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Cremona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-94
25-26 22-17 24-26 18-25
Position#9
Record11-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.7
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cremona v Brescia
15 Mar 2026
CRE78
BRE79
10 Nov 2024
CRE89
BRE100
20 Apr 2024
CRE84
BRE77
24 Apr 2022
CRE76
BRE88
25 Apr 2021
CRE89
BRE94
17 Apr 2020
CRE v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
CRE88
BRE91
28 Apr 2018
CRE88
BRE86
09 Apr 2017
CRE80
BRE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H30/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H28/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A14/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H21/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A27/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
12-17
16-19
24-27
18-21
31-27
15-19
23-20
27-22
19-21
28-16
21-28
24-16
22-15
27-22
27-25
20-32
21-20
20-27
24-13
13-22
25-26
22-22
25-16
29-26
13-30
23-21
19-18
29-17
15-23
17-12
29-19
23-22
24-14
12-19
23-19
19-17
28-10
13-15
18-25
172.7Avg total
87.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.285.7170.8-0.542%
Season at home (13)85.182.6167.7+2.554%
Season away (13)85.388.7174.0-3.431%
Last 10 (10)87.984.8172.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.878.6162.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.283.0160.2-5.836%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.787.3172.0-2.533%
vs Weaker (4)90.076.0166.0+14.075%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
13-19
18-20
23-17
24-16
24-20
24-22
26-25
15-22
32-21
24-26
18-10
13-24
27-23
25-28
27-24
24-24
16-22
13-23
14-22
17-17
14-25
21-18
16-14
20-27
24-10
13-28
21-23
27-28
19-32
17-10
24-24
18-24
24-14
8-19
19-17
16-29
26-24
15-21
25-20
166.5Avg total
81.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.984.7165.5-3.833%
Season at home (14)81.181.0162.1+0.136%
Season away (13)80.588.6169.2-8.131%
Last 10 (10)81.185.4166.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)76.884.8161.6-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.384.9161.2-8.513%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.484.7167.1-2.343%
vs Weaker (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
CremonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H21/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A18/04
Lega A
85.8Avg total
43.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.882.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.581.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.282.3-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.385.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.239.478.5-0.245%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.542.884.3-1.347%-
vs Weaker (4)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/04
Lega A
86.3Avg total
42.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.383.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.6+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.584.1-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.386.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.087.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.743.181.7-4.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.642.085.6+1.664%-
vs Weaker (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.2
52.0%
51.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
75.8%15.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.9
48.1%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.113.8
85.7%
75.8%13.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WWWLLLWWLL
Brescia
LLLLLLLWWW
#9
League position
#11
+4.1
Net rating
-5.3
109.5
Offensive rating
108.3
105.4
Defensive rating
113.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
35.6%
65.8%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 108.3Defence105.4 · 113.6Shooting53.0% · 50.1%3-point %36.4% · 35.6%Ball care16.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
03/01/21Brescia v Cremona85-89
26/12/19Brescia v Cremona91-76
14/04/19Brescia v Cremona86-89
22/12/18Cremona v Brescia88-91
28/04/18Cremona v Brescia88-86
02/01/18Brescia v Cremona67-80
09/04/17Cremona v Brescia80-86
11/12/16Brescia v Cremona95-66
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21ABrindisi78-67
14/04/21HFortitudo Bologna82-74
03/04/21HReggiana90-71
27/03/21ASassari84-95
21/03/21HTreviso85-86
14/03/21ACantu85-92
07/03/21HPesaro100-78
28/02/21HTrento95-87
07/02/21AVarese105-110 OT
30/01/21HVirtus Bologna75-88
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HSassari82-94
14/04/21HCantu69-74
11/04/21AVenezia87-94
03/04/21AFortitudo Bologna78-88
28/03/21HBrindisi68-74
20/03/21ATrento67-91
14/03/21HOlimpia Milano92-99
28/02/21HReggiana89-79
10/02/21HVarese98-83
07/02/21ATrieste81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeWWLWW54%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game85.285.185.3
Allowed / game85.782.688.7
Point differential-0.5+2.5-3.4
Avg total170.8167.7174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %12%0%23%
Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayWWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%36%31%
Points / game80.981.180.5
Allowed / game84.781.088.6
Point differential-3.8+0.1-8.1
Avg total165.5162.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2620677%85.277.5+7.7
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2718967%81.277.3+4.0
5 Sassari2617965%89.785.8+3.9
6 Treviso27141352%84.988.4-3.5
7 Trieste26121446%80.280.5-0.3
8 Cremona26111542%85.285.7-0.5
9 Trento26111542%77.679.7-2.1
10 Varese27111641%81.986.4-4.5
11 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
12 Reggiana26101638%76.080.8-4.8
13 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
14 Cantu2791833%78.082.3-4.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%77.782.1-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2522241889
Brescia2617262594
← all games of the day
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