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Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-85
17-23 26-27 27-22 10-13
Position#9
Record17-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#14
Record12-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Beogradska arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern
29 Oct 2026
CZV103
BAY73
06 Mar 2026
CZV80
BAY85
29 Nov 2024
CZV101
BAY77
02 Nov 2023
CZV74
BAY68
28 Oct 2022
CZV78
BAY72
17 Dec 2021
CZV81
BAY78
02 Mar 2021
CZV76
BAY78
18 Dec 2015
CZV85
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
106avg 84
A23/01
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 84
H26/01
ABA League
Dubai
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 84
H30/01
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#8
L
102-107
102
107
-5
91avg 84
A01/02
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 84
H03/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
77avg 84
H06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 84
A09/02
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 84
A12/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
94-84
94
84
+10
97avg 84
H15/02
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 84
H25/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
26-26
25-16
20-25
34-23
26-24
21-22
27-30
34-14
10-27
24-20
27-31
29-29
33-28
26-23
14-27
25-21
24-24
13-24
25-6
21-23
19-26
27-16
15-18
22-29
23-9
22-26
26-16
20-24
25-25
23-23
18-20
27-21
20-27
26-22
21-14
19-23
25-14
21-25
26-19
182.6Avg total
94.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.485.5172.9+1.959%
Season at home (15)87.381.7169.0+5.773%
Season away (14)87.489.6177.0-2.143%
Last 10 (10)94.088.6182.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)89.284.0173.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.388.7176.0-1.443%
vs Weaker (14)92.583.3175.8+9.286%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 79
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 79
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 79
H03/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 79
H05/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
106-63
106
63
+43
106avg 79
A08/02
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
99avg 79
A12/02
Euroleague
Jena
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
111avg 79
A15/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 79
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
94avg 79
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 79
A26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
20-13
18-11
18-14
14-18
23-23
18-19
7-19
21-18
13-13
18-18
29-26
24-23
24-16
20-24
23-19
31-17
23-16
27-18
25-12
20-26
25-25
33-23
21-25
28-21
32-12
32-14
14-14
19-25
24-20
25-21
17-10
22-20
14-14
17-20
30-29
12-19
21-34
14-25
23-15
169.0Avg total
88.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.584.0164.5-3.541%
Season at home (15)81.979.8161.7+2.167%
Season away (14)79.088.5167.5-9.514%
Last 10 (10)88.380.7169.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)92.888.8181.6+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.985.8166.6-4.950%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.283.7171.8+4.550%
vs Weaker (16)87.671.0158.6+16.681%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Crvena zvezdaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A23/01
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H26/01
ABA League
Dubai
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/01
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#8
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A01/02
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H03/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A09/02
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/02
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/02
Euroleague
95.6Avg total
49.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.189.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.943.889.8+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)44.544.288.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)49.346.395.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.288.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.043.584.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.946.088.9-3.136%-
vs Weaker (14)48.042.290.2+5.871%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A08/02
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A12/02
Euroleague
Jena
#16
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A15/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A26/02
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
43.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.480.5+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.378.0+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.338.682.9+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.983.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.286.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.944.886.6-2.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.840.881.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (16)42.634.476.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.5
57.8%
60.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.7
39.5%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.113.0
80.7%
78.2%13.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.6
57.4%
60.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.0
35.6%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
78.2%14.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWLWLWWW
Bayern
LLWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#14
+3.9
Net rating
+11.5
100.3
Offensive rating
95.5
96.4
Defensive rating
84.0
58.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.5%
3-point %
35.6%
71.4%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 95.5Defence96.4 · 84.0Shooting58.4% · 55.6%3-point %39.5% · 35.6%Ball care15.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crvena zvezda wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
02/10/25Bayern v Crvena zvezda97-88
15/04/25Bayern v Crvena zvezda97-93 OT
06/03/25Bayern v Crvena zvezda100-82
29/11/24Crvena zvezda v Bayern101-77
01/03/24Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-66
02/11/23Crvena zvezda v Bayern74-68
02/03/23Bayern v Crvena zvezda87-80
28/10/22Crvena zvezda v Bayern78-72
01/04/22Bayern v Crvena zvezda82-57
17/12/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern81-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HAnadolu Efes91-81
15/02/26HIgokea94-84
12/02/26AOlympiacos86-92
09/02/26ABuducnost93-80
06/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-83
03/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv87-75
01/02/26AMega Basket102-107
30/01/26HDubai95-92
26/01/26HVienna Basket108-99
23/01/26AVirtus Bologna102-93
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AReal Madrid70-93
21/02/26HBamberg97-103 OT
17/02/26HFrankfurt85-76
15/02/26AJena106-61
12/02/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv106-111 OT
08/02/26AHeidelberg106-63
05/02/26HMonaco91-82
03/02/26HParis81-75
01/02/26HUlm62-79
29/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%73%43%
Points / game87.487.387.4
Allowed / game85.581.789.6
Point differential+1.9+5.7-2.1
Avg total172.9169.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL41%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%67%14%
Points / game80.581.979.0
Allowed / game84.079.888.5
Point differential-3.5+2.1-9.5
Avg total164.5161.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2922776%82.778.9+3.8
2 Valencia30201067%91.085.9+5.1
3 Olympiacos28181064%90.184.3+5.9
4 Real Madrid30191163%87.582.8+4.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Crvena zvezda29171259%87.485.5+1.9
7 Zalgiris Kaunas30171357%89.083.8+5.1
8 Barcelona30171357%86.084.9+1.0
9 Panathinaikos29161355%85.784.3+1.4
10 Monaco30161453%90.186.3+3.8
11 Dubai29151452%88.087.6+0.4
12 Olimpia Milano30151550%85.486.2-0.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna30131743%81.584.5-3.0
15 Bayern29121741%80.584.0-3.5
16 Paris28101836%89.591.9-2.4
17 Baskonia2992031%87.092.3-5.2
18 Partizan2992031%80.087.8-7.8
19 Anadolu Efes3092130%80.484.2-3.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%78.986.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1726271080
Bayern2327221385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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