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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-129
26-30 27-33 22-39 30-27
Position#8
Record32-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game122.9
Allowed / game119.6
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record35-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game107.1
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
141-135
141
135
+6
140avg 114
A20/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
122-113
122
113
+9
113avg 114
A23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
126-116
126
116
+10
120avg 114
H25/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
90avg 114
H27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
141-117
141
117
+24
139avg 114
H28/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-113
107
113
-6
97avg 114
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
106avg 114
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
129-117
129
117
+12
126avg 114
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 114
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 114
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-38
36-29
33-31
38-37
30-30
28-26
31-29
33-28
32-28
29-23
32-28
33-37
28-30
29-24
20-26
23-32
36-32
39-31
37-24
29-30
26-25
30-31
19-26
32-31
38-37
27-30
26-29
25-23
20-44
40-21
33-27
36-25
26-32
37-21
32-30
13-40
23-22
26-26
24-31
33-35
237.5Avg total
119.6Scored
117.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)122.9119.6242.6+3.365%
Season at home (24)125.0118.7243.7+6.483%
Season away (25)120.9120.5241.4+0.448%
Last 10 (10)119.6117.9237.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)113.2117.2230.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)135.0102.0237.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)121.9121.0242.9+0.958%
vs Weaker (10)128.2121.9250.1+6.370%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
97-102
97
102
-5
94avg 109
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
125-128
125
128
-3
123avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-107
118
107
+11
105avg 109
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 109
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
112-113
112
113
-1
109avg 109
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
107-101
107
101
+6
101avg 109
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
121-87
121
87
+34
122avg 109
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
106-108
106
108
-2
99avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
111-90
111
90
+21
105avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
123-129 OT
123
129
-6
113avg 109
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
30-27
29-17
14-28
34-32
35-32
38-28
18-36
30-24
27-35
33-19
28-29
24-31
36-17
21-26
15-20
36-23
28-29
26-28
22-33
29-28
20-19
24-30
34-24
24-21
28-27
31-22
38-17
38-26
21-28
29-26
18-28
31-23
17-21
32-20
31-26
33-22
36-25
23-36
23-32
217.5Avg total
111.6Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)113.1107.1220.3+6.069%
Season at home (24)112.7102.6215.3+10.079%
Season away (27)113.5111.1224.7+2.459%
Last 10 (10)111.6105.9217.5+5.750%
Last 5 (5)113.6103.0216.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.9109.1219.9+1.847%
vs Weaker (14)115.2106.6221.8+8.679%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A20/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H25/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H28/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A30/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A05/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
NBA
119.4Avg total
61.4Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.059.4121.4+2.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)66.158.9125.0+7.387%-
Last 30 away (15)57.960.0117.9-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.0119.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)58.657.8116.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.038.0113.0+37.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)59.659.4119.1+0.263%-
vs Weaker (10)65.261.6126.8+3.680%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A07/02
NBA
110.1Avg total
58.1Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.3111.8+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.153.5109.5+2.677%-
Last 30 away (17)58.555.0113.5+3.547%-
Last 10 (10)58.152.0110.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)55.448.0103.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.155.2110.3-0.147%-
vs Weaker (14)60.253.4113.6+6.879%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.129.4
57.5%
54.4%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.413.5
36.1%
36.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws27.820.3
73.0%
78.2%20.3
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.226.9
52.5%
54.4%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.813.5
41.2%
36.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.3
74.6%
78.2%17.3
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWWLWWLL
#8
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+5.8
115.3
Offensive rating
113.4
113.7
Defensive rating
107.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
41.2%
62.0%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 113.4Defence113.7 · 107.6Shooting56.1% · 56.1%3-point %36.1% · 41.2%Ball care11.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds19.4% · 22.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves123-114
05/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks102-115
19/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks138-119
28/10/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves108-113
14/04/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks105-130
24/02/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves139-112
02/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves106-104
05/11/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks106-134
24/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves140-128
27/10/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks95-125
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24APhoenix Suns106-114
05/02/24AUtah Jazz108-123
04/02/24ADallas Mavericks129-117
01/02/24APortland Trail Blazers116-119
30/01/24ADenver Nuggets107-113
28/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans141-117
27/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers100-112
25/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers126-116
23/01/24ADetroit Pistons122-113
20/01/24ADetroit Pistons141-135
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AChicago Bulls123-129 OT
05/02/24HHouston Rockets111-90
03/02/24HOrlando Magic106-108
01/02/24HDallas Mavericks121-87
30/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-101
28/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-113
26/01/24ABrooklyn Nets96-94
25/01/24AWashington Wizards118-107
23/01/24HCharlotte Hornets125-128
21/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL65%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %65%83%48%
Points / game122.9125.0120.9
Allowed / game119.6118.7120.5
Point differential+3.3+6.4+0.4
Avg total242.6243.7241.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)100% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeLLWLW79%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512427
Win %69%79%59%
Points / game113.1112.7113.5
Allowed / game107.1102.6111.1
Point differential+6.0+10.0+2.4
Avg total220.3215.3224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics50391178%120.6110.6+10.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder51351669%120.8113.0+7.7
3 Minnesota Timberwolves51351669%113.1107.1+6.0
4 Denver Nuggets51351669%114.8110.6+4.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers50341668%118.5112.4+6.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers50341668%114.8109.3+5.5
7 Milwaukee Bucks49321765%122.9119.6+3.3
8 New York Knicks51331865%114.9108.9+6.0
9 Philadelphia 76ers50302060%118.5113.7+4.8
10 Phoenix Suns50302060%117.6114.6+3.0
11 New Orleans Pelicans49292059%117.2112.0+5.3
12 Sacramento Kings49292059%118.4118.0+0.4
13 Dallas Mavericks52292356%118.3118.1+0.2
14 Orlando Magic52282454%111.5110.8+0.7
15 Miami Heat52282454%110.5110.8-0.3
16 Indiana Pacers51272453%124.0122.9+1.1
17 Utah Jazz52262650%117.9119.7-1.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers50252550%116.1118.0-1.9
19 Golden State Warriors49242549%119.2117.9+1.2
20 Chicago Bulls51242747%111.4112.8-1.4
21 Houston Rockets50232746%113.7112.7+1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks51222943%121.5124.0-2.4
23 Brooklyn Nets51203139%113.8115.4-1.7
24 Toronto Raptors51183335%114.5117.7-3.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies51183335%107.0113.3-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers50153530%108.4116.6-8.3
27 Charlotte Hornets50104020%108.7120.4-11.7
28 San Antonio Spurs52104219%112.2120.9-8.7
29 Washington Wizards5094118%114.5123.8-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons5074314%113.0122.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks26272230105
Minnesota Timberwolves30333927129
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