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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-98
20-26 13-19 24-23 13-30
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· BMW Park
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
94-82 OT
94
82
+12
88avg 81
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 81
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 81
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 81
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 81
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 81
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 81
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 81
H05/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
22-13
22-21
21-17
19-19
18-17
17-16
28-14
22-21
15-14
7-21
20-23
20-17
22-20
20-22
17-22
19-13
13-19
17-12
18-9
28-21
20-20
17-20
16-16
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
30-17
17-18
26-26
23-18
160.1Avg total
83.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.087.5175.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)97.088.0185.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)83.276.9160.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)89.281.6170.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Similar (11)82.882.4165.2+0.555%
vs Weaker (17)87.476.0163.4+11.488%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 80
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 80
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 80
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 80
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 80
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 80
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 80
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 80
H05/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-13
21-22
26-24
15-21
16-28
33-18
16-19
15-24
26-22
13-22
30-15
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
162.9Avg total
85.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.582.5169.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.877.1162.9+8.790%
Last 5 (5)89.675.2164.8+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
vs Similar (2)86.582.5169.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.474.0163.4+15.493%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
BBL
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.383.3+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.842.184.8+0.765%-
Last 30 away (13)40.940.481.3+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.091.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.046.582.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (11)41.443.985.3-2.536%-
vs Weaker (17)43.139.182.1+4.076%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
75.9Avg total
41.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.079.2+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.633.977.5+9.675%-
Last 30 away (14)42.838.381.1+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.875.9+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.633.079.6+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (2)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.435.578.9+7.970%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
60.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.0
34.1%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
78.2%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.0
58.4%
60.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.717.8
75.1%
78.2%17.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWWLLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLW
#14
League position
#5
+8.8
Net rating
+13.3
111.4
Offensive rating
120.7
102.6
Defensive rating
107.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.1%
3-point %
34.3%
65.6%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 120.7Defence102.6 · 107.4Shooting53.8% · 55.8%3-point %34.1% · 34.3%Ball care19.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds33.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HHamburg96-79
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
26/09/25HJena93-77
26/06/25HUlm81-77
24/06/25AUlm67-53
21/06/25HUlm79-81
18/06/25AUlm64-79
15/06/25HUlm82-66
10/06/25AHeidelberg94-82 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
19/06/25ARytas84-83
17/06/25HRytas80-86
14/06/25ARytas83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.097.079.0
Allowed / game87.588.087.0
Point differential+0.5+9.0-8.0
Avg total175.5185.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.584.089.0
Allowed / game82.581.084.0
Point differential+4.0+3.0+5.0
Avg total169.0165.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%91.585.5+6.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
3 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
4 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
5 Olympiacos32167%88.384.0+4.3
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
7 Panathinaikos32167%89.788.7+1.0
8 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
9 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
10 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
11 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
12 Fenerbahce31233%86.082.3+3.7
13 Olimpia Milano31233%83.081.3+1.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%91.792.0-0.3
15 Anadolu Efes31233%84.386.0-1.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%83.786.7-3.0
17 Crvena zvezda31233%85.390.0-4.7
18 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
19 Dubai31233%79.088.3-9.3
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2013241370
Zalgiris Kaunas2619233098
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