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Crailsheim Merlins vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-82
20-23 22-27 16-14 21-18
Position#14
Record7-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#12
Record9-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game83.1
GermanyBBLRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz
09 Mar 2024
CME82
CHE97
05 Feb 2023
CME79
CHE82
15 Oct 2022
CME86
CHE72
07 May 2022
CME95
CHE93
09 Dec 2020
CME88
CHE76
30 Sep 2017
CME78
CHE70
04 Nov 2016
CME85
CHE75
07 Dec 2013
CME90
CHE77
16 Feb 2013
CME82
CHE71
03 Dec 2011
CME90
CHE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 77
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
18-30
24-14
23-29
23-17
26-27
28-23
24-24
23-21
33-23
31-23
15-26
21-18
23-24
30-30
13-33
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
179.6Avg total
89.5Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.791.8180.5-3.141%
Season at home (8)94.093.0187.0+1.050%
Season away (9)84.090.7174.7-6.733%
Last 10 (10)89.590.1179.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)87.890.6178.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.695.0177.6-12.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.889.4180.1+1.457%
vs Weaker (7)84.378.6162.9+5.757%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 79
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 79
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 79
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 79
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
76avg 79
A03/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
19-14
11-25
24-24
27-20
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
26-20
24-22
22-22
24-17
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
20-19
18-25
18-10
19-23
18-16
18-23
21-18
14-21
24-23
19-17
23-13
20-21
22-19
17-29
13-11
22-18
159.5Avg total
82.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.383.1169.4+3.256%
Season at home (8)88.683.5172.1+5.175%
Season away (8)84.082.6166.6+1.438%
Last 10 (10)82.776.8159.5+5.950%
Last 5 (5)79.076.4155.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.087.0169.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.282.4163.6-1.230%
vs Weaker (15)90.677.5168.1+13.173%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
Crailsheim MerlinsChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
87.5Avg total
44.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.586.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.284.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.844.987.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.787.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.646.886.4-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.643.889.4+1.957%-
vs Weaker (7)43.936.079.9+7.986%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/02
BBL
80.8Avg total
40.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.086.9+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.541.989.4+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.184.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.280.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.044.385.3-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.744.185.8-2.420%-
vs Weaker (15)48.140.288.3+7.973%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
54.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.4
39.3%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.313.6
78.6%
75.8%13.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.9
60.6%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
75.8%14.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWLWLWWL
Chemnitz
LWLLWWWWLL
#14
League position
#12
-1.7
Net rating
+7.1
114.5
Offensive rating
112.1
116.1
Defensive rating
105.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.3%
3-point %
36.0%
58.5%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 112.1Defence116.1 · 105.0Shooting56.6% · 57.4%3-point %39.3% · 36.0%Ball care16.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crailsheim Merlins wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72
11/01/23AGaziantep87-105
07/01/23HHeidelberg102-93
04/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig101-91
26/12/22AWurzburg78-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23AWurzburg74-77
31/01/23AFC Porto86-74
29/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig71-78
24/01/23ACholet75-77
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76
18/01/23ARostock96-81
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
03/01/23AOldenburg81-83
26/12/22ABonn73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game88.794.084.0
Allowed / game91.893.090.7
Point differential-3.1+1.0-6.7
Avg total180.5187.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game86.388.684.0
Allowed / game83.183.582.6
Point differential+3.2+5.1+1.4
Avg total169.4172.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1716194%91.279.4+11.8
2 Bonn1715288%91.075.5+15.5
3 Bayern1713476%83.977.3+6.6
4 Oldenburg1812667%85.281.9+3.3
5 Ludwigsburg1710759%87.584.1+3.4
6 Gottingen1710759%86.885.9+0.9
7 Chemnitz169756%86.383.1+3.2
8 Ulm189950%88.286.4+1.8
9 Wurzburg189950%84.185.1-1.0
10 Rostock1991047%85.790.1-4.4
11 Bamberg1981142%85.786.7-1.1
12 Crailsheim Merlins1771041%88.791.8-3.1
13 Heidelberg1871139%87.491.3-3.9
14 Syntainics MBC1871139%83.088.3-5.3
15 Hamburg1861233%83.886.8-3.1
16 Basketball Braunschweig1951426%78.784.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1951426%79.586.6-7.1
18 Bayreuth1831517%80.588.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2022162179
Chemnitz2327141882
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