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Crailsheim Merlins vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-89
16-29 26-16 19-14 23-30
Position#17
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#10
Record7-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game90.3
GermanyBBLRound 14· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Hamburg
30 Dec 2023
CME84
HAM89
26 Nov 2022
CME92
HAM84
20 Nov 2021
CME90
HAM73
02 May 2021
CME85
HAM79
19 Jan 2020
CME101
HAM98
25 Nov 2017
CME82
HAM72
25 Mar 2017
CME82
HAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 71
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 71
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 71
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
46avg 71
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 71
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
49avg 71
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 71
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 71
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 71
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 71
A26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
16-18
20-24
12-25
10-29
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
29-25
18-23
21-19
19-27
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
170.4Avg total
76.1Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.895.7174.5-16.815%
Season at home (6)79.892.0171.8-12.233%
Season away (7)78.098.9176.9-20.90%
Last 10 (10)76.194.3170.4-18.210%
Last 5 (5)84.893.6178.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.193.0171.1-14.912%
vs Similar (11)82.886.6169.5-3.836%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#14
L
71-84
71
84
-13
62avg 75
H21/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 75
A24/11
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 75
A28/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
88avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 75
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 75
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 75
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
91-120
91
120
-29
86avg 75
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
90avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
101-118
101
118
-17
106avg 75
A27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-23
18-21
16-16
18-26
22-19
21-27
26-24
20-22
17-31
23-21
17-20
21-23
30-15
16-17
19-26
19-26
16-26
19-22
29-23
24-14
24-26
19-25
16-16
20-20
21-28
29-25
24-13
27-35
21-24
19-29
24-32
19-31
28-21
17-25
30-31
23-35
29-30
31-19
18-34
183.2Avg total
86.7Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.890.3178.1-2.658%
Season at home (5)81.887.8169.6-6.060%
Season away (7)92.092.1184.1-0.157%
Last 10 (10)86.796.5183.2-9.830%
Last 5 (5)92.6102.6195.2-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)79.595.2174.7-15.815%
vs Similar (5)86.086.2172.2-0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.889.5187.2+8.2100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Crailsheim MerlinsHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
85.5Avg total
38.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.983.7-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.681.5-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.085.6-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)38.347.285.5-8.90%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.688.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.945.484.3-6.518%-
vs Similar (11)41.841.883.6+0.045%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A24/11
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A28/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A27/12
Eurocup
93.5Avg total
43.6Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.588.9-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.145.383.4-7.233%-
Last 30 away (18)45.247.392.6-2.139%-
Last 10 (10)43.649.993.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)47.252.8100.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.149.290.3-8.125%-
vs Similar (5)43.039.882.8+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.243.288.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.8
51.2%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
76.0%12.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.1
54.2%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.4
38.8%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
76.0%17.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWLLLLLL
Hamburg
LLLWWLWLLL
#17
League position
#10
-23.8
Net rating
-13.7
99.8
Offensive rating
110.2
123.6
Defensive rating
123.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
60.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
38.8%
55.5%
Assist %
64.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 110.2Defence123.6 · 123.8Shooting50.1% · 55.8%3-point %32.3% · 38.8%Ball care20.6% · 20.9%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Crailsheim Merlins wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
25/11/23AUlm87-94
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93
11/11/23AVechta58-96
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv101-118
23/12/23ABonn94-108
20/12/23AParis91-120
15/12/23HTubingen94-86
13/12/23ALondon Lions83-81
05/12/23HPrometey83-97
02/12/23ASyntainics MBC86-81
28/11/23AVenezia77-94
24/11/23AChemnitz87-96
21/11/23HBC Wolves71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game78.879.878.0
Allowed / game95.792.098.9
Point differential-16.8-12.2-20.9
Avg total174.5171.8176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%0%14%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game87.881.892.0
Allowed / game90.387.892.1
Point differential-2.6-6.0-0.1
Avg total178.1169.6184.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1312192%87.473.1+14.3
2 Ulm1310377%93.288.5+4.7
3 Bayern118373%88.178.1+10.0
4 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
5 Wurzburg139469%82.376.0+6.3
6 Vechta149564%88.480.1+8.3
7 Ludwigsburg138562%88.879.8+8.9
8 Bonn159660%89.984.7+5.2
9 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
10 Rostock136746%92.592.5+0.1
11 Oldenburg146843%83.984.2-0.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig146843%84.387.9-3.6
13 Bamberg145936%88.291.7-3.5
14 Tubingen134931%85.294.1-8.8
15 Syntainics MBC1441029%81.789.0-7.3
16 Gottingen123925%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Heidelberg1321115%83.894.5-10.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins1321115%78.895.7-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1626192384
Hamburg2916143089
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