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Cearense vs Rio Claro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-93
20-27 11-20 26-21 15-25
Position#19
Record6-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#15
Record9-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game86.6
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Rio Claro
13 Mar 2026
CEAR72
RIO 93
16 Feb 2023
CEAR75
RIO 99
03 Jan 2022
CEAR20
RIO 0
14 Oct 2019
CEAR87
RIO 90
24 Feb 2016
CEAR64
RIO 67
10 Dec 2014
CEAR68
RIO 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 66
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 66
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 66
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
52avg 66
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 66
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 66
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 66
H11/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
18-25
24-14
11-29
26-22
24-21
15-20
21-19
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
28-25
13-25
22-25
19-22
19-26
18-16
18-28
21-26
20-27
12-19
20-22
24-20
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
156.1Avg total
71.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.987.2163.1-11.320%
Season at home (16)75.184.5159.6-9.425%
Season away (14)76.890.3167.1-13.514%
Last 10 (10)71.984.2156.1-12.320%
Last 5 (5)67.283.6150.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.590.2164.7-15.74%
vs Similar (7)80.477.3157.7+3.171%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 69
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 69
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 69
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
82avg 69
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
91avg 69
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 69
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 69
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
76avg 69
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 69
A10/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
17-24
13-27
22-18
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
18-16
18-13
20-19
23-25
12-26
23-19
24-25
23-7
26-21
25-24
13-13
14-20
22-26
18-17
25-15
20-27
24-18
21-22
17-30
17-25
23-17
14-20
27-19
18-27
26-22
26-18
8-9
17-25
16-28
23-20
24-20
14-14
164.3Avg total
80.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.586.6164.2-9.130%
Season at home (14)85.887.5173.3-1.750%
Season away (16)70.385.9156.2-15.612%
Last 10 (10)80.683.7164.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)82.086.4168.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.488.2161.6-14.717%
vs Similar (9)80.782.0162.7-1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.791.3184.0+1.367%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
CearenseRio Claro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
78.9Avg total
36.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.382.3-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.143.480.6-6.325%-
Last 30 away (14)39.045.484.4-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.278.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.076.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.445.683.0-8.217%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.180.1-0.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/03
NBB
81.7Avg total
40.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.982.4-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.985.9-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)35.543.979.4-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.381.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.146.283.3-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)38.837.776.4+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.2
45.9%
52.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.7
27.1%
32.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.8%15.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.3
52.6%
52.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
72.8%16.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLWLLLLWL
Rio Claro
LWLLLWWWWL
#19
League position
#15
-15.6
Net rating
-2.4
80.2
Offensive rating
91.1
95.8
Defensive rating
93.5
43.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.1%
3-point %
30.0%
63.6%
Assist %
53.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence80.2 · 91.1Defence95.8 · 93.5Shooting43.8% · 49.6%3-point %27.1% · 30.0%Ball care18.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Cearense   ■ Rio Claro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
7
Rio Claro wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Rio Claro v Cearense98-95
16/02/23Cearense v Rio Claro75-99
15/11/22Rio Claro v Cearense57-72
05/04/22Rio Claro v Cearense82-66
03/01/22Cearense v Rio Claro20-0
28/02/20Rio Claro v Cearense86-79
14/10/19Cearense v Rio Claro87-90
24/02/16Cearense v Rio Claro64-67
09/12/15Rio Claro v Cearense68-77
25/02/15Rio Claro v Cearense92-83
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59
09/02/26AMogi76-88
07/02/26ACorinthians Paulista76-96
04/02/26ASao Jose82-97
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71
16/01/26HBotafogo86-82
13/01/26HVasco73-78
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AUnifacisa77-82
06/03/26HVasco77-74
04/03/26HBotafogo82-83
21/02/26ACruzeiro79-95
19/02/26AMinas95-98 OT
16/02/26HFlamengo93-87 OT
05/02/26HUniao Corinthians82-77
03/02/26HCaxias do Sul79-73
20/01/26AOsasco77-75
17/01/26APinheiros65-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWLWL25%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game75.975.176.8
Allowed / game87.284.590.3
Point differential-11.3-9.4-13.5
Avg total163.1159.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %30%50%12%
Points / game77.585.870.3
Allowed / game86.687.585.9
Point differential-9.1-1.7-15.6
Avg total164.2173.3156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %10%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3025583%86.274.6+11.5
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia3022873%82.171.9+10.2
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Bauru31191261%81.077.7+3.3
8 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro30111937%80.085.8-5.8
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo3072323%72.982.8-9.9
18 Cearense3062420%75.987.2-11.3
19 Osasco3042613%75.487.6-12.2
20 Vasco3142713%69.679.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2011261572
Rio Claro2720212593
← all games of the day
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