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Rostock vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 73-78
20-14 17-19 18-19 18-26
Position#8
Record12-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#11
Record10-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.5
GermanyBBLRound 24· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Chemnitz
11 Apr 2027
ROS v CHE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
ROS73
CHE78
27 Oct 2024
ROS60
CHE68
03 Feb 2024
ROS90
CHE94
18 Jan 2023
ROS81
CHE96
29 Dec 2019
ROS91
CHE101
28 Oct 2018
ROS76
CHE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 77
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 77
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 77
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 77
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 77
H08/02
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 77
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
94-80
94
80
+14
90avg 77
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
84avg 77
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 77
H06/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
18-22
25-18
20-25
15-26
18-16
20-22
21-19
30-26
23-17
18-13
10-21
25-26
17-23
21-21
23-18
18-21
26-15
11-22
20-20
19-25
24-13
19-21
15-15
20-22
13-24
30-17
19-26
25-14
21-20
27-21
21-25
24-23
19-18
13-12
16-19
23-18
38-25
25-28
32-32
169.2Avg total
85.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.783.2167.9+1.457%
Season at home (12)85.984.0169.9+1.958%
Season away (9)83.082.2165.2+0.856%
Last 10 (10)85.583.7169.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)91.486.8178.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.583.5161.0-6.017%
vs Similar (9)85.178.0163.1+7.178%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.882.0168.8+4.860%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 78
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
71avg 78
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 78
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
81avg 78
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 78
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
52avg 78
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 78
A11/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-16
16-20
9-30
30-29
14-31
21-18
16-19
18-14
19-26
13-26
19-20
18-17
21-19
21-21
21-10
18-8
22-36
24-15
15-16
17-20
19-14
16-22
10-23
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
15-19
19-20
19-24
16-18
15-16
24-20
7-18
19-19
162.5Avg total
78.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.587.5173.0-2.045%
Season at home (11)88.986.0174.9+2.964%
Season away (11)82.089.0171.0-7.027%
Last 10 (10)78.284.3162.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)80.085.8165.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.387.2165.5-8.825%
vs Similar (12)83.885.6169.3-1.850%
vs Weaker (6)80.581.0161.5-0.567%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
RostockChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/02
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H06/03
BBL
84.1Avg total
43.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.481.0+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.439.580.9+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)41.839.481.2+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.684.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.041.076.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (9)44.141.085.1+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.737.980.5+4.860%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/03
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
40.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.283.0+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.281.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.841.284.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.480.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.075.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.842.283.9-0.475%-
vs Similar (12)42.641.484.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)40.338.879.2+1.533%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.4
49.5%
53.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.6
35.7%
34.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
73.5%17.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.216.7
57.2%
53.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.5
32.0%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
73.5%13.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLWLWLLWLW
Chemnitz
LLWWLWWLLL
#8
League position
#11
+3.1
Net rating
-7.3
97.8
Offensive rating
87.4
94.7
Defensive rating
94.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
32.0%
60.3%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 87.4Defence94.7 · 94.7Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %35.7% · 32.0%Ball care13.4% · 18.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
8
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Chemnitz v Rostock97-92
04/05/25Chemnitz v Rostock108-102 OT
27/10/24Rostock v Chemnitz60-68
03/02/24Rostock v Chemnitz90-94
17/11/23Chemnitz v Rostock85-75
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HTrier118-103
18/02/26HBamberg86-88 OT
15/02/26ASyntainics MBC94-80
11/02/26HMurcia82-89
08/02/26HWurzburg77-74
04/02/26HSzombathely75-78
31/01/26HBonn86-88
23/01/26ABonn81-77
20/01/26ATrefl Sopot74-83
18/01/26HSyntainics MBC82-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ACedevita Olimpija65-73
06/03/26AWurzburg69-81
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
11/02/26ATurk Telekom62-79
07/02/26HSyntainics MBC79-75
04/02/26HTrento81-67
31/01/26AHamburg69-86
27/01/26ABuducnost81-97
24/01/26AOldenburg72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%58%56%
Points / game84.785.983.0
Allowed / game83.284.082.2
Point differential+1.4+1.9+0.8
Avg total167.9169.9165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %14%17%11%
Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game85.588.982.0
Allowed / game87.586.089.0
Point differential-2.0+2.9-7.0
Avg total173.0174.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2220291%87.571.5+16.0
2 Alba Berlin2417771%85.278.5+6.6
3 Bonn2516964%82.779.3+3.4
4 Ulm2314961%83.277.3+5.9
5 Bamberg2314961%88.783.3+5.3
6 Wurzburg24141058%81.580.0+1.5
7 Rostock2112957%84.783.2+1.4
8 Trier22121055%90.691.9-1.3
9 Ludwigsburg23121152%84.084.6-0.5
10 Oldenburg23111248%84.183.6+0.6
11 Chemnitz22101245%85.587.5-2.0
12 Vechta24101442%87.588.1-0.7
13 Frankfurt24101442%83.585.4-1.8
14 Hamburg2181338%83.888.4-4.6
15 Jena2281436%81.189.7-8.5
16 Syntainics MBC2481633%83.187.2-4.2
17 Heidelberg2461825%77.485.4-8.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig2351822%79.288.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2017181873
Chemnitz1419192678
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