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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-67
16-13 16-19 25-14 22-21
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#12
Record4-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game69.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD v CZV
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 77
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 77
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
53avg 77
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
82avg 77
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 77
A05/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
95-61
95
61
+34
88avg 77
H07/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
92avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
85avg 77
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 77
A16/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
25-26
15-11
20-17
21-14
14-21
17-18
18-22
22-13
17-27
20-17
16-11
11-14
23-21
17-14
7-16
16-10
23-16
24-12
20-27
13-13
30-19
17-26
20-18
30-15
24-14
23-20
18-12
20-11
31-34
24-25
20-12
34-20
13-29
17-20
24-16
33-24
18-19
16-11
20-20
152.1Avg total
80.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.772.8152.5+6.980%
Season at home (5)85.874.2160.0+11.6100%
Season away (5)73.671.4145.0+2.260%
Last 10 (10)80.172.0152.1+8.180%
Last 5 (5)89.075.6164.6+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.090.5164.5-16.50%
vs Similar (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.172.9155.0+9.287%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
L
63-78
63
78
-15
53avg 69
H22/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
72avg 69
A24/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
57avg 69
A26/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
53avg 69
A28/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 69
H01/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-48
81
48
+33
82avg 69
H04/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
84avg 69
A07/11
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-67
73
67
+6
62avg 69
H11/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
71-56
71
56
+15
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#15
L
74-93
74
93
-19
62avg 69
A16/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-12
15-26
21-20
17-20
20-25
23-13
15-14
19-17
12-21
24-20
17-15
9-14
6-24
21-19
23-19
12-17
24-16
22-16
14-16
21-19
21-8
18-18
18-10
24-12
18-18
25-19
25-15
15-21
18-9
15-23
17-13
23-22
15-8
17-13
15-19
24-16
22-25
10-30
21-13
21-25
142.7Avg total
72.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.669.8139.4-0.240%
Season at home (4)72.563.5136.0+9.075%
Season away (6)67.774.0141.7-6.317%
Last 10 (10)72.770.0142.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)76.467.4143.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.070.0132.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)70.068.8138.8+1.244%
vs Weaker (20)80.869.0149.8+11.880%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H07/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/11
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
42.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.877.8+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.278.6+8.286%-
Last 30 away (16)38.838.277.0+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.580.3+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)49.239.688.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.573.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (4)44.238.883.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.536.177.7+5.474%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H22/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A28/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H01/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A07/11
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#15
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A16/11
Euroleague
71.9Avg total
35.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.174.3+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.132.273.4+8.994%-
Last 30 away (14)37.138.475.4-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.371.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.270.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)32.834.367.1-1.644%-
vs Weaker (20)42.335.177.4+7.190%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.1
53.3%
52.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
35.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
77.2%13.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.9
55.7%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.5
27.9%
35.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
77.2%12.6
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#12
+11.5
Net rating
+4.3
112.1
Offensive rating
106.8
100.7
Defensive rating
102.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
27.9%
68.8%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 106.8Defence100.7 · 102.5Shooting53.9% · 50.3%3-point %36.5% · 27.9%Ball care18.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 34.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/21ALyon-Villeurbanne87-74
14/11/21AFuenlabrada88-85
12/11/21HZalgiris Kaunas95-82
07/11/21HBilbao95-61
05/11/21ABayern80-76
31/10/21ABaskonia83-65
29/10/21AUnics Kazan58-65
27/10/21AZenit Petersburg75-68
24/10/21HGran Canaria70-75
21/10/21HFenerbahce70-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/21ABaskonia74-93
14/11/21HPartizan71-56
11/11/21HLyon-Villeurbanne73-67
07/11/21AZadar83-73
04/11/21HPanathinaikos81-48
01/11/21HMega Basket81-67
28/10/21AOlimpia Milano62-79
26/10/21AMonaco62-70
24/10/21AMornar Bar77-69
22/10/21HAlba Berlin63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game79.785.873.6
Allowed / game72.874.271.4
Point differential+6.9+11.6+2.2
Avg total152.5160.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game69.672.567.7
Allowed / game69.863.574.0
Point differential-0.2+9.0-6.3
Avg total139.4136.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona108280%81.272.7+8.5
2 Real Madrid108280%79.772.8+6.9
3 Olimpia Milano108280%76.370.8+5.5
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv107370%79.074.1+4.9
5 Zenit Petersburg107370%74.471.7+2.7
6 Olympiacos106460%77.973.8+4.1
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne106460%77.176.2+0.9
8 Monaco105550%80.679.4+1.2
9 Unics Kazan105550%73.273.4-0.2
10 CSKA Moscow105550%79.481.7-2.3
11 Bayern115645%74.575.9-1.4
12 Anadolu Efes104640%80.077.7+2.3
13 Crvena zvezda104640%69.669.8-0.2
14 Baskonia104640%70.579.4-8.9
15 Fenerbahce103730%70.370.7-0.4
16 Alba Berlin103730%72.978.5-5.6
17 Panathinaikos112918%73.079.4-6.4
18 Zalgiris Kaunas101910%69.380.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1616252279
Crvena zvezda1319142167
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