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Cremona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-78
16-24 24-13 23-17 19-24
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game89.7
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.8
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Olimpia Milano
15 Feb 2026
CRE67
MIL86
18 Nov 2024
CRE83
MIL95
05 May 2024
CRE72
MIL73
07 Nov 2021
CRE86
MIL93
19 Jan 2021
CRE81
MIL83
20 Oct 2019
CRE82
MIL78
24 Mar 2019
CRE76
MIL72
01 Oct 2017
CRE60
MIL76
20 Nov 2016
CRE72
MIL76
20 Feb 2016
CRE58
MIL90
26 Dec 2015
CRE76
MIL91
11 Oct 2014
CRE61
MIL68
07 May 2014
CRE68
MIL81
19 Nov 2012
CRE59
MIL78
25 Mar 2012
CRE77
MIL73
09 Jan 2011
CRE71
MIL78
18 Apr 2010
CRE78
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
20-12
25-20
19-14
30-25
26-14
16-21
17-26
16-25
27-26
26-18
24-17
23-32
23-16
17-20
31-20
18-15
19-21
23-22
20-7
27-31
16-24
16-13
22-14
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
33-24
18-24
19-19
19-20
26-23
23-27
23-21
22-26
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
168.5Avg total
87.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.789.7174.3-5.033%
Season at home (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)82.591.0173.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)87.081.5168.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)83.485.2168.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (13)74.674.0148.6+0.662%
vs Weaker (16)90.383.1173.4+7.269%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
16-25
23-22
20-16
22-14
18-29
27-12
18-24
27-11
16-19
6-17
17-19
14-22
39-21
14-22
26-23
20-13
13-26
19-20
22-23
13-18
29-12
16-14
18-17
23-19
12-14
21-9
19-11
10-21
21-10
17-23
17-19
23-14
21-14
21-20
23-25
24-24
22-29
15-21
28-18
158.0Avg total
81.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.272.8152.0+6.550%
Season at home (3)80.779.3160.0+1.333%
Season away (1)75.053.0128.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.077.0158.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)78.670.4149.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar (11)82.283.3165.5-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.174.4156.5+7.679%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
CremonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
89.9Avg total
45.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.142.386.3+1.862%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.186.0+3.973%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.686.7-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.844.189.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.492.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)39.241.180.2-1.958%-
vs Weaker (16)47.843.391.1+4.462%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/10
Lega A
76.8Avg total
40.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.340.382.7+2.048%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.939.882.7+3.244%-
Last 30 away (11)41.341.382.5+0.055%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.876.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)41.041.882.8-0.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.036.578.5+5.562%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.0
49.7%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.6
34.9%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.813.4
67.7%
73.6%13.4
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
52.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
73.6%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLWWLWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+6.2
Net rating
+6.6
113.1
Offensive rating
112.1
106.9
Defensive rating
105.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
35.2%
49.4%
Assist %
52.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 112.1Defence106.9 · 105.5Shooting50.7% · 53.3%3-point %34.9% · 35.2%Ball care14.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds36.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cremona wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
06/10/19AVirtus Roma94-97
29/09/19HTreviso89-87
19/05/19HTrieste82-75
12/05/19AReggiana81-82
05/05/19HVenezia80-65
28/04/19ATorino94-88
20/04/19HBrindisi93-86
14/04/19ABrescia89-86
07/04/19HPesaro97-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/19HBrindisi89-92
06/10/19HTrieste88-73
29/09/19HBrescia65-73
26/09/19ATreviso75-53
20/05/19HAvellino76-61
18/05/19HAvellino74-82
12/05/19HTrieste93-88
05/05/19ATrento79-77 OT
28/04/19HAvellino85-79
20/04/19ABrescia86-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game84.789.082.5
Allowed / game89.787.091.0
Point differential-5.0+2.0-8.5
Avg total174.3176.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game79.280.775.0
Allowed / game72.879.353.0
Point differential+6.5+1.3+22.0
Avg total152.0160.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%83.674.8+8.8
2 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
3 Brindisi43175%82.874.8+8.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna43175%76.576.5+0.0
5 Brescia53260%81.475.4+6.0
6 Olimpia Milano42250%79.272.8+6.5
7 Varese42250%76.870.8+6.0
8 Reggiana42250%83.880.0+3.8
9 Trento42250%77.879.8-2.0
10 Virtus Roma42250%77.080.5-3.5
11 Venezia52340%77.074.6+2.4
12 Treviso52340%77.278.4-1.2
13 Trieste52340%69.878.2-8.4
14 Cremona31233%84.789.7-5.0
15 Cantu31233%63.377.3-14.0
16 Pistoia4040%73.086.0-13.0
17 Pesaro3030%76.791.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1624231982
Olimpia Milano2413172478
← all games of the day
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