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Botafogo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 74-83
20-17 17-18 19-21 18-27
Position#18
Record6-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#17
Record5-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game77.2
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Cearense
20 Oct 2025
BOTA80
CEAR84
20 Jan 2025
BOTA74
CEAR83
18 Dec 2023
BOTA90
CEAR86
01 Feb 2020
BOTA86
CEAR72
22 Jan 2019
BOTA78
CEAR69
06 Feb 2018
BOTA70
CEAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 66
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 66
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 66
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 66
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 66
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 66
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 66
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 66
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 66
H16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
162.9Avg total
76.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.880.9153.6-8.129%
Season at home (11)72.481.6154.0-9.327%
Season away (10)73.280.0153.2-6.830%
Last 10 (10)76.086.9162.9-10.920%
Last 5 (5)76.682.6159.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.485.8160.2-11.424%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.269.0146.2+8.275%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
59avg 67
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
41avg 67
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 67
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 67
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 67
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 67
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 67
A18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
13-24
18-21
25-27
18-14
22-19
18-19
18-17
14-16
11-21
18-22
12-16
24-25
23-22
11-23
25-22
20-14
16-21
17-22
21-19
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
152.7Avg total
73.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.077.2147.1-7.224%
Season at home (10)67.872.1139.9-4.340%
Season away (11)71.981.8153.7-9.99%
Last 10 (10)73.579.2152.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)75.276.6151.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.679.3148.9-9.812%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.274.8147.1-2.650%
vs Weaker (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
BotafogoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
78.2Avg total
34.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.478.5-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.242.378.5-6.133%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.578.5-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)34.843.478.2-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.344.279.5-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.230.268.5+8.075%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
78.8Avg total
37.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.339.673.9-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.538.871.3-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.140.576.5-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.178.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.082.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.841.875.6-7.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.638.271.8-4.617%-
vs Weaker (2)42.531.574.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.1
49.2%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
72.7%13.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
72.7%13.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLWLWLLLL
Cearense
LWLLWLLLWL
#18
League position
#17
-13.5
Net rating
-8.5
96.7
Offensive rating
101.5
110.2
Defensive rating
110.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
30.3%
62.6%
Assist %
59.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 101.5Defence110.2 · 110.0Shooting48.7% · 48.9%3-point %32.0% · 30.3%Ball care19.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
3
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Cearense v Botafogo52-77
14/02/24Cearense v Botafogo84-75
18/12/23Botafogo v Cearense90-86
01/02/20Botafogo v Cearense86-72
07/11/19Cearense v Botafogo72-76
22/01/19Botafogo v Cearense78-69
16/11/18Cearense v Botafogo65-54
06/02/18Botafogo v Cearense70-68
01/12/17Cearense v Botafogo61-47
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77
14/12/24APinheiros74-76
12/12/24ACorinthians Paulista83-92
09/12/24HSao Jose55-75
06/12/24HMogi76-69
29/11/24AFranca71-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLWL27%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game72.872.473.2
Allowed / game80.981.680.0
Point differential-8.1-9.3-6.8
Avg total153.6154.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL24%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLWLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%40%9%
Points / game70.067.871.9
Allowed / game77.272.181.8
Point differential-7.2-4.3-9.9
Avg total147.1139.9153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Franca2011955%81.278.7+2.5
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
9 Paulistano20101050%78.275.5+2.7
10 Sao Jose20101050%76.675.3+1.2
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Sao Paulo20101050%78.078.3-0.3
13 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
15 Pato2171433%81.684.8-3.2
16 Botafogo2161529%72.880.9-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul2051525%72.479.0-6.7
18 Cearense2151624%70.077.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2017191874
Cearense1718212783
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