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Crailsheim Merlins vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-97
14-20 25-22 19-26 24-29
Position#17
Record4-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game92.9
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
vs
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record18-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game76.7
GermanyBBLRound 23· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz
09 Mar 2024
CME82
CHE97
05 Feb 2023
CME79
CHE82
15 Oct 2022
CME86
CHE72
07 May 2022
CME95
CHE93
09 Dec 2020
CME88
CHE76
30 Sep 2017
CME78
CHE70
04 Nov 2016
CME85
CHE75
07 Dec 2013
CME90
CHE77
16 Feb 2013
CME82
CHE71
03 Dec 2011
CME90
CHE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 67
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 67
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 67
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
59-106
59
106
-47
15avg 67
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 67
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 67
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 67
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
89-100
89
100
-11
77avg 67
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 67
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 67
A01/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
16-29
26-16
19-14
23-30
18-21
20-12
31-15
18-28
11-34
11-21
22-24
15-27
22-14
25-22
12-25
11-19
27-21
11-31
17-17
26-29
25-18
22-26
20-16
29-25
22-28
22-24
23-23
22-25
15-22
12-26
13-25
18-7
23-28
18-17
21-15
18-26
166.6Avg total
77.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.692.9171.5-14.318%
Season at home (10)80.989.7170.6-8.830%
Season away (12)76.795.6172.2-18.98%
Last 10 (10)77.189.5166.6-12.420%
Last 5 (5)80.889.8170.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.093.3169.2-17.35%
vs Similar (9)84.683.9168.4+0.756%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 81
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 81
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 81
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 81
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 81
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 81
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 81
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 81
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 81
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
167.3Avg total
87.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.976.7163.6+10.282%
Season at home (11)87.073.5160.5+13.591%
Season away (11)86.879.9166.7+6.973%
Last 10 (10)87.180.2167.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)85.272.2157.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)81.487.6169.0-6.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.472.8162.1+16.692%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
Crailsheim MerlinsChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
BBL
84.4Avg total
38.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.983.0-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.841.482.2-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)37.646.183.6-8.519%-
Last 10 (10)38.645.884.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.448.287.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.145.883.9-7.620%-
vs Similar (9)41.639.981.4+1.756%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
86.2Avg total
47.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.636.681.3+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.335.981.2+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)44.037.381.3+6.760%-
Last 10 (10)47.538.786.2+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)49.036.285.2+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.435.680.0+8.776%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.3
51.3%
54.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.6
28.6%
35.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.818.9
82.9%
76.0%18.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.9
58.9%
54.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
76.0%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWLLLWLL
Chemnitz
WWLWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#3
-16.1
Net rating
+9.0
98.9
Offensive rating
112.4
115.0
Defensive rating
103.4
47.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.6%
3-point %
31.9%
57.0%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 112.4Defence115.0 · 103.4Shooting47.6% · 54.2%3-point %28.6% · 31.9%Ball care21.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 35.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Crailsheim Merlins wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
26/12/23Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins95-67
05/02/23Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz79-82
18/11/22Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins106-94
15/10/22Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz86-72
07/05/22Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz95-93
30/12/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins82-92
14/04/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins73-85
09/12/20Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz88-76
31/03/18Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins74-91
30/09/17Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz78-70
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24AWurzburg80-86
14/02/24AOldenburg58-80
10/02/24HLudwigsburg89-100
02/02/24ATubingen96-85
28/01/24ABayern81-98
20/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-80
13/01/24ALudwigsburg59-106
06/01/24HSyntainics MBC87-76
30/12/23HHamburg84-89
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %18%30%8%
Points / game78.680.976.7
Allowed / game92.989.795.6
Point differential-14.3-8.8-18.9
Avg total171.5170.6172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%0%8%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayLWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game86.987.086.8
Allowed / game76.773.579.9
Point differential+10.2+13.5+6.9
Avg total163.6160.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%64%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2118386%90.177.0+13.0
2 Chemnitz2218482%86.976.7+10.2
3 Alba Berlin1914574%92.684.2+8.5
4 Wurzburg2115671%85.779.4+6.2
5 Ludwigsburg2214864%89.480.4+9.0
6 Vechta2214864%89.681.6+8.0
7 Ulm2214864%91.588.3+3.3
8 Bonn2314961%90.385.8+4.5
9 Hamburg2011955%87.088.2-1.1
10 Basketball Braunschweig22111150%84.686.0-1.4
11 Oldenburg22101245%83.484.5-1.1
12 Bamberg2291341%88.089.5-1.5
13 Gottingen2171433%90.397.8-7.5
14 Syntainics MBC2271532%85.891.6-5.8
15 Rostock2161529%90.995.0-4.2
16 Tubingen2251723%85.796.6-10.9
17 Crailsheim Merlins2241818%78.692.9-14.3
18 Heidelberg2231914%82.396.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1425192482
Chemnitz2022262997
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