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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-66
20-14 18-16 12-26 21-10
Position#9
Record11-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.7
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#11
Record10-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda
14 Jan 2027
ZAL v CZV
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ZAL99
CZV67
30 Oct 2024
ZAL86
CZV84
13 Oct 2023
ZAL79
CZV74
20 Jan 2023
ZAL71
CZV66
03 Apr 2022
ZAL103
CZV98
23 Feb 2021
ZAL75
CZV62
13 Oct 2017
ZAL78
CZV76
06 Jan 2017
ZAL61
CZV77
03 Apr 2015
ZAL76
CZV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 77
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 77
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
77-46
77
46
+31
75avg 77
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 77
A10/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
59avg 77
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
93avg 77
A16/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
26-21
18-14
16-13
15-19
26-17
23-25
15-18
18-24
26-21
22-14
28-25
19-19
21-15
20-15
26-10
19-26
12-13
19-13
25-15
21-5
24-13
16-23
20-24
27-17
19-9
18-18
22-13
7-21
22-18
21-20
27-17
23-20
153.8Avg total
83.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.976.7153.6+0.358%
Season at home (9)74.372.4146.8+1.978%
Season away (10)79.380.5159.8-1.240%
Last 10 (10)83.570.3153.8+13.290%
Last 5 (5)81.865.0146.8+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.881.0156.8-5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.273.6148.8+1.767%
vs Weaker (14)89.472.7162.1+16.693%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
W
92-58
92
58
+34
95avg 75
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
94avg 75
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
72-63
72
63
+9
70avg 75
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 75
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
80-57
80
57
+23
77avg 75
A08/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 75
H10/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
92-68
92
68
+24
96avg 75
H12/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
76-56
76
56
+20
74avg 75
A15/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-17
18-18
30-7
21-22
20-23
24-17
25-24
23-13
22-24
20-8
21-12
17-28
23-15
25-14
19-27
19-17
13-13
26-14
14-19
24-19
23-23
14-16
16-17
17-15
19-18
27-8
17-16
16-25
18-13
17-19
8-22
23-15
31-21
18-14
20-18
19-12
18-13
16-18
23-13
151.6Avg total
81.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.977.9153.8-2.053%
Season at home (10)76.574.8151.3+1.760%
Season away (9)75.281.3156.6-6.144%
Last 10 (10)81.869.8151.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)76.867.0143.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.884.0158.8-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.577.3155.8+1.262%
vs Weaker (13)84.067.9151.9+16.192%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Zalgiris KaunasCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/01
LKL
74.1Avg total
40.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.376.5+3.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.073.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)42.637.880.4+4.886%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.974.1+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.469.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.239.079.2+1.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.936.173.0+0.858%-
vs Weaker (14)43.135.778.8+7.493%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A15/01
ABA League
77.2Avg total
41.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.179.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.538.881.3+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.237.276.3+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.277.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.876.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.241.277.5-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.739.680.3+1.154%-
vs Weaker (13)42.935.578.5+7.492%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.2
78.0%
78.5%14.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.119.2
59.8%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.712.1
77.1%
78.5%12.1
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWWW
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWLWWW
#9
League position
#11
+17.6
Net rating
+17.5
115.8
Offensive rating
112.9
98.2
Defensive rating
95.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.1%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.4%
3-point %
35.8%
58.0%
Assist %
74.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 112.9Defence98.2 · 95.4Shooting54.7% · 57.1%3-point %40.4% · 35.8%Ball care16.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
13/12/22Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-73
03/04/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda103-98 OT
13/10/21Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas73-61
23/02/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda75-62
13/10/20Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas69-75
05/01/18Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-65
13/10/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda78-76
06/01/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda61-77
02/12/16Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas79-88
03/04/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda76-70
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/23ASiauliai93-75
13/01/23AOlimpia Milano66-61
10/01/23AVirtus Bologna87-77
08/01/23HNeptunas77-46
05/01/23HFenerbahce86-66
02/01/23ABC Wolves95-79
29/12/22AMonaco82-84
23/12/22HBayern75-67
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23ABuducnost76-56
12/01/23HMonaco92-68
10/01/23HReal Madrid59-79
08/01/23AMZT Skopje80-57
06/01/23AValencia77-75
02/01/23ASplit72-63
30/12/22HBarcelona94-99 OT
25/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-57
22/12/22AOlympiacos90-86
18/12/22HMega Basket92-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game76.974.379.3
Allowed / game76.772.480.5
Point differential+0.3+1.9-1.2
Avg total153.6146.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%60%44%
Points / game75.976.575.2
Allowed / game77.974.881.3
Point differential-2.0+1.7-6.1
Avg total153.8151.3156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1913668%84.477.1+7.4
2 Fenerbahce2013765%83.979.4+4.5
3 Barcelona2013765%80.377.4+3.0
4 Olympiacos1912763%85.276.8+8.4
5 Monaco2012860%81.482.2-0.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%76.976.7+0.3
7 Baskonia2011955%84.181.6+2.5
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv2011955%81.681.5+0.1
9 Crvena zvezda1910953%75.977.9-2.0
10 Anadolu Efes20101050%81.578.1+3.5
11 Valencia20101050%81.483.2-1.9
12 Partizan2091145%84.084.4-0.3
13 Virtus Bologna2091145%77.380.4-3.0
14 Bayern2081240%76.478.4-2.0
15 Panathinaikos2071335%78.583.2-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%74.479.9-5.6
17 Olimpia Milano1961332%69.676.1-6.4
18 Alba Berlin2061430%80.883.4-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2018122171
Crvena zvezda1416261066
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