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Chernomorets vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-74
23-18 23-17 17-17 23-22
Position#2
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.4
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.7
BulgariaNBLRound 12· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Beroe
16 Dec 2023
CHER86
BERO74
22 Apr 2023
CHER96
BERO69
10 Dec 2022
CHER71
BERO78
09 Apr 2022
CHER89
BERO78
24 Mar 2022
CHER98
BERO102
04 Dec 2021
CHER76
BERO58
30 Jan 2021
CHER123
BERO121
18 Mar 2020
CHER v BERO
upcoming
26 Oct 2019
CHER72
BERO122
19 Mar 2016
CHER62
BERO95
31 Oct 2015
CHER61
BERO70
06 Dec 2014
CHER69
BERO101
16 Apr 2014
CHER74
BERO64
01 Feb 2014
CHER78
BERO64
10 Nov 2012
CHER67
BERO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 79
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 79
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
101-66
101
66
+35
98avg 79
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 79
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
67avg 79
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 79
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 79
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
83avg 79
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 79
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 79
H09/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
23-10
24-19
17-19
23-22
22-25
25-11
8-17
25-16
23-18
29-17
24-15
32-12
24-9
13-24
17-17
22-11
13-21
13-10
30-33
23-26
21-20
24-20
22-15
26-16
19-13
28-30
22-23
22-18
14-19
21-16
22-13
20-25
22-19
19-9
28-25
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
157.6Avg total
85.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.572.4157.8+13.1100%
Season at home (6)88.371.3159.7+17.0100%
Season away (5)82.073.6155.6+8.4100%
Last 10 (10)85.472.2157.6+13.2100%
Last 5 (5)87.475.8163.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.684.6166.2-3.040%
vs Similar (7)82.477.0159.4+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.574.4165.8+17.1100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 70
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 70
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 70
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
76avg 70
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
80avg 70
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 70
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 70
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
31avg 70
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
77avg 70
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 70
A09/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
19-17
30-19
23-21
16-31
24-14
21-19
15-22
31-14
17-34
17-19
33-16
24-22
13-23
30-20
15-21
26-20
13-9
27-33
21-24
31-18
20-27
16-21
12-26
26-27
6-29
26-21
18-17
21-15
20-15
14-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
22-23
21-18
20-27
25-29
23-16
18-27
168.7Avg total
83.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.285.7167.9-3.536%
Season at home (5)78.282.6160.8-4.440%
Season away (6)85.588.3173.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)83.085.7168.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)79.088.0167.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.588.1166.5-9.632%
vs Similar (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (5)83.072.8155.8+10.260%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
ChernomoretsBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
77.6Avg total
42.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.679.2+6.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.735.279.9+9.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.278.4+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.734.977.6+7.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.438.476.8+0.030%-
vs Similar (7)42.038.680.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.134.280.2+11.969%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/12
NBL
83.8Avg total
40.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.745.888.5-3.141%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.843.888.6+1.154%-
Last 30 away (14)40.747.688.4-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.083.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.486.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.046.186.2-6.129%-
vs Similar (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.8
56.9%
54.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.8%
71.1%13.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.5
53.2%
54.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.112.7
74.3%
71.1%12.7
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WWWWWWWWWW
Beroe
LLWLLWLWLW
#2
League position
#12
+18.0
Net rating
-5.3
112.5
Offensive rating
106.5
94.5
Defensive rating
111.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
36.4%
60.3%
Assist %
52.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 106.5Defence94.5 · 111.8Shooting53.6% · 53.8%3-point %32.8% · 36.4%Ball care17.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Chernomorets wins
4
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
09/10/23Beroe v Chernomorets74-86
22/04/23Chernomorets v Beroe96-69
11/02/23Beroe v Chernomorets79-91
10/12/22Chernomorets v Beroe71-78
09/04/22Chernomorets v Beroe89-78
24/03/22Chernomorets v Beroe98-102 OT
18/02/22Beroe v Chernomorets100-83
04/12/21Chernomorets v Beroe76-58
12/04/21Beroe v Chernomorets76-72
30/01/21Chernomorets v Beroe123-121 OT
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HLevski84-72
02/12/23AShumen89-78
29/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv79-66
26/11/23HCSKA Sofia95-82
18/11/23HBalkan90-81
11/11/23ACherno More78-75
04/11/23HYambol86-62
26/10/23HMinyor101-66
22/10/23ASpartak Pleven78-75
16/10/23HRilski Sportist74-65
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ACSKA Sofia86-99
02/12/23HSpartak Pleven79-81
29/11/23HBalkan75-74
25/11/23ACherno More76-94
19/11/23AMinyor79-92
12/11/23HAcademic Plovdiv87-86
05/11/23ARilski Sportist82-86
28/10/23AYambol98-83
23/10/23HLevski76-86
14/10/23AShumen92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.588.382.0
Allowed / game72.471.373.6
Point differential+13.1+17.0+8.4
Avg total157.8159.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game82.278.285.5
Allowed / game85.782.688.3
Point differential-3.5-4.4-2.8
Avg total167.9160.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets11110100%85.572.4+13.1
2 CSKA Sofia118373%86.977.3+9.6
3 Spartak Pleven117464%87.280.1+7.1
4 Rilski Sportist116555%80.375.3+5.0
5 Balkan116555%80.778.5+2.3
6 Yambol115645%79.684.5-4.8
7 Minyor115645%76.185.2-9.1
8 Shumen114736%82.684.8-2.2
9 Levski114736%76.178.9-2.8
10 Beroe114736%82.285.7-3.5
11 Academic Plovdiv113827%77.584.2-6.7
12 Cherno More113827%77.685.5-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets2323172386
Beroe1817172274
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