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ChelSU Kostanay vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 75-88
22-28 9-20 22-17 22-23
Position#8
Record15-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#2
Record26-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game68.6
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - Quarter-finals· Olympic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent
27 Apr 2026
CHEL75
SHYM88
14 Nov 2025
CHEL72
SHYM102
12 Nov 2025
CHEL73
SHYM108
24 Feb 2024
CHEL78
SHYM95
24 Jan 2024
CHEL66
SHYM82
22 Jan 2024
CHEL68
SHYM99
11 Nov 2023
CHEL71
SHYM81
09 Apr 2023
CHEL78
SHYM87
18 Nov 2022
CHEL60
SHYM93
23 Oct 2022
CHEL56
SHYM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
99-103
99
103
-4
H03/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A04/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
78-105
78
105
-27
H05/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A16/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H17/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
64-115
64
115
-51
A26/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
30-25
27-28
19-26
24-27
22-16
16-26
31-19
14-21
17-38
17-30
30-16
13-20
18-21
8-22
17-22
19-20
17-18
20-21
20-27
12-8
21-11
12-9
19-16
20-24
27-26
7-19
16-16
24-14
7-20
17-14
26-22
17-19
9-14
19-25
16-20
18-29
15-27
15-35
16-24
159.4Avg total
73.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.779.7154.4-5.052%
Season at home (15)79.781.4161.1-1.753%
Season away (14)69.477.9147.2-8.550%
Last 10 (10)73.585.9159.4-12.430%
Last 5 (5)66.678.4145.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.789.9162.6-17.212%
vs Similar (6)77.077.5154.5-0.583%
vs Weaker (8)76.561.6138.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
105-73
105
73
+32
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H26/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-18
20-22
10-22
22-9
29-20
24-7
18-19
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
24-18
30-18
26-12
25-25
21-16
28-6
23-26
17-20
23-22
26-20
19-27
19-17
19-15
21-20
26-14
19-15
29-18
27-15
35-15
24-16
161.9Avg total
94.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)95.468.6164.0+26.890%
Season at home (16)94.566.8161.2+27.881%
Season away (13)96.570.8167.4+25.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.567.4161.9+27.190%
Last 5 (5)96.271.0167.2+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)82.875.5158.2+7.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.564.9159.3+29.696%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +10.1+10.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
ChelSU KostanayShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H03/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H05/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A16/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H17/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A26/04
Higher League
78.9Avg total
36.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.077.6-4.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.242.481.6-3.250%-
Last 30 away (14)33.639.473.0-5.736%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.278.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.472.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.948.183.0-13.119%-
vs Similar (6)37.237.875.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)39.529.268.8+10.288%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/04
Higher League
83.9Avg total
51.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)51.633.485.0+18.193%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.933.484.2+17.588%-
Last 30 away (13)52.433.585.9+18.8100%-
Last 10 (10)51.332.683.9+18.7100%-
Last 5 (5)49.633.683.2+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)45.839.084.8+6.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)52.532.685.0+19.9100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.8
48.2%
49.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.5
27.8%
28.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.4
69.9%
63.9%11.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.126.6
60.3%
49.5%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.5%
28.5%30.4
🏀 Free throws25.213.0
51.5%
63.9%13.0
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ChelSU Kostanay
LLWLWLLLWL
Shymkent
WWWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#2
-15.8
Net rating
+40.8
93.7
Offensive rating
126.0
109.5
Defensive rating
85.3
45.6%
Effective FG%
58.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.8%
3-point %
37.5%
51.3%
Assist %
71.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 126.0Defence109.5 · 85.3Shooting45.6% · 58.8%3-point %27.8% · 37.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ ChelSU Kostanay   ■ Shymkent
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
ChelSU Kostanay wins
10
Shymkent wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AShymkent64-115
17/04/26HKaraganda61-78
16/04/26APavlodar74-70
15/04/26HKaraganda70-85
14/04/26APavlodar64-44
12/03/26HAktobe76-86
11/03/26AAktobe56-85
05/03/26HBC Almaty 278-105
04/03/26ACHAMP1ON93-88
03/03/26HBC Almaty 299-103
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HChelSU Kostanay115-64
16/04/26HAtyrau 285-64
15/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 287-86
14/04/26HAtyrau 289-68
13/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 2105-73
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46
10/03/26AArlans102-74
09/03/26HAiRom93-55
14/02/26HAktobe70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeLLLLL53%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game74.779.769.4
Allowed / game79.781.477.9
Point differential-5.0-1.7-8.5
Avg total154.4161.1147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %90%81%100%
Points / game95.494.596.5
Allowed / game68.666.870.8
Point differential+26.8+27.8+25.7
Avg total164.0161.2167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%81%77%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan29290100%87.959.3+28.6
2 Shymkent2926390%95.468.6+26.8
3 Bars Petropavlovsk2924583%86.162.1+24.0
4 Aktobe2923679%82.467.7+14.7
5 BC Almaty 229181162%82.774.4+8.2
6 Atyrau 229181162%76.470.4+6.0
7 ChelSU Kostanay29151452%74.779.7-5.0
8 CHAMP1ON29141548%73.775.7-2.0
9 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ChelSU Kostanay229222275
Shymkent2820172388
← all games of the day
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