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Chemnitz vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-75
22-22 20-12 25-21 18-20
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#15
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game98.0
GermanyBBLRound 8· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Rostock
05 Dec 2026
CHE v ROS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
CHE97
ROS92
04 May 2025
CHE108
ROS102
17 Nov 2023
CHE85
ROS75
02 Apr 2023
CHE69
ROS71
15 Feb 2020
CHE109
ROS82
22 Dec 2018
CHE68
ROS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 79
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
98-72
98
72
+26
97avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 79
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 79
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 79
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 79
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 79
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 79
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
26-29
22-16
25-11
25-16
20-17
17-11
18-19
22-16
22-9
12-20
29-28
21-9
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
23-19
30-17
26-19
27-13
19-19
22-17
34-14
22-25
154.1Avg total
87.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.773.4160.1+13.386%
Season at home (3)86.769.0155.7+17.7100%
Season away (4)86.876.8163.5+10.075%
Last 10 (10)87.167.0154.1+20.1100%
Last 5 (5)89.868.0157.8+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.488.9168.3-9.414%
vs Similar (6)83.084.0167.0-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.372.2159.5+15.188%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 75
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 75
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 75
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
14-28
21-14
16-21
14-21
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
25-25
22-13
27-19
12-16
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
172.6Avg total
87.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.798.0191.7-4.333%
Season at home (3)105.0104.3209.3+0.767%
Season away (3)82.391.7174.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)87.085.6172.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.288.4170.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.991.9171.8-12.030%
vs Similar (8)81.885.9167.6-4.138%
vs Weaker (11)92.982.6175.5+10.373%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
ChemnitzRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
74.5Avg total
41.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.383.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.640.884.4+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.239.982.1+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.574.5+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.145.989.0-2.729%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.286.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.437.079.4+5.465%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
86.7Avg total
44.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.483.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.282.1+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.543.484.9-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.786.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.645.586.1-4.930%-
vs Similar (8)43.240.984.1+2.462%-
vs Weaker (11)43.038.181.1+4.964%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.8
39.9%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
76.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.2
53.3%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.5
34.8%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.315.0
77.7%
76.0%15.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
Rostock
WLWLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#15
+25.3
Net rating
+4.4
111.0
Offensive rating
110.1
85.7
Defensive rating
105.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
34.8%
67.1%
Assist %
69.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 110.1Defence85.7 · 105.7Shooting55.2% · 52.8%3-point %39.9% · 34.8%Ball care18.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HSpojnia Stargard97-75
12/11/23ATubingen106-68
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
25/10/23ASpojnia Stargard84-66
22/10/23HGottingen77-63
18/10/23HPeja98-72
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
08/11/23HAEK Larnaca86-73
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
01/11/23AJonava65-84
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game86.786.786.8
Allowed / game73.469.076.8
Point differential+13.3+17.7+10.0
Avg total160.1155.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game93.7105.082.3
Allowed / game98.0104.391.7
Point differential-4.3+0.7-9.3
Avg total191.7209.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %33%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin76186%98.479.7+18.7
2 Chemnitz76186%86.773.4+13.3
3 Ulm76186%93.787.9+5.9
4 Vechta75271%91.780.1+11.6
5 Oldenburg75271%90.682.0+8.6
6 Ludwigsburg64267%90.079.2+10.8
7 Bayern74357%85.977.1+8.7
8 Bonn74357%87.383.9+3.4
9 Hamburg74357%85.489.0-3.6
10 Wurzburg63350%75.270.5+4.7
11 Basketball Braunschweig73443%81.486.1-4.7
12 Rostock62433%93.798.0-4.3
13 Bamberg62433%89.096.7-7.7
14 Syntainics MBC72529%83.189.0-5.9
15 Gottingen51420%91.4103.0-11.6
16 Heidelberg71614%84.096.0-12.0
17 Tubingen71614%82.997.6-14.7
18 Crailsheim Merlins71614%73.697.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2220251885
Rostock2212212075
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