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Cremona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-77
22-21 23-20 22-19 17-17
Position#11
Record11-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.6
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record20-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 28· PalaRadi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Cremona v Brescia
15 Mar 2026
CRE78
BRE79
10 Nov 2024
CRE89
BRE100
20 Apr 2024
CRE84
BRE77
24 Apr 2022
CRE76
BRE88
25 Apr 2021
CRE89
BRE94
17 Apr 2020
CRE v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
CRE88
BRE91
28 Apr 2018
CRE88
BRE86
09 Apr 2017
CRE80
BRE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 73
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 73
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 73
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 73
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 73
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 73
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 73
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 73
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 73
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 73
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
23-20
30-29
16-24
16-20
160.3Avg total
78.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.179.6159.7+0.641%
Season at home (13)84.076.5160.5+7.569%
Season away (14)76.682.4158.9-5.814%
Last 10 (10)78.781.6160.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)78.482.2160.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.083.5159.5-7.525%
vs Similar (17)81.879.5161.2+2.353%
vs Weaker (9)78.374.8153.1+3.644%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 78
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 78
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 78
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 78
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
60avg 78
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
95-92
95
92
+3
90avg 78
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 78
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 78
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
24-16
17-25
33-30
29-10
24-17
14-9
19-27
11-19
19-15
16-27
28-19
21-29
24-25
23-25
15-14
22-22
25-26
19-18
23-12
20-26
28-27
28-19
13-17
22-20
17-24
22-29
12-14
21-22
23-26
28-19
23-25
13-14
20-22
17-14
22-15
22-19
22-22
21-26
25-17
169.8Avg total
86.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.878.2166.0+9.674%
Season at home (14)88.075.1163.1+12.986%
Season away (13)87.581.5169.1+6.062%
Last 10 (10)86.783.1169.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.286.8173.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.889.2144.0-34.50%
vs Similar (3)73.779.7153.3-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.578.3167.8+11.277%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
CremonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/04
Lega A
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.976.2+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.435.377.7+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)34.740.274.9-5.512%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (17)39.138.877.9+0.224%-
vs Weaker (9)36.635.472.0+1.156%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/04
Lega A
85.0Avg total
43.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.081.9+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.437.481.9+7.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.281.9-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.385.0+2.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.047.873.8-21.80%-
vs Similar (3)38.741.780.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.738.684.4+7.159%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.6
50.5%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
76.3%14.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.1
53.8%
53.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.9
36.6%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
76.3%16.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWLLLWLL
Brescia
WWWLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#3
-3.7
Net rating
+8.9
107.9
Offensive rating
116.6
111.6
Defensive rating
107.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.1%
3-point %
36.6%
59.2%
Assist %
56.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 116.6Defence111.6 · 107.8Shooting52.8% · 54.2%3-point %37.1% · 36.6%Ball care16.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds23.9% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
6
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Brescia v Cremona84-75
24/04/22Cremona v Brescia76-88
19/12/21Brescia v Cremona86-73
25/04/21Cremona v Brescia89-94
03/01/21Brescia v Cremona85-89
26/12/19Brescia v Cremona91-76
14/04/19Brescia v Cremona86-89
22/12/18Cremona v Brescia88-91
28/04/18Cremona v Brescia88-86
02/01/18Brescia v Cremona67-80
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AVirtus Bologna85-93
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HVenezia90-84
06/04/24HTortona72-65
30/03/24AVarese95-92
25/03/24HVirtus Bologna73-87
17/03/24ASassari101-106 OT
10/03/24HScafati89-78
03/03/24APesaro83-93
15/02/24HBasket Napoli74-80
11/02/24HReggiana86-63
03/02/24ABasket Napoli104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%69%14%
Points / game80.184.076.6
Allowed / game79.676.582.4
Point differential+0.6+7.5-5.8
Avg total159.7160.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW74%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game87.888.087.5
Allowed / game78.275.181.5
Point differential+9.6+12.9+6.0
Avg total166.0163.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2720774%87.878.2+9.6
2 Virtus Bologna2719870%88.677.6+11.1
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
4 Venezia27171063%82.478.3+4.1
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
9 Basket Napoli27131448%85.986.3-0.4
10 Scafati27121544%82.986.1-3.3
11 Sassari27121544%78.282.7-4.5
12 Cremona27111641%80.179.6+0.6
13 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
14 Varese27101737%85.790.2-4.5
15 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2223221784
Brescia2120191777
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