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Cividale vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-69
20-17 16-17 14-10 27-25
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cividale 🏆
Italy
vs
Forli
Italy
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaGesteco
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cividale v Forli
26 Sep 2026
CIVI68
FORL85
07 Mar 2026
CIVI80
FORL84
21 May 2025
CIVI78
FORL81
13 May 2025
CIVI82
FORL74
11 May 2025
CIVI90
FORL85
29 Sep 2024
CIVI77
FORL69
06 Jan 2024
CIVI86
FORL77
11 Feb 2023
CIVI73
FORL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 69
H15/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 69
A23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
82-59
82
59
+23
79avg 69
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
94-92
94
92
+2
96avg 69
A06/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 69
H12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 69
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
71avg 69
A05/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-84
67
84
-17
60avg 69
A07/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 69
H10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
64avg 69
H12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
15-22
18-12
22-23
18-13
23-27
21-10
26-18
21-17
22-22
18-9
21-11
19-28
30-17
15-23
30-24
27-16
27-12
21-22
14-14
23-24
23-11
15-19
16-22
9-24
25-24
26-21
16-22
17-16
19-22
11-23
20-23
16-16
20-18
18-21
19-11
15-19
14-16
22-20
21-19
153.8Avg total
79.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.674.2153.8+5.470%
Last 5 (5)73.078.2151.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.577.6151.1-4.236%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.876.0151.8-0.254%
vs Weaker (6)82.771.5154.2+11.283%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 69
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 69
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 69
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 69
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 69
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 69
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 69
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
49-72
49
72
-23
31avg 69
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 69
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 69
A24/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
10-20
13-19
15-9
11-24
18-24
23-24
16-24
19-19
11-19
23-23
19-22
15-21
154.4Avg total
76.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.777.7154.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.078.6149.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.073.7146.7-0.757%
vs Weaker (16)82.774.7157.4+8.088%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
CividaleForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A06/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H12/05
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
40.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.976.7-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.937.574.3-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.479.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.578.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.041.076.0-6.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.738.375.0-1.638%-
vs Weaker (6)45.236.581.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/05
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
38.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.276.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.934.773.6+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.180.1+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.679.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.637.172.7-1.443%-
vs Weaker (16)42.837.380.1+5.469%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.7
51.4%
50.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.1
39.0%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
74.4%15.1
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.4
51.6%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.7
29.9%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.8%
74.4%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
LWLLWWWWWW
Forli
LLLWLWWWLW
#5
League position
#6
+8.0
Net rating
-1.4
116.3
Offensive rating
106.0
108.3
Defensive rating
107.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.0%
3-point %
29.9%
60.8%
Assist %
54.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 106.0Defence108.3 · 107.4Shooting54.5% · 48.5%3-point %39.0% · 29.9%Ball care15.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cividale   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cividale wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Cividale v Forli86-77
01/11/23Forli v Cividale84-78 OT
11/02/23Cividale v Forli73-77
20/11/22Forli v Cividale53-56
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HCantu72-74
10/05/24HCantu73-66
07/05/24ACantu67-84
05/05/24ACantu76-91
21/04/24AVigevano77-76
12/04/24HMonferrato89-64
06/04/24AUrania Milano94-92
30/03/24HCantu82-59
23/03/24ALuiss Roma88-68
15/03/24HBasket Torino78-68
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24ATrieste68-85
21/05/24HTrieste76-91
19/05/24HTrieste49-72
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sebastiani Rieti110100%80.072.0+8.0
2 Assigeco Piacenza1010%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2016142777
Forli1717102569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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