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Vasco vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-86
18-21 30-28 26-20 24-17
Position#4
Record16-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game71.0
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record6-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.7
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Botafogo
18 Apr 2026
VASC104
BOTA86
13 Mar 2025
VASC80
BOTA66
09 Feb 2024
VASC98
BOTA86
01 Dec 2018
VASC79
BOTA97
19 Dec 2017
VASC72
BOTA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
67avg 71
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
92avg 71
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 71
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 71
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
78avg 71
A15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 71
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 71
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 71
H28/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
13-21
16-13
15-20
17-20
22-15
22-12
20-24
21-21
24-22
16-16
20-16
14-24
22-17
26-18
18-19
20-17
16-24
21-21
22-22
8-22
16-15
17-22
20-22
21-15
23-16
18-24
14-12
28-11
12-19
20-25
18-18
21-23
25-13
19-22
24-19
15-25
14-19
18-14
15-18
150.9Avg total
75.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.371.0145.3+3.370%
Season at home (11)73.568.9142.5+4.673%
Season away (12)75.172.9148.0+2.267%
Last 10 (10)75.475.5150.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)73.274.8148.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.088.3157.3-19.30%
vs Similar (7)75.972.1148.0+3.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.367.8145.1+9.591%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 64
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 64
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 64
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 64
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 64
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 64
H06/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
168.6Avg total
79.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.085.7162.7-8.725%
Season at home (13)77.785.2162.9-7.531%
Season away (11)76.286.3162.5-10.118%
Last 10 (10)79.389.3168.6-10.030%
Last 5 (5)77.088.8165.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.787.6164.3-10.928%
vs Similar (9)78.383.0161.3-4.733%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
VascoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/01
NBB
Paulistano
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/01
Super 8
75.3Avg total
37.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.874.6-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.637.473.1-1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.176.0-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.875.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.672.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.042.976.9-8.99%-
vs Similar (7)38.035.973.9+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.733.373.0+6.582%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
83.0Avg total
38.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.480.1-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.383.2-3.327%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.577.1-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.183.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.844.682.4-6.722%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.276.7-1.844%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.1
54.5%
51.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
72.6%12.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.4
48.9%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
72.6%14.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWWWLLWWWL
Botafogo
LLLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#15
-0.1
Net rating
-12.5
102.8
Offensive rating
102.6
102.9
Defensive rating
115.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
33.2%
73.1%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 102.6Defence102.9 · 115.1Shooting51.7% · 49.3%3-point %32.5% · 33.2%Ball care20.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 23.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Vasco   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vasco wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Botafogo v Vasco62-79
23/02/19Botafogo v Vasco79-74
01/12/18Vasco v Botafogo79-97
16/02/18Botafogo v Vasco87-94
19/12/17Vasco v Botafogo72-68
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HPaulistano62-76
22/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-77
20/01/24HCaxias do Sul78-73
15/01/24APato76-67
13/01/24AMinas61-81
08/01/24AFlamengo79-84
27/12/23ACorinthians Paulista80-78
23/12/23HCearense81-75
18/12/23HUnifacisa81-71
13/12/23APinheiros67-73
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game74.373.575.1
Allowed / game71.068.972.9
Point differential+3.3+4.6+2.2
Avg total145.3142.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %25%31%18%
Points / game77.077.776.2
Allowed / game85.785.286.3
Point differential-8.7-7.5-10.1
Avg total162.7162.9162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2421388%87.071.7+15.3
2 Flamengo2420483%86.274.7+11.6
3 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
4 Vasco2316770%74.371.0+3.3
5 Paulistano2315865%74.672.3+2.3
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Cearense24131154%79.877.6+2.2
9 Sao Jose23121152%79.776.3+3.4
10 Corinthians Paulista23111248%79.378.6+0.7
11 Pinheiros23111248%77.478.2-0.8
12 Sao Paulo24111346%78.080.2-2.1
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Uniao Corinthians2481633%72.581.1-8.5
15 Caxias do Sul2371630%72.280.4-8.2
16 Cerrado2471729%74.176.1-2.0
17 Botafogo2461825%77.085.7-8.7
18 Brasilia2341917%70.785.7-15.0
19 Mogi2332013%72.781.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1830262498
Botafogo2128201786
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