PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

LWD Basket vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-83
24-22 9-23 26-21 15-17
Position#10
Record11-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2024-25
Meetings · LWD Basket v Circus Brussels
25 Jan 2025
LWD 74
CIRC83
09 Apr 2024
LWD 80
CIRC61
18 Mar 2022
LWD 75
CIRC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
97-81
97
81
+16
100avg 75
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
88avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 75
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
77avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
72-101
72
101
-29
56avg 75
A20/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
51avg 75
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 75
H14/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
95avg 75
H18/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
26-15
17-22
23-15
13-21
21-20
17-16
21-14
20-11
18-21
22-21
21-28
16-25
21-27
22-27
26-22
23-10
19-19
29-19
10-19
17-23
21-4
25-22
19-15
19-22
18-24
17-31
18-24
14-26
15-17
15-17
13-15
28-23
25-13
24-15
18-19
22-23
27-12
18-17
23-24
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.280.6162.8+1.661%
Season at home (10)87.782.2169.9+5.560%
Season away (8)75.478.6154.0-3.262%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.277.2156.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.485.3162.7-7.937%
vs Similar (5)85.481.2166.6+4.260%
vs Weaker (5)82.072.6154.6+9.480%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 73
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 73
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 73
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 73
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 73
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 73
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
67avg 73
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 73
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 73
H17/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
17-18
21-20
21-13
12-15
25-22
6-13
18-20
10-16
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
21-28
24-25
18-20
27-25
152.0Avg total
75.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.475.8152.3+0.661%
Season at home (9)73.174.3147.4-1.256%
Season away (9)79.877.3157.1+2.467%
Last 10 (10)75.176.9152.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.671.8146.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar (12)77.279.5156.8-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.073.4152.4+5.669%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
LWD BasketCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H14/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H18/01
BNXT League
79.9Avg total
41.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.081.6-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.584.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.442.578.9-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.579.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.744.983.6-6.321%-
vs Similar (5)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
vs Weaker (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/01
BNXT League
77.5Avg total
36.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.578.6-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.177.8+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.979.4-2.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.377.5-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.676.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.841.880.5-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.437.477.8+2.938%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.5
53.6%
52.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.1
37.9%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.1%
71.9%15.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.6
53.9%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.5
30.7%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
71.9%13.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
WWLLWWLLWW
Circus Brussels
LWLWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#5
+2.6
Net rating
-2.7
110.2
Offensive rating
101.4
107.6
Defensive rating
104.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.9%
3-point %
30.7%
60.1%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 101.4Defence107.6 · 104.1Shooting54.9% · 51.1%3-point %37.9% · 30.7%Ball care18.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LWD Basket wins
2
Circus Brussels wins
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HAntwerp Giants90-76
14/01/25HDen Helder95-70
10/01/25ALimburg57-75
20/12/24ABelfius Mons72-101
14/12/24AOkapi Aalst82-64
11/12/24ADen Helder 281-67
07/12/24HSpirou Charleroi85-101
01/12/24HLeiden92-95 OT
29/11/24ADonar Groningen72-71
16/11/24HLeuven Bears97-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HOkapi Aalst90-98
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
26/12/24HSpirou Charleroi59-71
21/12/24ALeiden71-66
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
29/11/24ALimburg89-95
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game82.287.775.4
Allowed / game80.682.278.6
Point differential+1.6+5.5-3.2
Avg total162.8169.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%56%67%
Points / game76.473.179.8
Allowed / game75.874.377.3
Point differential+0.6-1.2+2.4
Avg total152.3147.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1816289%91.977.0+14.9
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Limburg1813572%81.673.7+7.9
4 Mechelen1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Leuven Bears1811761%80.473.2+7.2
6 LWD Basket1811761%82.280.6+1.6
7 Circus Brussels1811761%76.475.8+0.6
8 Spirou Charleroi1810856%79.574.2+5.3
9 Okapi Aalst1810856%80.978.6+2.4
10 Antwerp Giants179853%78.578.8-0.3
11 Belfius Mons189950%80.479.4+1.0
12 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
13 Den Bosch1881044%80.382.2-1.9
14 Zwolle1871139%81.586.7-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1751229%76.685.1-8.5
16 Feyenoord1851328%80.889.4-8.6
17 Den Helder1951426%70.783.1-12.4
18 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
19 QSTA Utd1821611%77.288.4-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket249261574
Circus Brussels2223211783
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.