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Cearense vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 84-75
16-15 20-16 30-23 18-21
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#15
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game86.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Botafogo
20 Nov 2026
CEAR v BOTA
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
CEAR86
BOTA82
27 Oct 2024
CEAR52
BOTA77
14 Feb 2024
CEAR84
BOTA75
06 Nov 2019
CEAR72
BOTA76
16 Nov 2018
CEAR65
BOTA54
01 Dec 2017
CEAR61
BOTA47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 71
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 71
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 71
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 71
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 71
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 71
H10/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
20-18
20-21
25-19
22-29
21-22
12-15
17-11
20-18
16-25
22-20
17-18
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
20-31
15-15
14-12
20-15
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
157.0Avg total
78.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.677.1155.7+1.652%
Season at home (13)78.374.8153.2+3.562%
Season away (12)79.079.5158.5-0.542%
Last 10 (10)78.578.5157.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)78.476.0154.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.083.9161.9-5.912%
vs Similar (13)78.576.7155.2+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.675.2154.9+4.462%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 65
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 65
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 65
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 65
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
169.3Avg total
78.8Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.486.2163.6-8.824%
Season at home (13)77.785.2162.9-7.531%
Season away (12)77.087.2164.2-10.217%
Last 10 (10)78.890.5169.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)80.691.4172.0-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.288.2165.3-11.026%
vs Similar (9)78.383.0161.3-4.733%
vs Weaker (2)82.073.5155.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
CearenseBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
77.7Avg total
37.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.376.6+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.179.0-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.277.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.540.979.4-2.450%-
vs Similar (13)38.238.476.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
85.2Avg total
40.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.781.0-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.443.684.0-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.978.3-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.091.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.444.783.2-6.326%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.276.7-1.844%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.4
57.8%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.1
24.4%
33.9%15.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.1
75.0%
72.6%17.1
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
51.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
72.6%14.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LWLWWLLLLW
Botafogo
LLLLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#15
+1.4
Net rating
-14.9
103.8
Offensive rating
102.7
102.5
Defensive rating
117.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
24.4%
3-point %
35.2%
46.0%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 102.7Defence102.5 · 117.6Shooting50.2% · 50.6%3-point %24.4% · 35.2%Ball care19.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 23.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cearense   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cearense wins
5
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Botafogo v Cearense90-86
01/02/20Botafogo v Cearense86-72
07/11/19Cearense v Botafogo72-76
22/01/19Botafogo v Cearense78-69
16/11/18Cearense v Botafogo65-54
06/02/18Botafogo v Cearense70-68
01/12/17Cearense v Botafogo61-47
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
27/01/24AMinas69-73
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
16/01/24AFranca75-81
13/01/24HSao Paulo75-81
03/01/24HFranca72-77
29/12/23HBrasilia83-73
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game78.678.379.0
Allowed / game77.174.879.5
Point differential+1.6+3.5-0.5
Avg total155.7153.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayWWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %24%31%17%
Points / game77.477.777.0
Allowed / game86.285.287.2
Point differential-8.8-7.5-10.2
Avg total163.6162.9164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2421388%87.071.7+15.3
2 Flamengo2420483%86.274.7+11.6
3 Franca2420483%87.375.7+11.6
4 Vasco2417771%75.371.6+3.7
5 Paulistano2416867%74.271.5+2.7
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Sao Jose24131154%81.076.7+4.3
9 Cearense25131252%78.677.1+1.6
10 Corinthians Paulista24111346%78.878.4+0.5
11 Pinheiros24111346%76.778.3-1.6
12 Sao Paulo24111346%78.080.2-2.1
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Caxias do Sul2581732%72.679.9-7.3
15 Uniao Corinthians2581732%73.182.3-9.2
16 Cerrado2471729%74.176.1-2.0
17 Botafogo2561924%77.486.2-8.8
18 Mogi2442017%73.080.8-7.8
19 Brasilia2442017%70.685.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1620301884
Botafogo1516232175
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