Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 85-76

31-20 13-20 12-25 29-11

Position#13

Record4-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game81.9

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Bayern

Position#14

Record4-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game77.2

EuroleagueRound 10

European cup2015

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayern winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

#14

90-79

+11

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

81-87

-6

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

75-78

-3

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

70-62

A23/11

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

94-88

H27/11

Euroleague

Cibona

75-58

+17

H30/11

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

96-91

H04/12

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

71-65

A07/12

ABA League

Fenerbahce

61-79

-18

A11/12

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

79-78 OT

A14/12

ABA League

19-19

19-24

25-23

27-13

27-18

21-23

15-17

18-29

30-19

22-15

12-22

11-22

16-17

20-15

13-15

21-15

28-18

18-25

20-24

28-21

19-10

19-11

23-24

14-13

27-26

23-27

18-16

28-22

17-19

18-21

16-10

20-15

20-18

17-21

14-19

10-21

17-16

14-19

16-23

22-11

155.7Avg total

79.2Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.7	81.9	157.6	-6.2	44%
Season at home (4)	82.8	78.0	160.8	+4.8	75%
Season away (5)	70.0	85.0	155.0	-15.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	76.5	155.7	+2.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	74.2	150.6	+2.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	67.5	83.8	151.2	-16.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	84.5	81.8	166.2	+2.8	75%
vs Weaker (22)	78.8	70.8	149.6	+8.0	77%

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

79-90

-11

H12/11

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

74-90

-16

A15/11

BBL

Fenerbahce

67-84

-17

H19/11

Euroleague

Bremerhaven

#15

86-80 OT

A22/11

BBL

Khimki M.

#10

81-70

+11

A26/11

Euroleague

Crailsheim Merlins

#18

106-59

106

+47

H29/11

BBL

Strasbourg

#20

82-69

+13

A04/12

Euroleague

Bamberg

87-100

100

-13

A06/12

BBL

Real Madrid

#12

67-86

-19

H11/12

Euroleague

Giessen

87-61

+26

A13/12

BBL

19-19

24-19

23-25

13-27

15-24

23-25

15-17

21-24

10-30

20-20

18-17

19-17

19-25

19-21

13-16

21-10

23-14

19-16

17-21

22-19

33-11

25-18

26-14

22-16

21-15

27-14

18-11

16-29

20-21

26-22

21-28

20-29

18-20

20-16

13-29

16-21

20-10

26-21

28-7

13-23

160.5Avg total

81.6Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.3	77.2	153.6	-0.9	44%
Season at home (5)	71.6	76.2	147.8	-4.6	40%
Season away (4)	82.2	78.5	160.8	+3.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	78.9	160.5	+2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	75.0	160.8	+10.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.2	77.6	151.8	-3.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	82.8	85.6	168.4	-2.9	36%
vs Weaker (11)	90.9	71.0	161.9	+19.9	91%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.3	35.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.5	41.3	-1.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.4	37.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	21.9	41.6	-2.3	21%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.7	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	24.2	40.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.8	25.0	41.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	18.3	41.8	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.7	79%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	19.0	42.7	+4.7	64%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

#14

38-43

-5

A12/11

Euroleague

Igokea

48-41

H15/11

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

52-34

+18

A19/11

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

36-32

A23/11

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

46-43

H27/11

Euroleague

Cibona

38-21

+17

H30/11

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

50-53

-3

H04/12

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

35-40

-5

A07/12

ABA League

Fenerbahce

37-39

-2

A11/12

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

31-35

-4

A14/12

ABA League

79.2Avg total

41.1Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.7	76.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	36.8	78.2	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.6	75.8	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	35.8	44.8	80.5	-9.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	39.4	34.7	74.1	+4.7	73%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

43-38

H12/11

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

38-49

-11

A15/11

BBL

Fenerbahce

30-50

-20

H19/11

Euroleague

Bremerhaven

#15

38-46

-8

A22/11

BBL

Khimki M.

#10

42-30

+12

A26/11

Euroleague

Crailsheim Merlins

#18

58-29

+29

H29/11

BBL

Strasbourg

#20

48-29

+19

A04/12

Euroleague

Bamberg

46-43

A06/12

BBL

Real Madrid

#12

38-36

H11/12

Euroleague

Giessen

46-31

+15

A13/12

BBL

80.8Avg total

42.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	38.6	81.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	35.9	80.3	+8.4	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	41.3	83.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	38.1	80.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	33.6	80.8	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.6	41.1	83.7	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.5	36.2	81.7	+9.4	82%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	17.2	30.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.0	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	15.1	37.6	+7.5	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	27.2	17.0	44.2	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	23.1	43.1	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.0	75.1	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	35.8	78.4	+6.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	36.2	71.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.5	74.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.8	71.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.5	36.8	67.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	48.8	37.0	85.8	+11.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (22)	38.9	35.7	74.6	+3.2	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.8	40.8	74.6	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.3	43.9	83.2	-4.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.1	34.1	78.2	+10.0	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/15	Bayern v Crvena zvezda	79-90

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/15	A	Mega Bemax	79-78 OT
11/12/15	A	Fenerbahce	61-79
07/12/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	71-65
04/12/15	H	Khimki M.	96-91
30/11/15	H	Cibona	75-58
27/11/15	H	Real Madrid	94-88
23/11/15	A	Sutjeska	70-62
19/11/15	A	Strasbourg	75-78
15/11/15	H	Igokea	81-87
12/11/15	A	Bayern	90-79

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/15	A	Giessen	87-61
11/12/15	H	Real Madrid	67-86
06/12/15	A	Bamberg	87-100
04/12/15	A	Strasbourg	82-69
29/11/15	H	Crailsheim Merlins	106-59
26/11/15	A	Khimki M.	81-70
22/11/15	A	Bremerhaven	86-80 OT
19/11/15	H	Fenerbahce	67-84
15/11/15	A	Alba Berlin	74-90
12/11/15	H	Crvena zvezda	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	44%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	75%	20%
Points / game	75.7	82.8	70.0
Allowed / game	81.9	78.0	85.0
Point differential	-6.2	+4.8	-15.0
Avg total	157.6	160.8	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bayern

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	44%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	40%	50%
Points / game	76.3	71.6	82.2
Allowed / game	77.2	76.2	78.5
Point differential	-0.9	-4.6	+3.8
Avg total	153.6	147.8	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	20%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	9	8	1	89%	91.4	78.7	+12.8
2	Olympiacos	9	8	1	89%	77.0	67.9	+9.1
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	10	8	2	80%	75.4	68.3	+7.1
4	Fenerbahce	10	8	2	80%	77.0	70.7	+6.3
5	Unicaja	9	7	2	78%	76.1	70.1	+6.0
6	Baskonia	10	6	4	60%	85.4	76.6	+8.8
7	Barcelona	10	6	4	60%	82.2	74.7	+7.5
8	Bamberg	10	6	4	60%	77.8	72.0	+5.8
9	Panathinaikos	10	6	4	60%	75.6	71.0	+4.6
10	Anadolu Efes	9	5	4	56%	86.9	81.9	+5.0
11	Khimki M.	10	5	5	50%	79.8	74.0	+5.8
12	Real Madrid	10	5	5	50%	85.4	80.8	+4.6
13	Zalgiris Kaunas	10	5	5	50%	69.7	73.1	-3.4
14	Bayern	9	4	5	44%	76.3	77.2	-0.9
15	Crvena zvezda	9	4	5	44%	75.7	81.9	-6.2
16	Cedevita	10	4	6	40%	75.0	78.0	-3.0
17	Darussafaka	10	4	6	40%	70.4	74.0	-3.6
18	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	4	6	40%	75.0	79.2	-4.2
19	Olimpia Milano	9	3	6	33%	74.2	80.0	-5.8
20	Strasbourg	10	3	7	30%	71.1	81.4	-10.3
21	Karsiyaka	9	2	7	22%	68.3	76.8	-8.4
22	Zielona Gora	9	2	7	22%	64.8	73.9	-9.1
23	Limoges	9	2	7	22%	69.0	83.8	-14.8
24	Sassari	10	0	10	0%	69.0	83.9	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	31	13	12	29	85
Bayern	20	20	25	11	76

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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