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Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-77
25-19 25-23 29-10 22-25
Position#10
Record5-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#7
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Beogradska arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern
29 Oct 2026
CZV103
BAY73
06 Mar 2026
CZV80
BAY85
29 Nov 2024
CZV101
BAY77
02 Nov 2023
CZV74
BAY68
28 Oct 2022
CZV78
BAY72
17 Dec 2021
CZV81
BAY78
02 Mar 2021
CZV76
BAY78
18 Dec 2015
CZV85
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 81
A26/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
85avg 81
A30/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 81
H01/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 81
H04/11
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
92-71
92
71
+21
89avg 81
H07/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 81
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
94avg 81
A12/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 81
A14/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
103avg 81
H17/11
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 81
H21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
27-13
22-16
21-17
18-24
15-23
24-19
27-20
18-18
28-20
12-17
19-26
22-20
29-25
26-19
15-22
23-14
18-18
22-18
29-21
16-23
22-21
24-19
19-13
26-26
22-28
26-20
24-16
20-24
12-19
19-15
23-19
24-14
31-26
28-18
22-27
21-19
18-26
16-18
22-26
168.2Avg total
86.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.081.1163.1+0.945%
Season at home (5)83.682.0165.6+1.640%
Season away (6)80.780.3161.0+0.350%
Last 10 (10)86.481.8168.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.083.4170.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.0162.6+0.657%
vs Weaker (14)84.173.1157.2+11.186%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 79
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 79
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 79
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 79
H07/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
115-88
115
88
+27
113avg 79
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
99avg 79
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
100-78
100
78
+22
94avg 79
H22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
18-18
10-15
21-20
21-16
19-25
21-8
28-27
19-24
19-17
24-16
21-16
20-22
17-20
24-15
29-19
20-18
19-7
19-21
20-19
19-27
21-13
9-22
28-32
18-20
28-27
34-17
34-14
19-30
22-20
28-17
24-17
19-19
28-21
20-17
29-20
23-20
165.2Avg total
87.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.685.3174.9+4.473%
Season at home (6)97.086.0183.0+11.0100%
Season away (5)80.884.4165.2-3.640%
Last 10 (10)87.677.6165.2+10.090%
Last 5 (5)92.280.0172.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.180.0165.1+5.182%
vs Weaker (15)84.773.3158.0+11.387%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Crvena zvezdaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H04/11
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#4
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H17/11
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H21/11
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
42.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.641.082.7+0.652%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.839.884.6+5.071%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.280.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.285.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.287.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.539.577.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.341.781.0-2.436%-
vs Weaker (13)44.840.585.3+4.269%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A12/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
Euroleague
77.1Avg total
41.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.7+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.482.4+5.680%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.977.0-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.977.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.482.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.041.773.7-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.839.581.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker (15)42.336.979.2+5.573%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.3
57.4%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.6
38.4%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
78.0%15.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.9
57.6%
54.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.7
38.7%
36.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.814.1
83.9%
78.0%14.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWLWWWWLLW
Bayern
WWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#7
+5.9
Net rating
+14.8
119.5
Offensive rating
119.6
113.6
Defensive rating
104.8
57.5%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
38.7%
70.9%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 119.6Defence113.6 · 104.8Shooting57.5% · 57.9%3-point %38.4% · 38.7%Ball care17.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds36.0% · 31.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Crvena zvezda wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HPartizan77-89
17/11/24HBorac Mozzart105-85
14/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne74-77
12/11/24AMonaco98-90
10/11/24AMega Basket81-76
07/11/24HAlba Berlin92-71
04/11/24HCedevita Olimpija92-86
01/11/24HPanathinaikos77-81
30/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas84-86
26/10/24AZadar84-77
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HBarcelona100-78
17/11/24HBonn93-73
14/11/24HAlba Berlin115-88
12/11/24AFenerbahce76-87
07/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas77-74
03/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig90-72
01/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne84-71
29/10/24AVirtus Bologna87-84
27/10/24HWurzburg70-69
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game82.083.680.7
Allowed / game81.182.080.3
Point differential+0.9+1.6+0.3
Avg total163.1165.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game89.697.080.8
Allowed / game85.386.084.4
Point differential+4.4+11.0-3.6
Avg total174.9183.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris129375%85.281.1+4.1
2 Fenerbahce129375%79.776.5+3.2
3 Bayern118373%89.685.3+4.4
4 Olympiacos128467%85.179.6+5.5
5 Panathinaikos117464%85.681.2+4.5
6 Monaco117464%84.780.7+4.0
7 Barcelona127558%86.185.4+0.7
8 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%74.674.3+0.2
9 Anadolu Efes116555%83.882.3+1.5
10 Real Madrid126650%84.982.8+2.1
11 Olimpia Milano126650%86.587.3-0.8
12 Crvena zvezda115645%82.081.1+0.9
13 Baskonia125742%76.378.7-2.3
14 Partizan124833%79.881.0-1.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%84.086.9-2.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%80.085.5-5.5
17 Virtus Bologna1221017%79.784.5-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1221017%79.091.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda25252922101
Bayern1923102577
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