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Cearense vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 86-92
21-16 18-23 21-27 26-26
Position#17
Record6-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record19-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.7
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Minas
27 Dec 2025
CEAR81
MINA99
28 Feb 2025
CEAR86
MINA92
20 Mar 2024
CEAR79
MINA69
08 Apr 2023
CEAR85
MINA94
27 Mar 2022
CEAR75
MINA85
19 Nov 2020
CEAR67
MINA82
12 Dec 2019
CEAR79
MINA82
12 Dec 2018
CEAR70
MINA61
16 Jan 2018
CEAR66
MINA58
15 Nov 2016
CEAR78
MINA71
19 Nov 2015
CEAR64
MINA69
11 Nov 2014
CEAR71
MINA65
12 Dec 2013
CEAR60
MINA71
09 Apr 2013
CEAR88
MINA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 66
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 66
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 66
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 66
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 66
A13/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-22
11-23
25-22
20-14
16-21
17-22
21-19
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
21-20
19-21
17-24
22-19
155.0Avg total
75.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.577.6148.2-7.125%
Season at home (11)67.373.2140.5-5.936%
Season away (13)73.381.4154.7-8.115%
Last 10 (10)75.779.3155.0-3.630%
Last 5 (5)75.678.6154.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.579.1148.5-9.612%
vs Similar (12)73.375.2148.6-1.950%
vs Weaker (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 77
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 77
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 77
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
74avg 77
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
61-58
61
58
+3
55avg 77
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
50avg 77
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
84avg 77
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 77
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 77
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
70-59
70
59
+11
71avg 77
H15/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
23-13
19-21
17-20
20-14
16-24
20-14
25-18
21-10
17-10
18-18
7-15
19-15
13-10
17-15
17-18
14-21
27-20
21-10
18-19
20-15
22-19
19-20
20-21
20-17
13-15
19-30
15-13
16-14
19-13
13-21
18-12
20-13
144.6Avg total
75.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.970.7152.6+11.183%
Season at home (12)82.368.6150.9+13.892%
Season away (11)81.473.1154.5+8.373%
Last 10 (10)75.169.5144.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)72.267.2139.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)78.067.0145.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.070.2152.2+11.788%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
CearenseMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/02
NBB
79.9Avg total
38.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.339.874.2-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.138.671.7-5.429%-
Last 30 away (16)35.440.976.3-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.079.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.441.175.5-6.624%-
vs Similar (12)34.238.772.8-4.517%-
vs Weaker (1)35.033.068.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H15/02
NBB
73.5Avg total
37.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.876.3+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.534.273.6+5.377%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.873.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)40.731.772.3+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.535.876.3+4.768%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
72.7%13.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.8
45.9%
50.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.1
37.8%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.611.0
62.5%
72.7%11.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLWLWLLWLL
Minas
WLWWLWWWLW
#17
League position
#1
-6.1
Net rating
+9.6
103.0
Offensive rating
102.6
109.1
Defensive rating
93.0
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.4%
3-point %
37.8%
60.4%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 102.6Defence109.1 · 93.0Shooting48.9% · 50.5%3-point %32.4% · 37.8%Ball care17.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cearense   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cearense wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Minas v Cearense86-64
20/03/24Cearense v Minas79-69
27/01/24Minas v Cearense73-69
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
19/11/20Cearense v Minas67-82
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AFlamengo79-84
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77
14/12/24APinheiros74-76
12/12/24ACorinthians Paulista83-92
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HPinheiros70-59
13/02/25HCorinthians Paulista63-72
10/02/25HBigua81-77
08/02/25HQuimsa86-64
01/02/25HFlamengo61-64
28/01/25HBrasilia61-58
25/01/25HSao Paulo82-66
22/01/25AMogi79-68
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL25%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %25%36%15%
Points / game70.567.373.3
Allowed / game77.673.281.4
Point differential-7.1-5.9-8.1
Avg total148.2140.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game81.982.381.4
Allowed / game70.768.673.1
Point differential+11.1+13.8+8.3
Avg total152.6150.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2319483%81.970.7+11.1
2 Flamengo2318578%84.273.0+11.2
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2415962%83.078.2+4.9
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru25141156%78.479.0-0.6
7 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
8 Pinheiros25131252%74.874.3+0.6
9 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
10 Unifacisa26131350%75.375.2+0.2
11 Sao Jose26131350%78.578.8-0.3
12 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2691735%81.784.7-3.0
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2461825%70.577.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2118212686
Minas1623272692
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