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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 92-86 (OT)
13-17 25-16 22-23 16-20 16-10
Position#12
Record12-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.8
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record20-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
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29 May 2026
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05 Nov 2025
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28 Sep 2025
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15 Mar 2025
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15 Feb 2025
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MIL74
30 May 2024
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MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
16-27
22-13
24-21
25-18
20-16
17-26
20-21
19-19
25-30
14-26
21-16
26-17
166.6Avg total
83.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.180.8160.9-0.746%
Season at home (13)80.979.3160.2+1.662%
Season away (13)79.282.3161.5-3.131%
Last 10 (10)83.483.2166.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)87.483.8171.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.583.8161.3-6.438%
vs Similar (13)79.877.7157.5+2.246%
vs Weaker (4)83.279.8163.0+3.575%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H17/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A20/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H22/03
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
90-104
90
104
-14
H28/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H31/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A04/04
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
4-13
26-16
17-18
29-20
18-21
14-23
25-23
33-19
23-31
19-24
14-18
20-23
27-21
17-28
19-23
24-16
12-16
15-15
21-29
17-22
25-30
26-21
22-31
22-26
21-30
26-17
29-18
20-24
33-18
16-32
26-27
20-26
19-21
20-19
20-27
23-22
14-23
32-18
25-21
173.2Avg total
85.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.279.0166.2+8.177%
Season at home (13)93.081.2174.2+11.885%
Season away (13)81.376.8158.2+4.569%
Last 10 (10)85.288.0173.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)91.294.6185.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar (13)81.682.2163.8-0.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.579.8167.3+7.775%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H14/04
Lega A
85.6Avg total
41.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.682.4-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.841.382.1-0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.644.182.7-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.685.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.484.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.546.884.4-9.331%-
vs Similar (13)41.438.579.8+2.969%-
vs Weaker (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A20/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A24/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H28/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H31/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/04
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/04
Lega A
85.5Avg total
42.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.141.484.6+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.583.1+4.156%-
Last 30 away (13)42.543.886.4-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.285.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.848.491.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (13)40.240.780.8-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.439.785.1+5.655%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
72.3%16.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.4
54.3%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.317.3
81.2%
72.3%17.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLWLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLLWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
-3.1
108.3
Offensive rating
114.4
109.4
Defensive rating
117.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
34.9%
60.2%
Assist %
47.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 114.4Defence109.4 · 117.5Shooting50.8% · 53.5%3-point %33.6% · 34.9%Ball care19.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19HCremona86-89
07/04/19ACantu76-82
31/03/19HPistoia87-79
24/03/19ATorino91-89
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19AVarese94-84
07/04/19HSassari79-93
04/04/19AAnadolu Efes95-101
31/03/19HCantu98-91
28/03/19HFenerbahce90-104
24/03/19ACremona72-76
22/03/19HPanathinaikos83-95
20/03/19AReal Madrid89-92
17/03/19HVenezia86-87
14/03/19HOlympiacos66-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%62%31%
Points / game80.180.979.2
Allowed / game80.879.382.3
Point differential-0.7+1.6-3.1
Avg total160.9160.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW77%
HomeWWLWL85%
AwayLLWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%85%69%
Points / game87.293.081.3
Allowed / game79.081.276.8
Point differential+8.1+11.8+4.5
Avg total166.2174.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2620677%87.279.0+8.1
2 Venezia2718967%82.075.4+6.6
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Trieste27161159%89.083.8+5.2
5 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
6 Trento27161159%79.980.8-0.9
7 Avellino27151256%82.281.9+0.3
8 Sassari26141254%86.081.6+4.4
9 Varese27141352%79.076.1+2.9
10 Cantu27141352%84.386.4-2.2
11 Brescia26121446%80.180.8-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna26121446%79.481.2-1.8
13 Torino2781930%82.887.4-4.6
14 Reggiana2671927%78.083.6-5.6
15 Pesaro2671927%80.192.0-11.9
16 Pistoia2762122%75.483.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia132522161692
Olimpia Milano171623201086
← all games of the day
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