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Torino vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 17:05
Final 88-94
32-23 16-23 20-17 20-31
Position#13
Record8-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.4
Torino
Italy
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Torino v Cremona
28 Apr 2019
TOR88
CRE94
12 Nov 2017
TOR88
CRE80
23 Oct 2016
TOR85
CRE82
01 Nov 2015
TOR80
CRE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
109avg 111
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
134avg 111
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
123avg 111
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
92avg 111
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
88avg 111
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
84avg 111
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
178avg 111
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
61avg 111
A14/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
82-109
82
109
-27
226avg 111
A20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
28-20
17-21
20-30
24-20
19-22
24-23
27-20
17-30
21-15
20-21
13-18
18-12
18-14
20-23
20-20
23-21
17-28
21-33
20-26
24-22
170.0Avg total
83.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.887.4170.2-4.630%
Season at home (13)80.081.2161.2-1.246%
Season away (14)85.493.1178.5-7.814%
Last 10 (10)83.486.6170.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.287.8170.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.291.9174.1-9.812%
vs Similar (9)81.084.9165.9-3.922%
vs Weaker (4)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
90avg 121
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
89avg 121
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 121
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
65avg 121
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
97-64
97
64
+33
282avg 121
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 121
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
298avg 121
H20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
38-24
16-24
27-23
23-18
22-19
17-14
21-23
–
–
–
–
23-26
29-19
17-21
21-14
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
24-35
13-26
19-22
24-14
33-18
20-12
25-20
19-14
30-25
26-14
16-21
17-26
16-25
27-26
26-18
24-17
152.7Avg total
79.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.378.7162.0+4.667%
Season at home (14)88.081.2169.2+6.871%
Season away (13)78.276.0154.2+2.262%
Last 10 (10)79.473.3152.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)87.081.0168.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)73.473.2146.5+0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.482.5172.9+7.978%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
TorinoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A20/04
Lega A
84.0Avg total
39.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.884.6-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.342.681.9-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.447.487.7-7.021%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.484.0-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.085.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.945.885.6-5.929%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.782.9-4.433%-
vs Weaker (4)40.843.284.0-2.550%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H20/04
Lega A
88.6Avg total
45.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.840.983.7+1.966%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.484.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.382.5+1.977%-
Last 10 (9)45.842.888.6+3.056%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)38.240.478.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.241.286.4+4.072%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.9
39.0%
35.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.0
66.0%
72.3%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.1
49.8%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
72.3%13.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LWWLLLLLWW
Cremona
WWWLWLWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
+3.5
108.4
Offensive rating
104.4
112.2
Defensive rating
100.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.0%
3-point %
31.1%
60.6%
Assist %
52.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 104.4Defence112.2 · 100.9Shooting54.9% · 48.5%3-point %39.0% · 31.1%Ball care17.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Torino   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Torino wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
30/12/18Cremona v Torino100-87
18/03/18Cremona v Torino92-70
17/02/18Cremona v Torino87-92 OT
12/11/17Torino v Cremona88-80
12/02/17Cremona v Torino117-82
23/10/16Torino v Cremona85-82 OT
14/02/16Cremona v Torino66-50
01/11/15Torino v Cremona80-93
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19AAvellino82-109
14/04/19APistoia81-78
07/04/19HVarese72-66
30/03/19ATrento87-95
24/03/19HBrescia89-91
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19HBrindisi93-86
14/04/19ABrescia89-86
07/04/19HPesaro97-64
31/03/19ATrieste80-97
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83
10/03/19HPistoia90-80
03/03/19ASassari20-0
17/02/19HBrindisi83-74
16/02/19AVirtus Bologna102-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%46%14%
Points / game82.880.085.4
Allowed / game87.481.293.1
Point differential-4.6-1.2-7.8
Avg total170.2161.2178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %19%8%29%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game83.388.078.2
Allowed / game78.781.276.0
Point differential+4.6+6.8+2.2
Avg total162.0169.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2720774%87.179.5+7.6
2 Venezia2819968%81.875.2+6.5
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Trieste27161159%89.083.8+5.2
5 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
6 Sassari28161257%86.481.8+4.6
7 Trento28161257%79.580.5-1.1
8 Avellino27151256%82.281.9+0.3
9 Varese28151354%79.176.1+3.0
10 Cantu28151354%84.286.0-1.8
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Torino2781930%82.887.4-4.6
14 Reggiana2872125%77.983.5-5.6
15 Pesaro2872125%79.991.5-11.5
16 Pistoia2862221%75.483.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino3216202088
Cremona2323173194
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