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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-95
28-23 32-21 31-19 21-32
Position#8
Record33-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game122.5
Allowed / game119.1
vs
Position#3
Record36-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
126-116
126
116
+10
120avg 114
H25/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
90avg 114
H27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
141-117
141
117
+24
139avg 114
H28/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-113
107
113
-6
97avg 114
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
106avg 114
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
129-117
129
117
+12
126avg 114
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 114
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 114
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
105-129
105
129
-24
104avg 114
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
120-84
120
84
+36
114avg 114
H10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
29-23
32-28
33-37
28-30
29-24
20-26
23-32
36-32
39-31
37-24
29-30
26-25
30-31
19-26
32-31
38-37
27-30
26-29
25-23
20-44
40-21
33-27
36-25
26-32
37-21
32-30
13-40
23-22
26-26
24-31
33-35
26-30
27-33
22-39
30-27
31-17
35-21
33-25
21-21
230.2Avg total
115.8Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)122.5119.1241.6+3.465%
Season at home (26)124.1117.7241.8+6.381%
Season away (25)120.9120.5241.4+0.448%
Last 10 (10)115.8114.4230.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)113.6113.4227.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)135.0102.0237.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)120.5121.0241.5-0.553%
vs Weaker (10)127.0118.2245.2+8.870%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
113-104
113
104
+9
110avg 109
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 109
A24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
84-122
84
122
-38
72avg 109
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 109
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 109
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 109
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-108
120
108
+12
122avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
112-103
112
103
+9
107avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
114-106
114
106
+8
113avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-135
106
135
-29
96avg 109
A10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
29-28
27-26
24-26
28-29
26-33
39-19
21-28
21-33
20-29
25-36
18-24
31-27
33-35
22-26
25-17
25-26
31-30
26-19
31-32
28-19
23-28
21-26
28-32
33-20
26-35
33-29
28-24
25-37
35-26
26-21
26-19
29-23
30-26
24-30
31-27
35-32
22-35
29-39
20-29
219.1Avg total
108.7Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)114.6111.0225.6+3.668%
Season at home (25)119.5109.8229.4+9.784%
Season away (28)110.2112.0222.2-1.854%
Last 10 (10)108.7110.4219.1-1.770%
Last 5 (5)110.4111.4221.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.4115.7229.1-2.353%
vs Weaker (14)118.4107.3225.7+11.193%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H25/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H28/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H10/02
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.358.5119.8+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.757.1121.7+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)57.960.0117.9-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)60.555.8116.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.4111.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.038.0113.0+37.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.559.3117.8-0.858%-
vs Weaker (10)65.159.1124.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A10/02
NBA
113.8Avg total
56.3Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.856.7115.4+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.254.1113.3+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)58.359.2117.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)56.357.5113.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)57.256.2113.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.358.7117.9+0.653%-
vs Weaker (14)58.554.2112.7+4.364%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.327.6
56.0%
54.4%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.5
37.4%
36.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
78.2%17.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.430.8
52.7%
54.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.4
34.9%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
78.2%15.9
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#3
+1.4
Net rating
-1.8
114.5
Offensive rating
113.2
113.1
Defensive rating
114.9
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
12.0%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
34.9%
64.4%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 113.2Defence113.1 · 114.9Shooting56.0% · 52.6%3-point %37.4% · 34.9%Ball care11.4% · 12.0%Off. rebounds19.6% · 28.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HCharlotte Hornets120-84
09/02/24HMinnesota Timberwolves105-129
07/02/24APhoenix Suns106-114
05/02/24AUtah Jazz108-123
04/02/24ADallas Mavericks129-117
01/02/24APortland Trail Blazers116-119
30/01/24ADenver Nuggets107-113
28/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans141-117
27/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers100-112
25/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers126-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASacramento Kings106-135
09/02/24ALos Angeles Lakers114-106
05/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers112-103
03/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers120-108
01/02/24AOklahoma City Thunder100-105
30/01/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-107
27/01/24HPhiladelphia 76ers111-105
26/01/24ANew York Knicks84-122
24/01/24AIndiana Pacers114-109
21/01/24AWashington Wizards113-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW65%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayLLWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %65%81%48%
Points / game122.5124.1120.9
Allowed / game119.1117.7120.5
Point differential+3.4+6.3+0.4
Avg total241.6241.8241.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)100% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532528
Win %68%84%54%
Points / game114.6119.5110.2
Allowed / game111.0109.8112.0
Point differential+3.6+9.7-1.8
Avg total225.6229.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%52%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (4)55% (11)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics52411179%120.6110.8+9.8
2 Minnesota Timberwolves52361669%113.4107.1+6.3
3 Los Angeles Clippers51351669%118.4112.3+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder53361768%120.7113.6+7.1
5 Denver Nuggets53361768%114.6111.0+3.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers52351767%115.0109.3+5.7
7 Milwaukee Bucks51331865%122.5119.1+3.4
8 New York Knicks52331963%114.8109.2+5.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers53322160%118.6114.0+4.6
10 Phoenix Suns52312160%117.7114.6+3.1
11 New Orleans Pelicans51302159%116.9111.9+4.9
12 Sacramento Kings51302159%118.6117.9+0.7
13 Dallas Mavericks53302357%118.8117.9+0.9
14 Orlando Magic53292455%111.6110.8+0.8
15 Indiana Pacers53282553%123.6122.5+1.1
16 Miami Heat53282553%110.4110.8-0.4
17 Golden State Warriors50252550%119.0117.8+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers52262650%116.3118.0-1.6
19 Utah Jazz53262749%117.8119.9-2.1
20 Chicago Bulls54262848%111.9113.0-1.1
21 Atlanta Hawks54243044%121.7123.9-2.2
22 Houston Rockets52232944%113.5112.8+0.7
23 Brooklyn Nets52213140%113.9115.2-1.2
24 Toronto Raptors54193535%113.7117.6-3.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies53183534%107.1113.4-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers52153729%108.2116.4-8.2
27 Charlotte Hornets53124123%108.4119.8-11.4
28 San Antonio Spurs54114320%112.2120.5-8.4
29 Washington Wizards5294317%114.8123.9-9.2
30 Detroit Pistons5284415%113.2122.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks28323121112
Denver Nuggets2321193295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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