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Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-73
23-14 21-14 21-20 23-25
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game63.0
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trieste
27 Sep 2026
MIL83
TRI79
03 May 2026
MIL86
TRI78
26 Jan 2025
MIL87
TRI74
20 Nov 2022
MIL98
TRI81
13 Mar 2022
MIL102
TRI84
31 Jan 2021
MIL81
TRI100
06 Oct 2019
MIL88
TRI73
12 May 2019
MIL93
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
222avg 112
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
286avg 112
A13/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 112
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
no box
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
85avg 112
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 112
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
76-61
76
61
+15
65avg 112
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
75-53
75
53
+22
74avg 112
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
53avg 112
H29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-21
20-19
20-27
23-22
14-23
32-18
25-21
17-13
16-25
23-22
20-16
22-14
18-29
27-12
18-24
27-11
16-19
6-17
17-19
14-22
39-21
14-22
26-23
20-13
13-26
19-20
22-23
13-18
29-12
16-14
18-17
23-19
12-14
21-9
19-11
10-21
21-10
17-23
17-19
158.8Avg total
80.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.063.0133.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
Season away (1)75.053.0128.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.678.2158.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)76.671.4148.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar (11)81.481.3162.6+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.574.6157.1+7.979%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 116
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
104-88
104
88
+16
no box
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
104-85
104
85
+19
386avg 116
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
69avg 116
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
48avg 116
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 116
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 116
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 116
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 116
H29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
26-13
22-19
14-24
19-26
19-24
25-13
24-24
26-16
34-22
26-20
18-30
30-27
31-28
21-8
22-22
16-18
21-19
16-26
24-22
13-23
28-24
5-22
19-17
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
16-19
18-11
25-25
14-23
13-29
12-25
20-12
17-26
170.7Avg total
84.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.585.0152.5-17.50%
Season at home (1)62.092.0154.0-30.00%
Season away (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)84.286.5170.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)72.686.2158.8-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.585.0152.5-17.50%
vs Similar (16)84.485.5169.9-1.131%
vs Weaker (12)92.281.4173.6+10.883%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
Olimpia MilanoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/09
Lega A
76.5Avg total
38.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.039.781.7+2.352%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.538.781.2+3.850%-
Last 30 away (11)41.341.382.5+0.055%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.976.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.274.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)39.939.779.6+0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.336.879.1+5.562%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H29/09
Lega A
89.1Avg total
44.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.885.4+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.190.6+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.780.9-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.789.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.083.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)29.542.071.5-12.550%-
vs Similar (16)43.144.087.1-0.925%-
vs Weaker (12)46.738.985.6+7.875%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.1
54.2%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
73.6%15.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.5
54.6%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
73.6%14.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWLWL
Trieste
LLLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#14
+4.6
Net rating
-0.3
114.2
Offensive rating
107.5
109.7
Defensive rating
107.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
31.1%
48.0%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 107.5Defence109.7 · 107.8Shooting52.6% · 51.7%3-point %33.3% · 31.1%Ball care15.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19HBrescia65-73
26/09/19ATreviso75-53
20/05/19HAvellino76-61
18/05/19HAvellino74-82
12/05/19HTrieste93-88
05/05/19ATrento79-77 OT
28/04/19HAvellino85-79
20/04/19ABrescia86-92 OT
13/04/19AVarese94-84
07/04/19HSassari79-93
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19HVarese62-92
26/09/19AVenezia73-78
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93
05/05/19HSassari65-86
28/04/19ABrindisi77-85
20/04/19HVenezia104-85
14/04/19HReggiana104-88
09/04/19AAvellino97-96 OT
31/03/19HCremona97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game70.065.075.0
Allowed / game63.073.053.0
Point differential+7.0-8.0+22.0
Avg total133.0138.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.562.073.0
Allowed / game85.092.078.0
Point differential-17.5-30.0-5.0
Avg total152.5154.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari330100%83.068.0+15.0
2 Virtus Bologna220100%81.072.5+8.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%84.577.0+7.5
4 Cantu110100%69.064.0+5.0
5 Cremona110100%89.087.0+2.0
6 Brindisi32167%79.770.0+9.7
7 Trento32167%81.775.7+6.0
8 Brescia32167%80.378.3+2.0
9 Olimpia Milano21150%70.063.0+7.0
10 Varese21150%72.068.0+4.0
11 Venezia21150%80.081.0-1.0
12 Reggiana2020%79.087.0-8.0
13 Pistoia2020%76.588.0-11.5
14 Treviso2020%70.082.0-12.0
15 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
16 Virtus Roma2020%65.080.5-15.5
17 Trieste2020%67.585.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2321212388
Trieste1414202573
← all games of the day
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