PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-74
19-21 16-17 15-18 29-18
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#16
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda
14 Jan 2027
ZAL v CZV
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ZAL99
CZV67
30 Oct 2024
ZAL86
CZV84
13 Oct 2023
ZAL79
CZV74
20 Jan 2023
ZAL71
CZV66
03 Apr 2022
ZAL103
CZV98
23 Feb 2021
ZAL75
CZV62
13 Oct 2017
ZAL78
CZV76
06 Jan 2017
ZAL61
CZV77
03 Apr 2015
ZAL76
CZV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 77
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 77
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 77
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 77
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 77
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 77
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 77
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 77
A09/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
20-25
34-25
28-22
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
162.1Avg total
85.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.876.3162.1+9.580%
Last 5 (5)83.868.0151.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.579.5162.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (24)85.573.7159.2+11.883%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
94-70
94
70
+24
102avg 79
H09/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 79
A11/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 79
A13/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 79
A15/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 79
H18/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
68-56
68
56
+12
no box
H20/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
76avg 79
A22/06
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
78avg 79
A30/09
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
88avg 79
H05/10
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-51
94
51
+43
96avg 79
H08/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
24-12
20-21
21-21
23-27
20-9
18-19
21-17
21-29
15-27
25-17
19-15
22-23
22-21
18-24
16-19
19-21
19-20
24-18
29-19
20-13
12-11
17-15
19-17
18-30
16-24
34-21
17-21
20-17
20-15
26-13
15-18
29-18
23-13
17-24
25-18
19-11
31-14
27-8
17-18
158.1Avg total
84.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.073.0167.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)94.073.0167.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.773.4158.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)84.467.8152.2+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.879.3161.1+2.555%
vs Weaker (17)87.368.2155.5+19.194%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zalgiris KaunasCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
82.8Avg total
42.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.680.4+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.981.9+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.479.1+4.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.282.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.540.075.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (24)43.338.081.3+5.471%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H09/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A13/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A22/06
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/09
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H08/10
ABA League
79.3Avg total
42.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.680.1+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.635.881.4+9.986%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.479.0+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.179.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.274.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.840.581.3+0.464%-
vs Weaker (17)45.633.478.9+12.294%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.3
58.0%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.618.9
76.8%
77.4%18.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.8
53.3%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.2
39.4%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
77.4%15.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWLW
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWLLWW
#13
League position
#16
+12.8
Net rating
+15.3
116.9
Offensive rating
115.0
104.2
Defensive rating
99.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
39.4%
55.6%
Assist %
72.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 115.0Defence104.2 · 99.7Shooting55.0% · 55.7%3-point %34.3% · 39.4%Ball care17.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda71-66
13/12/22Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-73
03/04/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda103-98 OT
13/10/21Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas73-61
23/02/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda75-62
13/10/20Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas69-75
05/01/18Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-65
13/10/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda78-76
06/01/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda61-77
02/12/16Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas79-88
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
01/06/23HRytas108-93
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HCedevita Olimpija94-51
05/10/23HLyon-Villeurbanne94-73
30/09/23AIgokea81-63
22/06/23APartizan85-96
20/06/23HPartizan68-56
18/06/23HPartizan91-78
15/06/23APartizan78-87
13/06/23APartizan80-88
11/06/23AFMP Beograd82-72
09/06/23HFMP Beograd94-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
5 Olympiacos110100%88.078.0+10.0
6 Valencia110100%70.065.0+5.0
7 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
9 Partizan21150%84.579.0+5.5
10 Bayern21150%75.573.0+2.5
11 Baskonia21150%84.082.5+1.5
12 Panathinaikos21150%78.079.5-1.5
13 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
14 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
15 Monaco1010%65.070.0-5.0
16 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
17 Anadolu Efes2020%77.097.0-20.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%67.591.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1916152979
Crvena zvezda2117181874
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.