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Cremona vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-67
18-18 22-13 22-22 21-14
Position#11
Record5-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game82.8
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record5-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game83.1
ItalyLega ARound 12· PalaRadi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Cremona v Tortona
21 Dec 2025
CRE71
TOR76
11 May 2025
CRE94
TOR99
17 Dec 2023
CRE83
TOR67
10 Apr 2022
CRE73
TOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
77avg 78
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 78
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
94avg 78
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
122-112 OT
122
112
+10
no box
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
94avg 78
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 78
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 78
A26/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 78
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 78
H10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
19-16
26-18
24-19
19-28
14-15
22-14
21-22
24-27
25-23
22-27
20-18
21-25
14-28
31-11
21-23
21-23
25-14
25-15
22-31
13-25
22-15
25-25
15-19
26-17
27-16
20-23
23-13
18-12
16-23
15-14
21-31
18-16
12-16
26-22
19-14
13-24
26-7
13-21
18-24
167.4Avg total
85.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.382.8168.1+2.545%
Season at home (5)87.279.4166.6+7.860%
Season away (6)83.785.7169.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)85.482.0167.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.275.4152.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.083.5167.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.877.6156.4+1.150%
vs Weaker (14)85.475.1160.4+10.379%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 72
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 72
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 72
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
79avg 72
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
57avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
90avg 72
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 72
A13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
22-31
25-13
20-20
11-18
20-24
14-23
14-22
29-20
16-28
27-16
20-32
30-21
16-16
26-16
19-31
24-25
13-16
28-17
25-19
24-19
19-19
22-18
6-15
23-25
18-19
21-17
19-20
17-29
19-18
18-25
16-27
25-28
23-27
23-21
26-24
12-17
18-23
27-26
18-21
171.1Avg total
83.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.083.1162.1-4.145%
Season at home (5)76.682.8159.4-6.240%
Season away (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
Last 10 (10)83.687.5171.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)83.290.2173.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.687.1159.7-14.611%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.379.7161.0+1.671%
vs Weaker (6)82.785.3168.0-2.733%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
CremonaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/12
Lega A
78.1Avg total
39.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.877.5+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.679.9+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.237.975.1-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.178.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.272.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.638.978.5+0.629%-
vs Weaker (14)39.836.576.3+3.364%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/12
Champions League
83.9Avg total
40.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.580.8-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.840.882.6+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.279.3-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.983.9-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.884.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.143.680.7-6.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.039.180.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)40.743.784.3-3.017%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.920.9
63.5%
53.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.910.9
73.2%
76.3%10.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
76.3%16.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWLWWLLW
Tortona
LLLWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
-2.7
114.0
Offensive rating
112.0
111.5
Defensive rating
114.7
58.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
34.6%
59.3%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 112.0Defence111.5 · 114.7Shooting58.2% · 52.4%3-point %34.4% · 34.6%Ball care18.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cremona wins
2
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HTreviso70-76
03/12/23AVarese75-68
26/11/23ABasket Napoli70-80
19/11/23HPesaro96-69
12/11/23ABrescia75-84
05/11/23HVirtus Bologna93-83
29/10/23AScafati122-112 OT
21/10/23HReggiana91-95
14/10/23AVenezia76-79
08/10/23HSassari86-74
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AMurcia75-87
09/12/23HPistoia97-100
03/12/23AVirtus Bologna70-99
29/11/23HTofas91-85 OT
26/11/23HTrento83-80 OT
19/11/23AReggiana90-77
15/11/23HIgokea91-84
12/11/23APesaro92-96
05/11/23HBrescia59-87
31/10/23ATofas88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game85.387.283.7
Allowed / game82.879.485.7
Point differential+2.5+7.8-2.0
Avg total168.1166.6169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game79.076.681.0
Allowed / game83.182.883.3
Point differential-4.1-6.2-2.3
Avg total162.1159.4164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1210283%88.874.7+14.1
2 Venezia129375%81.777.9+3.8
3 Virtus Bologna128467%87.878.4+9.4
4 Trento128467%85.281.2+4.0
5 Basket Napoli117464%85.580.5+4.9
6 Reggiana127558%84.682.1+2.5
7 Olimpia Milano116555%80.977.4+3.5
8 Pistoia116555%80.481.0-0.6
9 Cremona115645%85.382.8+2.5
10 Tortona115645%79.083.1-4.1
11 Scafati114736%85.588.0-2.5
12 Pesaro114736%81.587.5-6.1
13 Sassari114736%76.386.1-9.8
14 Varese113827%83.591.8-8.3
15 Treviso123925%79.283.9-4.7
16 Brindisi112918%70.081.3-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1822222183
Tortona1813221467
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