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Cearense vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-66
20-15 20-14 27-19 23-18
Position#8
Record21-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#10
Record19-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Sao Jose
18 Nov 2025
CEAR77
SAO 86
09 Dec 2024
CEAR55
SAO 75
27 Apr 2024
CEAR90
SAO 66
22 Jan 2024
CEAR99
SAO 95
16 Jan 2023
CEAR71
SAO 90
14 Nov 2019
CEAR77
SAO 81
13 Feb 2019
CEAR76
SAO 86
06 Nov 2015
CEAR80
SAO 91
27 Nov 2014
CEAR70
SAO 76
08 Mar 2014
CEAR74
SAO 64
24 Jan 2013
CEAR73
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 73
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 73
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 73
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 73
A21/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
20-17
10-15
17-15
26-23
155.5Avg total
77.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.877.1155.8+1.757%
Season at home (18)78.674.9153.4+3.767%
Season away (19)78.979.2158.1-0.247%
Last 10 (10)77.478.1155.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)73.676.8150.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.179.3157.4-1.255%
vs Weaker (12)80.575.7156.2+4.858%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
64-79
64
79
-15
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
58avg 73
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-85
103
85
+18
106avg 73
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-73
56
73
-17
45avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 73
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
96avg 73
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 73
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-93
64
93
-29
48avg 73
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 73
H21/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-24
17-11
15-26
20-15
7-16
23-19
17-19
18-21
18-20
20-11
15-17
30-16
14-28
34-24
25-17
12-17
14-20
21-15
9-21
19-19
19-28
24-33
25-17
18-22
19-24
26-19
29-26
23-17
19-15
15-18
15-13
19-29
14-20
19-18
12-26
17-20
15-10
15-17
23-26
153.8Avg total
74.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.077.9156.9+1.151%
Season at home (19)79.274.4153.5+4.858%
Season away (18)78.981.7160.6-2.844%
Last 10 (10)74.679.2153.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)77.083.4160.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.383.2152.5-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.478.8156.2-1.457%
vs Weaker (10)86.776.5163.2+10.270%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
CearenseSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/04
NBB
75.1Avg total
37.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.476.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.637.473.9-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)38.639.477.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.775.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.469.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.337.873.1-2.527%-
vs Weaker (12)40.536.376.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/04
NBB
74.6Avg total
34.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.977.0-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.037.677.6+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)36.440.076.4-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.974.6-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.840.773.5-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.138.476.5-0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)41.338.579.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.3
57.5%
51.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.8
75.2%
72.6%11.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.38.9
58.2%
72.6%8.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WWLWLWWWLL
Sao Jose
LLWWLLWWLL
#8
League position
#10
-1.8
Net rating
-7.0
104.4
Offensive rating
100.4
106.2
Defensive rating
107.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.6%
3-point %
32.4%
59.0%
Assist %
70.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 100.4Defence106.2 · 107.4Shooting54.7% · 49.8%3-point %33.6% · 32.4%Ball care19.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds22.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Cearense   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cearense wins
5
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Sao Jose v Cearense70-73
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
13/02/19Cearense v Sao Jose76-86
17/10/18Sao Jose v Cearense92-86 OT
14/01/16Sao Jose v Cearense81-90
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASao Jose73-70
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HCearense70-73
12/04/24HPaulistano64-93
09/04/24HSao Paulo72-63
03/04/24ABauru92-91
01/04/24AFranca87-97
25/03/24AMinas56-73
22/03/24HBrasilia103-85
20/03/24HCerrado71-69
12/03/24AFlamengo67-69
09/03/24AMogi64-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %57%67%47%
Points / game78.878.678.9
Allowed / game77.174.979.2
Point differential+1.7+3.7-0.2
Avg total155.8153.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%39%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)57% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %14%11%16%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL51%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %51%58%44%
Points / game79.079.278.9
Allowed / game77.974.481.7
Point differential+1.1+4.8-2.8
Avg total156.9153.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)40% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3833587%88.475.9+12.5
2 Flamengo3833587%85.073.0+12.1
3 Minas3830879%85.973.8+12.1
4 Vasco38261268%75.672.6+3.1
5 Bauru37251268%82.278.8+3.5
6 Paulistano38241463%75.970.2+5.7
7 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
8 Cearense37211657%78.877.1+1.7
9 Sao Jose37191851%79.077.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo39201951%79.980.3-0.4
11 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
12 Pato37172046%78.179.7-1.6
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
15 Botafogo38102826%78.988.0-9.1
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2020272390
Sao Jose1514191866
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