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Crailsheim Merlins vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-77
25-18 21-21 15-19 18-19
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
vs
Rostock
Germany
Position#12
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup· Arena Hohenlohe
Other2024-25
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock
14 Sep 2024
CME79
ROS77
29 Sep 2023
CME85
ROS81
23 Dec 2022
CME91
ROS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 69
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 69
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 69
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 69
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
78avg 69
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
82-109
82
109
-27
72avg 69
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
80avg 69
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-103
83
103
-20
64avg 69
H12/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
24-16
12-30
31-21
21-27
16-30
24-24
22-31
20-24
18-24
18-5
27-25
22-16
18-26
25-23
27-26
13-28
176.6Avg total
85.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.890.8176.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)80.892.4173.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)79.292.6171.8-13.417%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 76
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 76
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 76
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 76
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 76
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
89-112
89
112
-23
64avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
58avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 76
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 76
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
63avg 76
A12/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
24-27
20-31
23-26
22-28
20-14
22-18
20-21
29-32
22-15
20-25
14-20
14-16
24-18
5-18
25-27
16-22
19-24
18-28
27-20
9-29
169.5Avg total
78.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.990.6169.5-11.730%
Last 5 (5)78.691.8170.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)84.093.6177.6-9.620%
vs Similar (5)91.891.2183.0+0.640%
vs Weaker (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -7.8-7.8
Crailsheim MerlinsRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H12/05
BBL
86.7Avg total
41.1Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.646.285.8-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.044.385.3-3.327%-
Last 30 away (15)38.248.186.3-9.913%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.686.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.882.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.446.085.4-6.517%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weakerno games
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A12/05
BBL
83.0Avg total
40.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.787.8-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.143.986.9-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.145.588.6-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.683.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.682.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)42.146.288.4-4.125%-
vs Similar (5)46.246.092.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.9
55.3%
55.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
33.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
77.8%11.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.7
52.1%
55.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.415.5
84.2%
77.8%15.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLLWLWLW
Rostock
LLLWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#12
-6.0
Net rating
-16.0
106.9
Offensive rating
100.6
113.0
Defensive rating
116.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.9%
3-point %
30.4%
58.4%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 100.6Defence113.0 · 116.6Shooting56.0% · 49.3%3-point %37.9% · 30.4%Ball care20.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 23.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
08/05/24Rostock v Crailsheim Merlins70-85
29/09/23Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock85-81
12/03/23Rostock v Crailsheim Merlins86-79
23/12/22Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock91-103
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HAlba Berlin83-103
08/05/24ARostock85-70
04/05/24HBamberg82-109
30/04/24AHamburg88-94
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ABayern73-101
08/05/24HCrailsheim Merlins70-85
05/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig70-76
30/04/24HLudwigsburg91-85
27/04/24ABonn89-112
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
German Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rostock
German Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt110100%71.068.0+3.0
2 Trier1010%68.071.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2521151879
Rostock1821191977
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