PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tortona vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-76
20-18 21-18 25-19 21-21
Position#9
Record12-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.2
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#11
Record10-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Cremona
08 Mar 2026
TOR85
CRE78
29 Sep 2024
TOR80
CRE68
30 Mar 2024
TOR87
CRE76
15 Jan 2022
TOR97
CRE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
L
89-95
89
95
-6
76avg 71
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 71
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 71
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 71
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 71
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
95avg 71
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 71
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
77avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
22-26
33-23
18-20
17-22
21-16
26-25
22-12
19-19
16-19
18-19
26-4
20-15
20-17
27-28
16-18
26-21
21-11
23-27
22-25
15-12
22-13
20-12
17-23
13-22
24-12
17-27
21-11
23-22
34-17
19-22
20-31
23-19
26-18
22-26
21-15
20-16
27-28
22-24
163.6Avg total
85.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.579.2159.7+1.450%
Season at home (12)81.274.8156.0+6.367%
Season away (12)79.983.5163.4-3.633%
Last 10 (10)85.378.3163.6+7.060%
Last 5 (5)85.679.0164.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.284.8158.0-11.717%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.177.2160.4+5.969%
vs Weaker (8)86.882.6169.4+4.150%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
51avg 73
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
99-80
99
80
+19
101avg 73
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 73
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 73
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 73
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 73
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 73
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 73
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 73
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 73
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
15-20
20-13
8-17
26-21
27-16
23-21
23-22
18-24
13-16
15-17
25-21
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
158.3Avg total
78.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.679.4160.0+1.242%
Season at home (12)85.377.7163.0+7.767%
Season away (12)75.981.1157.0-5.217%
Last 10 (10)78.879.5158.3-0.730%
Last 5 (5)79.280.8160.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.179.0161.1+3.156%
vs Weaker (11)80.575.2155.6+5.345%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
TortonaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/03
Lega A
76.6Avg total
39.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.978.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.276.3+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.780.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.376.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.042.376.3-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.636.375.9+3.356%-
vs Weaker (8)42.241.683.9+0.650%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
74.6Avg total
36.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.275.5+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.135.778.9+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)34.138.472.5-4.419%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.074.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.274.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.238.777.9+0.625%-
vs Weaker (11)38.035.273.2+2.864%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.6
51.2%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.3
38.0%
35.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
76.3%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.1
50.3%
53.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
76.3%13.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWLWWWWLL
Cremona
WLLLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#11
+8.8
Net rating
-1.4
114.1
Offensive rating
107.5
105.3
Defensive rating
108.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
35.0%
65.4%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 107.5Defence105.3 · 108.9Shooting54.1% · 51.4%3-point %38.0% · 35.0%Ball care14.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.0% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
1
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Cremona v Tortona83-67
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HVarese90-83
17/03/24AScafati91-94
10/03/24HBasket Napoli97-72
03/03/24APistoia71-84
10/02/24HSassari79-62
04/02/24ABrindisi86-77
28/01/24HReggiana93-64
21/01/24HVenezia75-69
14/01/24AOlimpia Milano82-83
09/01/24AGalatasaray89-95
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
21/01/24AReggiana71-78
13/01/24HTrento99-80
07/01/24APistoia60-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.581.279.9
Allowed / game79.274.883.5
Point differential+1.4+6.3-3.6
Avg total159.7156.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%67%17%
Points / game80.685.375.9
Allowed / game79.477.781.1
Point differential+1.2+7.7-5.2
Avg total160.0163.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2417771%88.276.6+11.6
2 Brescia2417771%88.077.9+10.1
3 Olimpia Milano2416867%79.373.6+5.7
4 Venezia2416867%82.376.9+5.4
5 Reggiana24141058%81.580.5+0.9
6 Tortona24121250%80.579.2+1.4
7 Basket Napoli24121250%85.985.0+0.8
8 Trento24121250%83.483.3+0.0
9 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
10 Scafati24111346%83.186.8-3.8
11 Sassari24111346%77.882.5-4.7
12 Cremona24101442%80.679.4+1.2
13 Treviso25101540%80.284.0-3.8
14 Varese2491538%84.290.0-5.8
15 Brindisi2471729%74.681.9-7.3
16 Pesaro2571828%79.487.3-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2021252187
Cremona1818192176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.