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Brescia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 17:05
Final 86-89
25-30 14-26 21-16 26-17
Position#12
Record12-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record16-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.1
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Cremona
21 Nov 2025
BRE83
CRE72
02 Mar 2025
BRE99
CRE87
12 Nov 2023
BRE84
CRE75
19 Dec 2021
BRE86
CRE73
03 Jan 2021
BRE85
CRE89
26 Dec 2019
BRE91
CRE76
14 Apr 2019
BRE86
CRE89
02 Jan 2018
BRE67
CRE80
11 Dec 2016
BRE95
CRE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
16-27
22-13
24-21
25-18
20-16
17-26
20-21
19-19
164.2Avg total
82.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.880.5160.3-0.648%
Season at home (12)80.578.5159.0+2.067%
Season away (13)79.282.3161.5-3.131%
Last 10 (10)82.681.6164.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)86.082.8168.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.583.9161.4-6.538%
vs Similar (13)79.877.7157.5+2.246%
vs Weaker (4)83.279.8163.0+3.575%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
19-15
25-25
16-12
22-21
21-20
38-24
16-24
27-23
23-18
22-19
17-14
21-23
–
–
–
–
23-26
29-19
17-21
21-14
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
24-35
13-26
19-22
24-14
33-18
20-12
25-20
19-14
148.5Avg total
78.1Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.778.1160.8+4.664%
Season at home (13)87.680.8168.5+6.869%
Season away (12)77.375.2152.5+2.258%
Last 10 (10)78.170.4148.5+7.780%
Last 5 (5)81.479.2160.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.0103.5177.5-29.50%
vs Similar (10)71.471.9143.3-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.582.3172.8+8.276%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
BresciaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/04
Lega A
83.0Avg total
41.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.381.2+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.082.9-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.883.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.681.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.945.883.7-7.838%-
vs Similar (13)41.438.579.8+2.969%-
vs Weaker (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/04
Lega A
86.2Avg total
44.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.941.183.0+0.862%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.541.183.6+1.456%-
Last 30 away (13)41.241.282.3+0.069%-
Last 10 (9)44.841.486.2+3.367%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.276.9-1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.641.485.9+3.271%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.1
51.9%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.716.8
74.0%
72.3%16.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.3
50.7%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
72.3%15.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWWLWLLWW
Cremona
WLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+4.6
106.2
Offensive rating
104.6
106.8
Defensive rating
100.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
29.4%
58.3%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 104.6Defence106.8 · 100.1Shooting50.0% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 29.4%Ball care19.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
2
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
22/12/18Cremona v Brescia88-91
28/04/18Cremona v Brescia88-86
02/01/18Brescia v Cremona67-80
09/04/17Cremona v Brescia80-86
11/12/16Brescia v Cremona95-66
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19ACantu76-82
31/03/19HPistoia87-79
24/03/19ATorino91-89
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19HPesaro97-64
31/03/19ATrieste80-97
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83
10/03/19HPistoia90-80
03/03/19ASassari20-0
17/02/19HBrindisi83-74
16/02/19AVirtus Bologna102-91
14/02/19HVarese82-73
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game79.880.579.2
Allowed / game80.578.582.3
Point differential-0.6+2.0-3.1
Avg total160.3159.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game82.787.677.3
Allowed / game78.180.875.2
Point differential+4.6+6.8+2.2
Avg total160.8168.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2620677%87.279.0+8.1
2 Venezia2618869%81.874.3+7.6
3 Cremona2516964%82.778.1+4.6
4 Brindisi25151060%81.779.0+2.7
5 Trieste26151158%88.583.8+4.7
6 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
7 Sassari26141254%86.081.6+4.4
8 Varese26141254%79.275.8+3.4
9 Avellino26141254%81.281.9-0.7
10 Cantu26131350%84.386.9-2.6
11 Brescia25121348%79.880.5-0.6
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%80.281.4-1.2
13 Torino2681831%82.886.6-3.8
14 Pesaro2571828%80.292.4-12.2
15 Reggiana2671927%78.083.6-5.6
16 Pistoia2662023%75.583.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2514212686
Cremona3026161789
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