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Cremona vs Brescia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 32
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Brescia
15 Mar 2026
CRE78
BRE79
10 Nov 2024
CRE89
BRE100
20 Apr 2024
CRE84
BRE77
24 Apr 2022
CRE76
BRE88
25 Apr 2021
CRE89
BRE94
17 Apr 2020
CRE v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
CRE88
BRE91
28 Apr 2018
CRE88
BRE86
09 Apr 2017
CRE80
BRE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 81
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
58avg 81
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 81
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 81
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
82avg 81
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 81
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 81
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
18-24
29-17
24-16
22-15
29-20
22-19
15-28
10-24
22-21
22-17
15-25
15-21
27-21
25-19
18-21
23-28
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
168.3Avg total
85.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.380.8162.2+0.560%
Season at home (10)85.580.6166.1+4.990%
Season away (10)77.281.1158.3-3.930%
Last 10 (10)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.887.0178.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
vs Similar (16)80.580.3160.8+0.269%
vs Weaker (9)87.981.6169.4+6.367%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
90avg 78
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
85avg 78
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 78
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
89avg 78
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 78
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 78
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 78
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
71avg 78
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
44avg 78
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 78
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
152.7Avg total
80.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.374.0155.3+7.367%
Season at home (11)85.274.9160.1+10.382%
Season away (10)77.073.0150.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.272.5152.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar (10)80.279.5159.7+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.372.8156.1+10.681%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
CremonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
88.9Avg total
46.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.4+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.188.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.894.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
vs Similar (16)41.743.985.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker (9)46.442.088.4+4.444%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.378.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
52.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
73.6%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
73.6%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWWWLLWLW
Brescia
WLLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#3
+3.2
Net rating
+11.9
116.7
Offensive rating
117.1
113.5
Defensive rating
105.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
41.8%
55.1%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 117.1Defence113.5 · 105.1Shooting53.0% · 55.0%3-point %33.2% · 41.8%Ball care17.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds35.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cremona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
26/12/19Brescia v Cremona91-76
14/04/19Brescia v Cremona86-89
22/12/18Cremona v Brescia88-91
28/04/18Cremona v Brescia88-86
02/01/18Brescia v Cremona67-80
09/04/17Cremona v Brescia80-86
11/12/16Brescia v Cremona95-66
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84
05/01/20HBrindisi93-89
30/12/19ASassari74-84
26/12/19ABrescia76-91
21/12/19HVarese93-72
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game81.385.577.2
Allowed / game80.880.681.1
Point differential+0.5+4.9-3.9
Avg total162.2166.1158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game81.385.277.0
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+7.3+10.3+4.0
Avg total155.3160.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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