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Circus Brussels vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-78
21-29 26-21 18-11 15-17
Position#5
Record14-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#15
Record8-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 74
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 74
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
67avg 74
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 74
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 74
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 74
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 74
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 74
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
109avg 74
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-86
89
86
+3
76avg 74
A15/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
17-18
21-20
21-13
12-15
25-22
6-13
18-20
10-16
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
21-28
24-25
18-20
27-25
22-24
23-9
21-26
17-15
15-23
16-23
21-18
20-22
25-11
27-23
24-21
26-12
22-20
18-29
21-13
28-24
153.5Avg total
79.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.376.3154.5+2.064%
Season at home (10)76.073.6149.6+2.460%
Season away (12)80.278.5158.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)79.274.3153.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)87.282.2169.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar (12)78.480.7159.1-2.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.272.8152.9+7.475%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
58avg 68
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-83
65
83
-18
43avg 68
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 68
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 68
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
77-104
77
104
-27
62avg 68
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 68
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 68
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 68
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-60
79
60
+19
75avg 68
H16/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-28
12-21
19-26
13-22
13-26
21-22
18-13
19-25
23-18
26-22
30-19
16-25
21-20
16-25
16-18
18-10
20-22
5-23
26-20
23-25
22-26
19-25
13-28
15-20
16-21
25-21
29-28
20-20
16-27
23-21
16-10
10-17
16-21
26-16
15-17
17-17
25-16
16-13
21-14
157.7Avg total
75.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.684.5165.1-4.036%
Season at home (12)80.479.7160.1+0.850%
Season away (10)80.890.4171.2-9.620%
Last 10 (10)75.582.2157.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)76.680.6157.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.083.2157.2-9.212%
vs Similar (6)75.285.3160.5-10.233%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.3168.4+11.986%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Circus BrusselsZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/02
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
39.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.9-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.977.8+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.179.9-2.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.078.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.842.681.3-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.837.077.8+3.844%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
BNXT League
78.3Avg total
36.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.242.680.8-4.324%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.040.180.1-0.143%-
Last 30 away (15)36.644.981.5-8.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.078.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.078.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.141.778.8-4.619%-
vs Similar (6)36.046.782.7-10.70%-
vs Weaker (7)42.941.184.0+1.757%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.8
52.5%
52.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.0
33.5%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
71.9%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.211.2
73.7%
71.9%11.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWLWLWLWWW
Zwolle
WLLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#15
+6.2
Net rating
-6.6
106.8
Offensive rating
105.5
100.6
Defensive rating
112.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.5%
3-point %
35.3%
53.5%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 105.5Defence100.6 · 112.0Shooting51.8% · 52.2%3-point %33.5% · 35.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Circus Brussels wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Zwolle v Circus Brussels84-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AMechelen89-86
09/02/25HQSTA Utd102-67
01/02/25ALeuven Bears72-86
25/01/25ALWD Basket83-74
17/01/25HOkapi Aalst90-98
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
26/12/24HSpirou Charleroi59-71
21/12/24ALeiden71-66
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HOostende79-60
08/02/25ASpirou Charleroi67-71
02/02/25HLeiden75-78
25/01/25ABelfius Mons85-90
18/01/25ALeuven Bears77-104
12/01/25HMechelen69-75
04/01/25ADen Bosch69-88
27/12/24HFeyenoord98-84
22/12/24HDonar Groningen65-83
15/12/24HKortrijk71-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game78.376.080.2
Allowed / game76.373.678.5
Point differential+2.0+2.4+1.7
Avg total154.5149.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game80.680.480.8
Allowed / game84.579.790.4
Point differential-4.0+0.8-9.6
Avg total165.1160.1171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2219386%91.375.3+16.0
2 Kortrijk2218482%96.877.5+19.3
3 Mechelen2317674%80.874.4+6.3
4 Limburg2114767%81.074.9+6.1
5 Circus Brussels2214864%78.376.3+2.0
6 Spirou Charleroi2213959%79.674.1+5.5
7 Okapi Aalst23131057%82.678.6+4.0
8 Antwerp Giants22121055%80.979.7+1.2
9 Den Bosch24131154%82.181.2+1.0
10 Leuven Bears23121152%79.775.4+4.3
11 Belfius Mons23121152%80.778.8+1.8
12 LWD Basket23121152%80.683.3-2.7
13 Leiden22111150%77.579.9-2.5
14 Zwolle2281436%80.684.5-4.0
15 Donar Groningen2171433%77.285.9-8.7
16 Den Helder2371630%70.983.2-12.3
17 Feyenoord2261627%81.190.4-9.3
18 QSTA Utd222209%77.490.4-13.0
19 BAL Weert222209%69.084.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2126181580
Zwolle2921111778
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