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Pato vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 97-86
24-19 27-30 26-23 20-14
Position#12
Record10-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.7
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game84.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Botafogo
24 Oct 2026
PATO89
BOTA88
12 Feb 2026
PATO93
BOTA67
28 Nov 2024
PATO98
BOTA78
24 Jan 2024
PATO97
BOTA86
12 Feb 2020
PATO69
BOTA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 68
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 68
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 68
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 68
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 68
H15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
16-25
23-14
10-28
28-24
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
15-19
26-16
12-15
24-15
22-15
13-21
26-16
21-23
21-17
20-20
19-26
21-18
15-21
16-23
24-18
12-14
154.9Avg total
77.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.277.7153.9-1.545%
Season at home (10)78.174.6152.7+3.560%
Season away (12)74.680.3154.9-5.833%
Last 10 (10)77.777.2154.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.276.2156.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.380.3153.6-7.031%
vs Similar (10)76.478.3154.7-1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.373.4155.7+8.986%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 64
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 64
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 64
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 64
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 64
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 64
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 64
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
164.0Avg total
78.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.584.5161.0-7.927%
Season at home (12)77.783.8161.5-6.233%
Season away (10)75.285.2160.4-10.020%
Last 10 (10)78.385.7164.0-7.430%
Last 5 (5)72.283.6155.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.085.8161.8-9.829%
vs Similar (10)79.181.9161.0-2.840%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
PatoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/01
NBB
73.6Avg total
37.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.276.3-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.636.675.2+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.577.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.573.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.540.576.9-4.031%-
vs Similar (10)37.637.174.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.035.477.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
79.5Avg total
37.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.579.0-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.182.2-2.131%-
Last 30 away (14)34.640.975.4-6.336%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.479.5-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.843.580.3-6.624%-
vs Similar (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.5
30.0%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.710.0
68.0%
72.6%10.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.3
48.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.6
32.1%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
72.6%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWWWWWLLLL
Botafogo
LLLLWLWWLL
#12
League position
#15
-0.6
Net rating
-9.7
106.4
Offensive rating
101.1
107.0
Defensive rating
110.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.0%
3-point %
32.1%
59.6%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 101.1Defence107.0 · 110.7Shooting49.2% · 48.1%3-point %30.0% · 32.1%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
24/10/23Botafogo v Pato71-79
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HVasco67-76
13/01/24HFlamengo97-91 OT
08/01/24ACerrado82-75
06/01/24ABrasilia77-65
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84
18/12/23APinheiros77-91
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game76.278.174.6
Allowed / game77.774.680.3
Point differential-1.5+3.5-5.8
Avg total153.9152.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game76.577.775.2
Allowed / game84.583.885.2
Point differential-7.9-6.2-10.0
Avg total161.0161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2320387%86.472.0+14.4
2 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2218482%85.474.7+10.7
4 Vasco2316770%74.371.0+3.3
5 Unifacisa2214864%83.779.9+3.8
6 Paulistano2214864%74.672.5+2.1
7 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
8 Sao Jose21111052%79.975.8+4.1
9 Cearense22111150%79.278.0+1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista21101148%80.080.0+0.0
11 Pinheiros21101148%76.677.6-1.0
12 Pato22101245%76.277.7-1.5
13 Sao Paulo23101343%78.080.4-2.5
14 Uniao Corinthians2171433%72.580.7-8.2
15 Caxias do Sul2271532%72.280.1-7.9
16 Botafogo2261627%76.584.5-7.9
17 Cerrado2151624%73.076.5-3.5
18 Mogi2131814%72.979.5-6.6
19 Brasilia2131814%70.386.2-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2427262097
Botafogo1930231486
← all games of the day
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