PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cerrado vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-82
23-19 11-20 20-23 25-20
Position#17
Record8-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#15
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game86.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
60avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 67
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 67
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 67
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 67
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 67
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 67
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 67
A01/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
19-15
20-24
25-23
23-15
15-26
18-23
24-28
15-22
21-13
16-26
23-21
20-24
11-23
25-20
15-17
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
159.4Avg total
78.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.376.4151.7-1.131%
Season at home (12)74.572.8147.2+1.833%
Season away (14)75.979.5155.4-3.629%
Last 10 (10)78.680.8159.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)84.675.8160.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.683.4154.9-11.86%
vs Similar (7)69.976.0145.9-6.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.471.0158.4+16.471%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 65
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 65
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 65
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 65
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
168.8Avg total
78.6Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.686.7164.3-9.221%
Season at home (15)78.985.9164.8-6.927%
Season away (14)76.187.6163.7-11.614%
Last 10 (10)78.690.2168.8-11.60%
Last 5 (5)80.291.6171.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.188.5165.7-11.423%
vs Similar (7)74.982.6157.4-7.70%
vs Weaker (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
CerradoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
76.4Avg total
37.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.236.273.4+0.954%-
Last 30 away (17)36.940.177.0-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.078.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.441.677.0-6.212%-
vs Similar (7)32.637.670.1-5.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.132.077.1+13.1100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
85.2Avg total
40.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.281.6-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.584.4-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.978.9-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.885.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.044.782.7-6.727%-
vs Similar (7)37.639.376.9-1.743%-
vs Weaker (1)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
72.6%12.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.2
47.8%
51.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
72.6%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
WLWWLLLLLL
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#15
-3.8
Net rating
-19.3
105.2
Offensive rating
97.0
109.0
Defensive rating
116.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
33.1%
51.1%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 97.0Defence109.0 · 116.2Shooting52.9% · 48.6%3-point %37.0% · 33.1%Ball care18.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Cerrado   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Botafogo v Cerrado74-73
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
19/01/24HMinas71-84
08/01/24HPato75-82
29/12/23AUnifacisa80-92
27/12/23ACearense76-87
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW31%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLWWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game75.374.575.9
Allowed / game76.472.879.5
Point differential-1.1+1.8-3.6
Avg total151.7147.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%27%14%
Points / game77.678.976.1
Allowed / game86.785.987.6
Point differential-9.2-6.9-11.6
Avg total164.3164.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2721678%87.173.9+13.2
4 Vasco2720774%76.371.4+4.9
5 Paulistano2617965%74.371.0+3.2
6 Bauru28181064%80.678.8+1.8
7 Unifacisa29181162%83.379.1+4.3
8 Sao Jose27151256%80.777.4+3.2
9 Cearense28151354%79.477.6+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista27141352%80.278.4+1.8
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros27121544%75.877.9-2.1
13 Pato29111838%76.580.2-3.7
14 Uniao Corinthians28101836%75.383.1-7.8
15 Cerrado2681831%75.376.4-1.1
16 Caxias do Sul2882029%72.079.9-7.9
17 Botafogo2962321%77.686.7-9.2
18 Mogi2852318%72.981.2-8.3
19 Brasilia2642215%70.885.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado2311202579
Botafogo1920232082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.