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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 107-112
27-31 30-20 13-36 37-25
Position#4
Record39-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game106.7
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record34-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game121.6
Allowed / game118.6
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
112-113
112
113
-1
109avg 109
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
107-101
107
101
+6
101avg 109
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
121-87
121
87
+34
122avg 109
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
106-108
106
108
-2
99avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
111-90
111
90
+21
105avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
123-129 OT
123
129
-6
113avg 109
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
129-105
129
105
+24
131avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
121-100
121
100
+21
123avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-109
121
109
+12
114avg 109
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
128-91
128
91
+37
126avg 109
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
28-29
26-28
22-33
29-28
20-19
24-30
34-24
24-21
28-27
31-22
38-17
38-26
21-28
29-26
18-28
31-23
17-21
32-20
31-26
33-22
36-25
23-36
23-32
30-26
33-27
39-22
27-30
28-24
21-29
40-19
32-28
37-25
22-26
25-32
37-26
44-14
22-37
33-25
29-15
221.2Avg total
117.9Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)114.0106.7220.7+7.371%
Season at home (24)112.7102.6215.3+10.079%
Season away (31)115.0109.9224.8+5.165%
Last 10 (10)117.9103.3221.2+14.670%
Last 5 (5)124.4106.8231.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)111.4107.9219.3+3.650%
vs Weaker (15)116.7105.6222.3+11.180%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-113
107
113
-6
97avg 114
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
106avg 114
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
129-117
129
117
+12
126avg 114
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 114
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 114
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
105-129
105
129
-24
104avg 114
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
120-84
120
84
+36
114avg 114
H10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
112-95
112
95
+17
114avg 114
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
97-123
97
123
-26
89avg 114
H14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
110-113
110
113
-3
101avg 114
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
30-31
19-26
32-31
38-37
27-30
26-29
25-23
20-44
40-21
33-27
36-25
26-32
37-21
32-30
13-40
23-22
26-26
24-31
33-35
26-30
27-33
22-39
30-27
31-17
35-21
33-25
21-21
28-23
32-21
31-19
21-32
28-40
24-29
24-29
21-25
26-29
31-28
28-37
25-19
224.0Avg total
111.0Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)121.6118.6240.2+3.063%
Season at home (28)122.7117.1239.8+5.679%
Season away (26)120.5120.2240.7+0.346%
Last 10 (10)111.0113.0224.0-2.030%
Last 5 (5)108.8108.8217.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)135.0102.0237.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)117.4119.6236.9-2.247%
vs Weaker (10)123.4118.1241.5+5.360%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A16/02
NBA
107.8Avg total
57.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.3111.2+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.053.3109.3+2.775%-
Last 30 away (18)59.253.2112.4+6.061%-
Last 10 (10)57.850.0107.8+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)61.251.0112.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.154.3109.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)60.952.3113.2+8.787%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A16/02
NBA
114.1Avg total
58.1Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.558.2117.7+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.456.4117.9+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)57.859.8117.6-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)58.156.0114.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)57.654.2111.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.038.0113.0+37.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.058.8115.8-1.853%-
vs Weaker (10)62.759.2121.9+3.570%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.528.9
56.1%
54.4%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.614.0
41.7%
36.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.1
79.0%
78.2%18.1
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.327.0
57.1%
54.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.1
35.5%
36.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
78.2%14.7
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#8
+14.9
Net rating
-2.0
120.1
Offensive rating
111.1
105.3
Defensive rating
113.1
58.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.7%
3-point %
35.5%
62.9%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 111.1Defence105.3 · 113.1Shooting58.6% · 55.3%3-point %41.7% · 35.5%Ball care12.7% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 18.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves105-129
31/12/22Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves123-114
05/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks102-115
19/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks138-119
28/10/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves108-113
14/04/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks105-130
24/02/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves139-112
02/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves106-104
05/11/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks106-134
24/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves140-128
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24APortland Trail Blazers128-91
14/02/24APortland Trail Blazers121-109
13/02/24ALos Angeles Clippers121-100
09/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks129-105
07/02/24AChicago Bulls123-129 OT
05/02/24HHouston Rockets111-90
03/02/24HOrlando Magic106-108
01/02/24HDallas Mavericks121-87
30/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-101
28/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-113
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24AMemphis Grizzlies110-113
14/02/24HMiami Heat97-123
13/02/24HDenver Nuggets112-95
10/02/24HCharlotte Hornets120-84
09/02/24HMinnesota Timberwolves105-129
07/02/24APhoenix Suns106-114
05/02/24AUtah Jazz108-123
04/02/24ADallas Mavericks129-117
01/02/24APortland Trail Blazers116-119
30/01/24ADenver Nuggets107-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLLWLW79%
AwayLWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552431
Win %71%79%65%
Points / game114.0112.7115.0
Allowed / game106.7102.6109.9
Point differential+7.3+10.0+5.1
Avg total220.7215.3224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %5%4%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %63%79%46%
Points / game121.6122.7120.5
Allowed / game118.6117.1120.2
Point differential+3.0+5.6+0.3
Avg total240.2239.8240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %6%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics55441180%121.0110.4+10.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves55391671%114.0106.7+7.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder56391770%121.4113.4+8.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers55371867%117.7112.7+5.1
5 Denver Nuggets56371966%114.2110.8+3.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers55361965%114.5109.2+5.2
7 Milwaukee Bucks54342063%121.6118.6+3.0
8 New York Knicks55342162%114.3109.0+5.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans55332260%116.6111.5+5.1
10 Sacramento Kings54322259%118.6117.8+0.8
11 Philadelphia 76ers56332359%117.7113.6+4.1
12 Phoenix Suns56332359%117.6114.6+3.0
13 Dallas Mavericks56332359%118.7117.2+1.6
14 Orlando Magic56312555%111.8110.8+1.0
15 Miami Heat56312555%110.5110.1+0.4
16 Indiana Pacers55302555%123.8122.4+1.4
17 Golden State Warriors54282652%119.9118.0+1.9
18 Los Angeles Lakers55282751%116.8118.1-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls56263046%111.8113.2-1.4
20 Utah Jazz57263146%117.8120.6-2.8
21 Houston Rockets56253145%113.2112.9+0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks56243243%121.3123.9-2.6
23 Brooklyn Nets55213438%113.0115.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors57213637%114.2117.4-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies57203735%106.9112.8-5.9
26 Portland Trail Blazers54153928%107.9116.7-8.8
27 Charlotte Hornets55144125%108.8119.2-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs56114520%112.0120.6-8.6
29 Washington Wizards5694716%114.5124.4-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons5584715%112.9122.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27301337107
Milwaukee Bucks31203625112
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