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San Jose State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 58-73
27-26 31-47
Position#251
Record12-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record14-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Jose State v Nevada
23 Jan 2027
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
SAN 87
NEVA71
14 Feb 2025
SAN 58
NEVA73
23 Feb 2024
SAN 63
NEVA84
07 Jan 2023
SAN 40
NEVA67
17 Feb 2022
SAN 60
NEVA90
13 Feb 2021
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
08 Jan 2020
SAN 70
NEVA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A18/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H26/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-45
42-40
29-31
40-31
31-35
40-35
32-36
32-39
23-19
44-39
41-29
27-42
37-29
38-35
31-29
36-38
25-37
27-42
37-20
29-49
142.8Avg total
70.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.972.8146.7+1.146%
Season at home (15)74.171.2145.3+2.953%
Season away (11)73.574.9148.5-1.436%
Last 10 (10)70.472.4142.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)71.074.8145.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.273.2139.5-7.019%
vs Similar (7)72.974.7147.6-1.943%
vs Weaker (7)85.371.3156.6+14.086%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
77-66 OT
77
66
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
33-36
30-31
34-33
33-35
35-27
36-32
39-32
38-47
31-43
21-28
29-41
24-28
32-38
33-30
38-35
30-28
44-32
41-31
53-38
140.8Avg total
71.5Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.467.6141.0+5.858%
Season at home (17)75.166.2141.3+8.971%
Season away (7)69.171.1140.3-2.029%
Last 10 (10)71.569.3140.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)69.065.8134.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.871.2141.0-1.333%
vs Similar (12)71.869.2140.9+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.865.4142.2+11.383%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
San Jose StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H26/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H12/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.266.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.432.667.0+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.865.4-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.863.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.233.464.6-2.231%-
vs Similar (7)33.133.066.1+0.171%-
vs Weaker (7)37.432.970.3+4.671%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.565.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.831.866.5+3.060%-
Last 30 away (10)31.631.162.7+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.464.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.058.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.732.866.5+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)33.831.965.7+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.730.564.2+3.267%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Jose State wins
8
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HSan Diego State66-69
08/02/25ABoise State52-79
05/02/25AFresno State94-91 OT
01/02/25HAir Force75-64
29/01/25ASan Diego State68-71
26/01/25HWyoming67-58
18/01/25ANevada64-75
15/01/25HNew Mexico71-70
11/01/25AAir Force69-62
08/01/25HUtah State78-85
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HFresno State94-69
05/02/25AAir Force74-60
02/02/25HUNLV71-65
30/01/25ABoise State56-66
26/01/25HSan Diego State50-69
23/01/25AUtah State69-90
18/01/25HSan Jose State75-64
15/01/25HAir Force68-62
12/01/25AFresno State77-66 OT
04/01/25ANew Mexico81-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%53%36%
Points / game73.974.173.5
Allowed / game72.871.274.9
Point differential+1.1+2.9-1.4
Avg total146.7145.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %58%71%29%
Points / game73.475.169.1
Allowed / game67.666.271.1
Point differential+5.8+8.9-2.0
Avg total141.0141.3140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%81.869.4+12.4
2 New Mexico2521484%83.270.7+12.5
3 Grand Canyon2418675%78.568.2+10.2
4 San Diego State2216673%71.163.3+7.8
5 Boise State2417771%77.265.8+11.4
6 Colorado State2415962%74.069.5+4.5
7 Nevada24141058%73.467.6+5.8
8 UNLV25131252%70.769.3+1.4
9 San Jose State26121446%73.972.8+1.1
10 Wyoming25111444%68.270.4-2.2
11 Fresno State2552020%72.982.9-10.0
12 Air Force2532212%62.472.6-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State273158
Nevada264773
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