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Crvena zvezda vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-79
23-27 22-12 12-19 31-21
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Beogradska arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas
24 Sep 2026
CZV77
ZAL83
14 Oct 2025
CZV88
ZAL79
27 Feb 2025
CZV80
ZAL86
09 Feb 2024
CZV91
ZAL93
13 Dec 2022
CZV77
ZAL73
13 Oct 2021
CZV73
ZAL61
13 Oct 2020
CZV69
ZAL75
05 Jan 2018
CZV77
ZAL65
02 Dec 2016
CZV79
ZAL88
05 Feb 2015
CZV68
ZAL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 81
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 81
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
61avg 81
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
51avg 81
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 81
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 81
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 81
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
25-23
21-14
29-27
25-22
19-21
16-20
18-18
20-20
21-31
17-23
23-19
12-24
23-22
22-26
20-21
19-30
20-17
16-17
12-25
22-19
22-22
15-20
23-19
20-22
21-23
22-24
19-23
28-24
27-26
16-27
17-20
21-27
16-16
16-19
26-23
25-17
18-13
13-18
30-33
169.2Avg total
82.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.390.0175.3-4.733%
Season at home (1)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season away (2)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.087.2169.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)83.487.0170.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.888.0164.8-11.220%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.590.3175.8-4.823%
vs Weaker (12)88.476.7165.1+11.875%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 81
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 81
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 81
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 81
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 81
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 81
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-28
33-18
16-19
15-24
26-22
13-22
30-15
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
163.5Avg total
87.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.378.3168.7+12.0100%
Season at home (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)93.577.0170.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.376.2163.5+11.190%
Last 5 (5)90.674.8165.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)86.582.5169.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (27)90.073.6163.6+16.393%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Crvena zvezdaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H14/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A10/10
Euroleague
86.5Avg total
42.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.0+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.283.1+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)43.842.986.7+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.686.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.943.387.2+0.662%-
vs Weaker (12)44.938.683.5+6.375%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
76.8Avg total
42.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.435.779.1+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.933.477.3+10.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.937.980.9+5.067%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.876.8+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.633.879.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)43.635.178.7+8.474%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.6
53.4%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
78.2%17.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.8
57.8%
60.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.7
37.3%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
78.2%17.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#5
-7.8
Net rating
+16.8
109.1
Offensive rating
123.7
116.9
Defensive rating
106.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.1%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.0%
3-point %
37.3%
67.3%
Assist %
64.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 123.7Defence116.9 · 106.9Shooting52.4% · 57.1%3-point %34.0% · 37.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AFenerbahce86-81
06/10/25HZadar79-85
02/10/25ABayern88-97
30/09/25HOlimpia Milano82-92
25/09/25ADubai82-80
24/09/25HCSKA Moscow67-89
16/06/25ASpartak Subotica77-93
14/06/25HSpartak Subotica81-93
01/06/25ABuducnost78-81
29/05/25HBuducnost100-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
19/06/25ARytas84-83
17/06/25HRytas80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game85.382.087.0
Allowed / game90.092.089.0
Point differential-4.7-10.0-2.0
Avg total175.3174.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.384.093.5
Allowed / game78.381.077.0
Point differential+12.0+3.0+16.5
Avg total168.7165.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%90.378.3+12.0
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
4 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
5 Olympiacos32167%88.384.0+4.3
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
7 Valencia32167%95.093.0+2.0
8 Panathinaikos32167%89.788.7+1.0
9 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
10 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
11 Dubai42250%82.583.5-1.0
12 Olimpia Milano31233%83.081.3+1.7
13 Anadolu Efes31233%84.386.0-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%83.786.7-3.0
15 Crvena zvezda31233%85.390.0-4.7
16 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
17 Bayern31233%82.091.0-9.0
18 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2322123188
Zalgiris Kaunas2712192179
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