PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-92
25-27 27-24 24-25 21-16
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#8
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.2
GermanyBBLRound 11· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Rostock
05 Dec 2026
CHE v ROS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
CHE97
ROS92
04 May 2025
CHE108
ROS102
17 Nov 2023
CHE85
ROS75
02 Apr 2023
CHE69
ROS71
15 Feb 2020
CHE109
ROS82
22 Dec 2018
CHE68
ROS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 77
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 77
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 77
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
105-94
105
94
+11
101avg 77
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 77
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
49avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
81avg 77
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 77
H09/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 77
H12/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 77
A16/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-20
24-22
17-27
24-8
17-28
16-20
15-29
19-21
20-16
17-19
15-28
19-20
34-17
23-26
29-31
28-19
20-25
24-23
13-22
14-20
24-25
10-20
15-22
21-20
17-22
15-17
20-14
20-18
17-22
16-24
20-4
13-27
19-15
10-23
25-21
26-21
23-15
19-23
17-20
162.8Avg total
78.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.586.0172.5+0.540%
Season at home (5)91.683.2174.8+8.460%
Season away (5)81.488.8170.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)78.584.3162.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.091.0173.0-9.012%
vs Similar (12)90.289.4179.7+0.850%
vs Weaker (9)82.376.9159.2+5.467%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
91avg 76
H01/11
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
94-77
94
77
+17
94avg 76
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
75-63
75
63
+12
62avg 76
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 76
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 76
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
28-22
19-19
22-15
20-18
27-20
23-11
24-28
15-11
27-19
19-15
14-18
22-18
17-19
14-19
22-7
23-14
26-23
20-20
27-11
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
163.6Avg total
88.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.282.2166.4+2.056%
Season at home (4)91.884.0175.8+7.875%
Season away (5)78.280.8159.0-2.640%
Last 10 (10)88.575.1163.6+13.490%
Last 5 (5)90.280.6170.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.377.3156.7+2.067%
vs Similar (14)85.081.6166.6+3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.580.2165.7+5.358%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
ChemnitzRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H12/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A16/12
Eurocup
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.584.8+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.785.6+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.643.685.2-2.050%-
vs Similar (12)44.143.887.9+0.233%-
vs Weaker (9)43.937.481.3+6.478%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H01/11
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
43.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.780.3+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.736.780.4+7.062%-
Last 30 away (17)39.940.380.2-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.181.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.738.774.3-3.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.038.681.6+4.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.439.079.4+1.442%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.1
53.3%
53.8%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.5
29.4%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
73.5%16.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.2
50.0%
53.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.0
38.9%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.4
75.6%
73.5%16.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLWLLLWLLL
Rostock
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#8
-7.9
Net rating
+17.7
102.2
Offensive rating
119.0
110.1
Defensive rating
101.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.4%
3-point %
38.9%
64.1%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 119.0Defence110.1 · 101.3Shooting48.6% · 53.6%3-point %29.4% · 38.9%Ball care20.7% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Chemnitz wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Chemnitz v Rostock108-102 OT
27/10/24Rostock v Chemnitz60-68
03/02/24Rostock v Chemnitz90-94
17/11/23Chemnitz v Rostock85-75
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25ALietkabelis85-79
12/12/25HWurzburg67-86
09/12/25HPanionios73-68
06/12/25ABonn82-86 OT
04/12/25HTurk Telekom63-87
23/11/25HAlba Berlin85-89
18/11/25ATrento105-94
12/11/25HBuducnost71-84
08/11/25AJena72-85
04/11/25AJL Bourg82-85
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91
19/11/25HFC Porto96-68
11/11/25AAntwerp Giants75-63
09/11/25AWurzburg75-63
05/11/25ATartu Ulikool94-77
01/11/25HOldenburg94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game86.591.681.4
Allowed / game86.083.288.8
Point differential+0.5+8.4-7.4
Avg total172.5174.8170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game84.291.878.2
Allowed / game82.284.080.8
Point differential+2.0+7.8-2.6
Avg total166.4175.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%85.275.2+10.0
2 Trier108280%89.887.4+2.4
3 Syntainics MBC107370%85.383.3+2.0
4 Wurzburg107370%80.378.4+1.9
5 Bamberg106460%89.982.2+7.7
6 Alba Berlin106460%84.481.6+2.8
7 Rostock95456%84.282.2+2.0
8 Ludwigsburg95456%85.685.7-0.1
9 Ulm116555%80.578.2+2.3
10 Frankfurt116555%84.582.5+2.0
11 Bonn116555%79.679.7-0.1
12 Vechta94544%84.085.4-1.4
13 Chemnitz104640%86.586.0+0.5
14 Jena104640%83.090.1-7.1
15 Basketball Braunschweig103730%81.087.4-6.4
16 Heidelberg102820%79.481.7-2.3
17 Hamburg91811%81.392.0-10.7
18 Oldenburg101910%80.786.6-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2527242197
Rostock2724251692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.