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Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-78
20-21 26-24 19-22 16-11
Position#12
Record6-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#11
Record7-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2021
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern
29 Oct 2026
CZV103
BAY73
06 Mar 2026
CZV80
BAY85
29 Nov 2024
CZV101
BAY77
02 Nov 2023
CZV74
BAY68
28 Oct 2022
CZV78
BAY72
17 Dec 2021
CZV81
BAY78
02 Mar 2021
CZV76
BAY78
18 Dec 2015
CZV85
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
71-56
71
56
+15
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#15
L
74-93
74
93
-19
62avg 69
A16/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
61avg 69
A18/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#7
W
99-67
99
67
+32
103avg 69
A22/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#9
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 69
H26/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
69-58
69
58
+11
62avg 69
A03/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 69
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
83avg 69
H09/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
71-70
71
70
+1
63avg 69
A11/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 69
H14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
17-13
15-19
24-16
22-25
10-30
21-13
21-25
13-16
19-16
14-25
21-22
27-19
22-21
23-8
27-19
16-26
23-21
18-29
21-22
23-16
19-12
16-12
11-18
15-17
25-14
23-23
23-18
19-15
17-23
20-15
25-23
12-16
15-19
15-24
29-11
13-20
18-14
18-27
20-15
151.0Avg total
76.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.772.3143.0-1.740%
Season at home (7)74.072.0146.0+2.057%
Season away (8)67.872.6140.4-4.925%
Last 10 (10)76.574.5151.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)75.270.4145.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.875.2145.0-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.670.5141.1+0.245%
vs Weaker (15)81.468.2149.6+13.287%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 74
H16/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 74
H18/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#10
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 74
A21/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 74
A25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-65
73
65
+8
68avg 74
H02/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 74
A04/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 74
H06/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 74
H09/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 74
A12/12
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
44avg 74
A15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
13-18
14-16
22-17
22-22
15-22
22-16
22-18
20-15
14-18
26-14
20-19
24-18
17-14
16-24
17-21
12-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
20-23
27-17
20-12
15-16
20-16
13-17
19-25
25-13
27-23
17-15
22-26
17-7
16-22
25-16
19-18
20-17
10-26
14-23
13-16
23-18
147.6Avg total
76.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.075.4149.4-1.447%
Season at home (7)77.073.4150.4+3.671%
Season away (8)71.477.1148.5-5.825%
Last 10 (10)76.171.5147.6+4.680%
Last 5 (5)76.473.2149.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.780.5153.2-7.817%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.874.7149.4+0.144%
vs Weaker (14)80.473.9154.3+6.679%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
Crvena zvezdaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#15
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A16/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A22/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H26/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A03/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A11/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/12
Euroleague
72.1Avg total
36.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.473.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.733.071.7+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.537.774.3-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.172.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.268.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.836.270.0-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.234.969.1-0.745%-
vs Weaker (15)41.235.576.7+5.787%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A21/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A04/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/12
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A15/12
Euroleague
75.0Avg total
37.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.776.9-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.575.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.878.0-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.575.0+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.841.574.3-8.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.137.775.8+0.456%-
vs Weaker (14)40.437.678.1+2.857%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.1
55.5%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
77.2%14.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.7
54.6%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
77.2%13.6
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWLWLLW
Bayern
LWWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#11
+2.6
Net rating
+6.7
109.0
Offensive rating
109.7
106.4
Defensive rating
102.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
35.2%
65.8%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 109.7Defence106.4 · 102.9Shooting52.4% · 53.9%3-point %31.9% · 35.2%Ball care17.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
02/03/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern76-78
06/11/20Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-59
18/12/15Crvena zvezda v Bayern85-76
12/11/15Bayern v Crvena zvezda79-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21HBarcelona69-76
11/12/21AKK Krka Novo mesto71-70
09/12/21HOlympiacos81-76
06/12/21HCibona86-72
03/12/21AZenit Petersburg69-58
26/11/21HUnics Kazan78-98
22/11/21AStudentski Centar99-67
18/11/21AReal Madrid67-79
16/11/21ABaskonia74-93
14/11/21HPartizan71-56
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21AOlympiacos60-83
12/12/21AAlba Berlin80-73
09/12/21HAnadolu Efes83-71
06/12/21HHeidelberg77-71
04/12/21ASyntainics MBC82-68
02/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne73-65
25/11/21ACSKA Moscow74-77
21/11/21AGottingen80-66
18/11/21HPanathinaikos81-78
16/11/21HFenerbahce71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game70.774.067.8
Allowed / game72.372.072.6
Point differential-1.7+2.0-4.9
Avg total143.0146.0140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game74.077.071.4
Allowed / game75.473.477.1
Point differential-1.4+3.6-5.8
Avg total149.4150.4148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1614288%83.674.0+9.6
2 Real Madrid1613381%79.972.2+7.7
3 Olympiacos1611569%81.172.6+8.4
4 Unics Kazan1610662%77.472.8+4.6
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%75.071.9+3.1
6 Zenit Petersburg1610662%73.571.7+1.8
7 CSKA Moscow1610662%80.179.4+0.6
8 Anadolu Efes168850%83.179.1+4.0
9 Bayern157847%74.075.4-1.4
10 Fenerbahce167944%75.673.8+1.8
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.178.8-0.7
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne167944%72.678.1-5.5
13 Crvena zvezda156940%70.772.3-1.7
14 Monaco1661038%81.282.9-1.8
15 Alba Berlin1651131%74.680.9-6.3
16 Baskonia1651131%70.278.9-8.7
17 Panathinaikos1641225%73.078.8-5.8
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1631319%70.480.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2026191681
Bayern2124221178
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