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CSKA Sofia vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-77
26-16 21-18 21-20 14-23
Position#5
Record15-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.2
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record22-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game78.3
BulgariaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Balkan
10 Feb 2027
CSKA v BAL
upcoming
01 May 2024
CSKA82
BAL77
06 Apr 2024
CSKA80
BAL92
12 Feb 2024
CSKA78
BAL88
19 May 2023
CSKA83
BAL92
17 May 2023
CSKA70
BAL85
22 Mar 2023
CSKA82
BAL80
22 Oct 2022
CSKA78
BAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 77
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 77
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 77
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 77
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 77
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 77
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
75avg 77
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
63avg 77
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 77
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 77
A29/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
25-24
24-25
18-17
13-26
20-26
23-13
18-22
17-27
20-22
20-23
21-26
17-23
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
170.6Avg total
78.9Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.683.2166.8+0.545%
Season at home (16)85.281.4166.6+3.950%
Season away (17)82.184.8166.9-2.841%
Last 10 (10)78.991.7170.6-12.820%
Last 5 (5)81.494.8176.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.286.6164.8-8.38%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.682.4164.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (8)94.584.2178.8+10.288%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
42avg 71
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
62avg 71
H25/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 71
H28/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 71
H31/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
92-80
92
80
+12
84avg 71
A06/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 71
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 71
H13/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
82avg 71
A19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
50avg 71
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 71
H29/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-16
15-18
10-22
18-22
14-30
24-20
15-23
23-23
23-13
26-15
14-8
23-26
22-20
20-22
21-11
24-25
25-24
17-18
26-13
25-21
16-15
19-24
12-7
12-12
15-14
20-20
33-22
25-33
20-27
26-12
19-17
13-23
18-20
9-26
22-20
18-26
29-13
26-25
18-12
156.8Avg total
79.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.178.3160.4+3.867%
Season at home (17)84.176.2160.2+7.988%
Season away (16)79.980.6160.5-0.644%
Last 10 (10)79.077.8156.8+1.270%
Last 5 (5)79.077.8156.8+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.586.5159.9-13.027%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.778.2160.9+4.467%
vs Weaker (9)83.474.4157.9+9.078%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
CSKA SofiaBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
86.0Avg total
42.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.684.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.542.186.6+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.343.182.4-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.286.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.141.680.7-2.542%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.044.285.2-3.222%-
vs Weaker (8)47.943.491.2+4.575%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H25/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H28/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/04
NBL
82.1Avg total
39.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.282.3-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.980.4+0.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.844.283.9-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.382.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.646.483.0-9.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.342.085.3+1.344%-
vs Weaker (9)41.438.279.7+3.278%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.0
54.6%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.210.2
59.3%
71.1%10.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.1
57.9%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.1
28.1%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.1
67.2%
71.1%13.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LWLLLLWLLL
Balkan
WLWWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#4
-16.7
Net rating
+2.8
100.4
Offensive rating
101.8
117.2
Defensive rating
99.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.9%
3-point %
28.1%
63.7%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 101.8Defence117.2 · 99.0Shooting51.1% · 51.6%3-point %29.9% · 28.1%Ball care20.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 22.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
29/04/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia91-76
06/04/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan80-92
28/03/24Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-59
12/02/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-88
03/12/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-95
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia79-90
22/03/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-80 OT
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
13/04/24HChernomorets78-94
10/04/24HRilski Sportist78-88
06/04/24HBalkan80-92
31/03/24ACherno More99-91
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24HCSKA Sofia91-76
23/04/24ARilski Sportist62-89
19/04/24AChernomorets90-89
13/04/24HCherno More80-68
10/04/24HSpartak Pleven72-67
06/04/24ACSKA Sofia92-80
31/03/24HRilski Sportist86-79
28/03/24HCSKA Sofia86-59
25/03/24HChernomorets71-95
16/03/24HSpartak Pleven60-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%50%41%
Points / game83.685.282.1
Allowed / game83.281.484.8
Point differential+0.5+3.9-2.8
Avg total166.8166.6166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%88%44%
Points / game82.184.179.9
Allowed / game78.376.280.6
Point differential+3.8+7.9-0.6
Avg total160.4160.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3326779%85.075.3+9.6
2 Rilski Sportist3325876%85.975.1+10.8
3 Spartak Pleven3324973%88.079.2+8.8
4 Balkan33221167%82.178.3+3.8
5 Shumen33151845%85.083.2+1.8
6 CSKA Sofia33151845%83.683.2+0.5
7 Levski33141942%75.677.4-1.8
8 Academic Plovdiv32131941%81.984.4-2.5
9 Yambol32122038%79.584.7-5.2
10 Minyor32112134%77.481.5-4.1
11 Cherno More33112233%81.489.9-8.5
12 Beroe3282425%80.594.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2621211482
Balkan1618202377
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