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Cibona vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-83
18-15 11-20 20-23 20-25
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Domestic2023
Meetings · Cibona v Mega Basket
21 Apr 2025
CIB83
MEG88
24 Nov 2023
CIB69
MEG83
29 Jan 2023
CIB72
MEG106
04 Oct 2021
CIB89
MEG84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 72
A20/10
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
84-69
84
69
+15
93avg 72
H22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
L
64-91
64
91
-27
52avg 72
A27/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
63-57
63
57
+6
60avg 72
A30/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 72
H04/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
83avg 72
H06/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 72
A11/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 72
A13/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
101-93
101
93
+8
100avg 72
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
75-68
75
68
+7
66avg 72
H19/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
25-24
15-24
29-26
29-17
20-18
15-20
20-14
21-21
14-24
13-27
16-19
20-17
15-13
11-14
17-13
18-20
15-19
25-15
15-18
22-8
17-29
22-6
17-25
18-19
33-22
17-17
16-19
17-11
17-17
12-11
26-15
12-24
32-20
29-23
28-26
16-16
15-14
20-22
24-16
152.1Avg total
77.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.884.8163.5-6.038%
Season at home (2)81.082.5163.5-1.550%
Season away (6)78.085.5163.5-7.533%
Last 10 (10)77.974.2152.1+3.780%
Last 5 (5)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.988.3163.1-13.429%
vs Similar (11)77.483.4160.7-6.027%
vs Weaker (12)86.069.1155.1+16.9100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 78
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 78
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 78
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 78
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 78
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 78
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
99-65
99
65
+34
92avg 78
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 78
H19/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
23-16
23-24
23-6
30-19
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
162.7Avg total
82.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.079.2164.2+5.850%
Season at home (4)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
Season away (4)85.075.0160.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)82.280.5162.7+1.740%
Last 5 (5)84.276.4160.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.487.9165.3-10.411%
vs Similar (9)85.983.8169.7+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.075.4163.4+12.682%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
CibonaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/10
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A27/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A11/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H19/11
Premijer liga
76.4Avg total
39.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.680.3+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.840.080.8+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)42.437.679.9+4.871%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.942.380.1-4.429%-
vs Similar (11)40.340.981.2-0.655%-
vs Weaker (12)45.234.479.6+10.892%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.040.484.4+3.681%-
Last 30 away (14)40.243.783.9-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.477.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.145.883.9-7.722%-
vs Similar (9)43.143.486.6-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.738.082.7+6.791%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.5
49.4%
54.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.1
36.4%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
73.8%14.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.1
55.4%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.6
31.7%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.817.2
69.4%
73.8%17.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cibona
WWWWWWWLWL
Mega Basket
LWWLWWLLLL
#12
League position
#4
+4.3
Net rating
+1.6
106.0
Offensive rating
105.3
101.7
Defensive rating
103.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.4%
3-point %
31.7%
66.5%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 105.3Defence101.7 · 103.8Shooting51.6% · 52.7%3-point %36.4% · 31.7%Ball care17.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Cibona   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cibona wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Cibona v Mega Basket72-106
23/10/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-100 OT
09/01/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-89
04/10/21Cibona v Mega Basket89-84 OT
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HDinamo Zagreb75-68
17/11/23AStudentski Centar101-93
13/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto72-54
11/11/23ADubrovnik84-77
06/11/23HCedevita Junior78-68
04/11/23HMornar Bar73-72
30/10/23ASplit63-57
27/10/23AZadar64-91
22/10/23HBosco84-69
20/10/23ABuducnost85-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
12/11/23AMornar Bar99-65
05/11/23HZadar91-81
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cibona
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%50%33%
Points / game78.881.078.0
Allowed / game84.882.585.5
Point differential-6.0-1.5-7.5
Avg total163.5163.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.085.085.0
Allowed / game79.283.575.0
Point differential+5.8+1.5+10.0
Avg total164.2168.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda87188%88.675.8+12.9
2 Buducnost86275%83.875.0+8.8
3 Igokea86275%81.878.2+3.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija86275%85.584.8+0.8
5 Partizan85362%92.876.9+15.9
6 Mega Basket84450%85.079.2+5.8
7 Zadar84450%82.079.2+2.8
8 Borac Mozzart84450%81.179.9+1.2
9 Studentski Centar84450%85.884.6+1.1
10 FMP Beograd83538%81.585.6-4.1
11 Cibona83538%78.884.8-6.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%72.984.6-11.8
13 Split81712%69.680.4-10.8
14 Mornar Bar81712%71.691.6-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cibona1811202069
Mega Basket1520232583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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