last 10 (10)79.178.0157.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)77.679.8157.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.578.8157.4-0.355%
vs Weaker (12)80.575.7156.2+4.858%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Sao JoseCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H12/04
NBB
76.6Avg total
34.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.7+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)36.440.076.4-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.542.176.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.277.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.439.674.0-5.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.539.177.6-0.546%-
vs Weaker (10)41.338.579.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
76.3Avg total
38.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.476.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.636.973.5-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.979.0-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.676.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.474.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.937.673.5-1.736%-
vs Weaker (12)40.536.376.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.8
49.2%
51.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.28.3
58.5%
72.6%8.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
72.6%11.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LWWLLWWLLL
Cearense
WLWLWWWLLW
#10
League position
#8
-11.3
Net rating
+1.0
98.5
Offensive rating
106.7
109.8
Defensive rating
105.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.7%
3-point %
36.6%
68.5%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 106.7Defence109.8 · 105.7Shooting49.2% · 56.0%3-point %32.7% · 36.6%Ball care18.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sao Jose wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
13/02/19Cearense v Sao Jose76-86
17/10/18Sao Jose v Cearense92-86 OT
14/01/16Sao Jose v Cearense81-90
06/11/15Cearense v Sao Jose80-91
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HPaulistano64-93
09/04/24HSao Paulo72-63
03/04/24ABauru92-91
01/04/24AFranca87-97
25/03/24AMinas56-73
22/03/24HBrasilia103-85
20/03/24HCerrado71-69
12/03/24AFlamengo67-69
09/03/24AMogi64-79
05/03/24AVasco59-92
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game79.379.778.9
Allowed / game78.174.481.7
Point differential+1.2+5.2-2.8
Avg total157.3154.1160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game78.978.679.3
Allowed / game77.374.979.7
Point differential+1.6+3.7-0.4
Avg total156.2153.4158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%39%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %14%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3732586%85.273.4+11.8
2 Franca3732586%88.176.4+11.7
3 Minas3729878%86.073.8+12.2
4 Bauru37251268%82.278.8+3.5
5 Vasco37251268%75.472.6+2.7
6 Paulistano37231462%75.970.2+5.6
7 Unifacisa37231462%84.780.0+4.6
8 Cearense36201656%78.977.3+1.6
9 Sao Jose36191753%79.378.1+1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista37191851%81.280.1+1.2
11 Sao Paulo37191851%79.079.5-0.5
12 Pato37172046%78.179.7-1.6
13 Pinheiros37152241%73.877.2-3.4
14 Mogi37102727%73.479.3-5.9
15 Botafogo37102727%79.588.3-8.7
16 Uniao Corinthians37102727%74.783.9-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose1715152370
Cearense2010172673
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