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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 73-78
22-23 15-19 19-14 17-22
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.9
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
107avg 99
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
91avg 99
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
55-60
55
60
-5
79avg 99
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
107avg 99
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
111avg 99
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
102avg 99
A20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
24-22
22-22
24-21
12-17
21-20
18-24
15-22
20-14
19-9
12-18
25-22
19-21
21-20
21-12
18-30
25-23
15-18
10-20
18-16
15-14
13-13
10-18
17-15
18-24
9-21
20-23
12-18
17-14
24-22
16-22
27-20
13-17
17-21
24-20
29-29
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
154.0Avg total
74.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.077.6150.6-4.625%
Season at home (4)74.572.0146.5+2.550%
Season away (4)71.583.2154.8-11.80%
Last 10 (10)74.679.4154.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)72.279.6151.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.979.8157.7-1.950%
vs Similar (20)74.876.8151.6-2.035%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-62
61
62
-1
no box
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
61-69
61
69
-8
86avg 102
A02/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
122avg 102
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
76-59
76
59
+17
112avg 102
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
106avg 102
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
91avg 102
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
94avg 102
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
16-25
15-24
19-17
24-19
13-13
9-14
15-16
20-14
11-18
13-21
17-16
20-19
28-22
20-27
22-9
22-7
13-21
20-21
21-10
31-25
14-14
16-15
24-22
18-22
30-22
16-16
16-24
17-23
19-18
13-22
18-21
17-15
12-19
23-17
18-23
14-13
22-20
16-22
21-18
148.7Avg total
73.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.975.9151.8+0.038%
Season at home (4)81.277.8159.0+3.550%
Season away (4)70.574.0144.5-3.525%
Last 10 (10)73.974.8148.7-0.930%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (18)76.775.8152.4+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.678.9156.5-1.238%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
75.0Avg total
36.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.176.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.237.275.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.177.4-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.375.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.871.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.639.677.2-2.050%-
vs Similar (20)38.637.476.0+1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A16/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/11
Lega A
74.4Avg total
38.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.474.8+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.235.474.6+3.869%-
Last 30 away (17)37.837.275.0+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.274.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.277.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (18)38.435.373.7+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.538.277.8+1.262%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.6
50.8%
51.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.8
28.9%
35.7%17.2
🏀 Free throws13.510.0
74.1%
74.0%10.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.321.0
46.4%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.0
31.1%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.314.7
66.0%
74.0%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLLLLWLW
Trento
LLLLWWWLLL
#15
League position
#4
-5.6
Net rating
+1.1
99.1
Offensive rating
99.8
104.7
Defensive rating
98.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.9%
3-point %
31.1%
42.3%
Assist %
52.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 99.8Defence104.7 · 98.7Shooting48.5% · 46.5%3-point %28.9% · 31.1%Ball care19.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.9% · 37.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
3
Trento wins
DateGameScore
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
21/12/14Pesaro v Trento57-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
13/11/16HVarese83-87
06/11/16HVenezia84-78
30/10/16ASassari59-86
23/10/16HAvellino55-60
16/10/16ACantu68-77
09/10/16ATorino79-83
02/10/16HBrescia76-63
04/05/16ATorino66-83
24/04/16HCantu96-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16APistoia78-84 OT
14/11/16HTorino70-74
06/11/16ACaserta67-84
30/10/16HReggiana80-84
23/10/16HCapo d'Orlando85-76
16/10/16AVenezia76-59
09/10/16HCremona90-77
02/10/16ABrindisi61-69
12/05/16HOlimpia Milano61-62
10/05/16AOlimpia Milano71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.074.571.5
Allowed / game77.672.083.2
Point differential-4.6+2.5-11.8
Avg total150.6146.5154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game75.981.270.5
Allowed / game75.977.874.0
Point differential+0.0+3.5-3.5
Avg total151.8159.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%87.077.9+9.1
2 Reggiana87188%84.479.1+5.2
3 Avellino86275%79.675.5+4.1
4 Caserta86275%82.481.2+1.1
5 Venezia85362%80.978.9+2.0
6 Capo d'Orlando84450%81.478.2+3.1
7 Brindisi84450%81.680.5+1.1
8 Sassari94544%78.676.9+1.7
9 Trento83538%75.975.9+0.0
10 Pistoia83538%74.976.2-1.4
11 Torino83538%83.585.9-2.4
12 Varese83538%77.980.6-2.8
13 Brescia83538%78.182.2-4.1
14 Pesaro82625%73.077.6-4.6
15 Cantu82625%76.183.9-7.8
16 Cremona92722%77.982.1-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2215191773
Trento2319142278
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