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Olimpia Milano vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-61
13-18 29-12 16-14 18-17
Position#1
Record23-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#9
Record17-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Avellino
20 May 2019
MIL76
AVE61
18 May 2019
MIL74
AVE82
28 Apr 2019
MIL85
AVE79
19 Nov 2017
MIL92
AVE94
09 Oct 2016
MIL87
AVE81
31 Jan 2016
MIL80
AVE81
20 Feb 2015
MIL60
AVE58
16 Feb 2015
MIL95
AVE78
29 Dec 2013
MIL94
AVE58
03 Feb 2013
MIL108
AVE57
30 Dec 2011
MIL90
AVE89
11 Feb 2011
MIL84
AVE92
12 Dec 2010
MIL90
AVE78
11 Apr 2010
MIL74
AVE63
18 Feb 2010
MIL55
AVE59
15 Mar 2009
MIL85
AVE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
90-104
90
104
-14
H28/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H31/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A04/04
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A13/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H18/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
25-30
26-21
22-31
22-26
21-30
26-17
29-18
20-24
33-18
16-32
26-27
20-26
19-21
20-19
20-27
23-22
14-23
32-18
25-21
17-13
16-25
23-22
20-16
22-14
18-29
27-12
18-24
27-11
16-19
6-17
17-19
14-22
39-21
14-22
26-23
20-13
13-26
19-20
22-23
176.4Avg total
87.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.579.8166.3+6.874%
Season at home (16)91.381.6172.9+9.881%
Season away (15)81.577.9159.3+3.667%
Last 10 (10)87.389.1176.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)83.483.6167.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar (12)81.881.2163.0+0.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.379.3163.6+5.069%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A18/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
26-19
24-19
13-25
24-24
30-23
18-24
17-32
19-26
28-17
33-21
26-20
22-24
14-22
29-18
12-27
24-18
17-19
14-20
27-26
25-22
20-22
25-22
33-17
10-12
13-20
26-13
20-19
23-22
169.5Avg total
86.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.381.6163.9+0.755%
Season at home (15)85.278.6163.8+6.667%
Season away (16)79.684.4164.1-4.844%
Last 10 (10)86.682.9169.5+3.740%
Last 5 (5)88.280.2168.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.982.0157.9-6.130%
vs Similar (12)77.384.8162.1-7.433%
vs Weaker (7)91.076.9167.9+14.186%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
Olimpia MilanoAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H28/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H31/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/04
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Lega A
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.640.783.2+1.952%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.883.0+3.550%-
Last 30 away (13)41.841.883.5+0.054%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.281.3+0.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.738.381.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/05
Lega A
83.1Avg total
44.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.681.8-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.178.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.184.6-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.183.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.882.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.340.579.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)37.843.781.5-5.833%-
vs Weaker (7)45.638.784.3+6.971%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.3
54.9%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
72.3%17.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.5
51.9%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.9
74.7%
72.3%10.9
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLWLLWL
Avellino
WWLLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#9
-3.2
Net rating
+5.5
115.4
Offensive rating
112.2
118.6
Defensive rating
106.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.3%
3-point %
35.7%
47.8%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 112.2Defence118.6 · 106.7Shooting53.6% · 52.6%3-point %34.3% · 35.7%Ball care16.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Avellino wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19HAvellino74-82
12/05/19HTrieste93-88
05/05/19ATrento79-77 OT
28/04/19HAvellino85-79
20/04/19ABrescia86-92 OT
13/04/19AVarese94-84
07/04/19HSassari79-93
04/04/19AAnadolu Efes95-101
31/03/19HCantu98-91
28/03/19HFenerbahce90-104
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19AOlimpia Milano82-74
12/05/19APistoia88-73
05/05/19HBrindisi83-87
28/04/19AOlimpia Milano79-85
20/04/19HTorino109-82
14/04/19ASassari84-105
09/04/19HTrieste96-97 OT
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWLWWL81%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%81%67%
Points / game86.591.381.5
Allowed / game79.881.677.9
Point differential+6.8+9.8+3.6
Avg total166.3172.9159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%67%44%
Points / game82.385.279.6
Allowed / game81.678.684.4
Point differential+0.7+6.6-4.8
Avg total163.9163.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3123874%86.579.8+6.8
2 Venezia31211068%80.974.6+6.3
3 Cremona31211068%83.478.5+4.9
4 Sassari31191261%86.580.9+5.6
5 Brindisi31181358%81.579.3+2.2
6 Avellino31171455%82.381.6+0.7
7 Trento31171455%78.779.9-1.2
8 Varese30161453%79.576.1+3.4
9 Cantu30161453%84.285.7-1.5
10 Trieste31161552%87.484.2+3.2
11 Virtus Bologna30151550%79.680.3-0.8
12 Brescia30141647%80.381.4-1.2
13 Torino3092130%83.187.0-4.0
14 Reggiana3092130%78.883.1-4.3
15 Pesaro3072323%79.491.8-12.4
16 Pistoia3062420%75.183.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1329161876
Avellino1812141761
← all games of the day
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