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Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 113-105
28-29 33-38 26-21 26-17
Position#22
Record10-24
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game100.6
Dallas Mavericks 🏆
USA
vs
Washington Wizards
USA
Position#9
Record16-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards
11 Mar 2027
DAL v WAS
upcoming
24 Oct 2025
DAL107
WAS117
27 Jan 2025
DAL130
WAS108
12 Feb 2024
DAL112
WAS104
24 Jan 2023
DAL126
WAS127
27 Nov 2021
DAL114
WAS120
01 May 2021
DAL125
WAS124
23 Oct 2019
DAL108
WAS100
06 Nov 2018
DAL119
WAS100
22 Jan 2018
DAL98
WAS75
03 Jan 2017
DAL113
WAS105
12 Dec 2015
DAL111
WAS114
30 Dec 2014
DAL114
WAS87
12 Nov 2013
DAL105
WAS95
14 Nov 2012
DAL107
WAS101
13 Mar 2012
DAL107
WAS98
31 Jan 2011
DAL102
WAS92
27 Oct 2009
DAL91
WAS102
07 Mar 2009
DAL119
WAS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 88
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
100-103
100
103
-3
85avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
99-79
99
79
+20
93avg 88
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 88
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
96-95
96
95
+1
79avg 88
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
77avg 88
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
104-111
104
111
-7
99avg 88
A27/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
107-123
107
123
-16
93avg 88
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
101-89
101
89
+12
99avg 88
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
99-108
99
108
-9
84avg 88
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-26
21-17
21-35
29-33
29-31
19-26
23-13
28-21
27-23
21-14
23-21
31-28
27-32
27-33
22-24
30-20
32-18
19-33
15-24
21-24
29-27
18-21
22-16
20-25
33-30
24-30
27-26
31-31
16-35
27-32
33-25
26-27
24-30
31-13
20-19
29-29
19-30
21-32
30-17
199.6Avg total
98.8Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)95.1100.6195.7-5.529%
Season at home (15)95.797.9193.6-2.140%
Season away (19)94.6102.7197.3-8.221%
Last 10 (10)98.8100.8199.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)100.2103.8204.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)93.9107.2201.1-13.39%
vs Similar (19)95.295.5190.7-0.447%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
109-106
109
106
+3
104avg 96
H15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
122-108
122
108
+14
123avg 96
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
117-110
117
110
+7
107avg 96
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
105-107
105
107
-2
94avg 96
A20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
107-97
107
97
+10
102avg 96
A22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
96-123
96
123
-27
86avg 96
A24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
107-102
107
102
+5
106avg 96
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
111-105
111
105
+6
109avg 96
H29/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
118-95
118
95
+23
120avg 96
H31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
83avg 96
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
23-24
38-23
22-29
27-27
38-27
30-23
27-31
28-27
24-28
33-32
32-23
36-29
21-28
22-31
26-19
22-33
33-23
22-21
30-20
29-37
29-36
20-27
18-23
28-27
25-30
29-27
25-18
23-25
35-23
27-26
26-31
31-23
35-27
25-27
27-18
29-14
24-27
17-37
21-23
213.7Avg total
108.3Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)105.2106.0211.2-0.848%
Season at home (19)108.2104.8212.9+3.468%
Season away (14)101.2107.6208.8-6.421%
Last 10 (10)108.3105.4213.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)104.6105.2209.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5109.5212.0-7.00%
vs Similar (19)105.4105.8211.2-0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)106.7103.1209.8+3.667%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
Dallas MavericksWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A31/12
NBA
106.1Avg total
52.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.250.999.1-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.648.697.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)47.853.0100.8-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)52.453.7106.1-1.320%-
Last 5 (5)49.657.6107.2-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.657.9102.5-13.39%-
vs Similar (19)50.246.997.1+3.358%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H29/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A03/01
NBA
111.1Avg total
56.6Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.353.1106.4+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.251.9105.1+1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)53.554.9108.4-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)56.654.5111.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)57.653.8111.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.055.5107.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (19)54.253.8108.0+0.332%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)51.951.0102.9+0.956%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.5
50.0%
50.2%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.5
79.7%
77.0%14.5
They take 81.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.533.1
56.6%
50.2%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.617.5
77.4%
77.0%17.5
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLWWLWLL
Washington Wizards
LWWWLWLWWW
#22
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
+3.0
107.9
Offensive rating
110.2
110.1
Defensive rating
107.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
34.7%
56.8%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 110.2Defence110.1 · 107.3Shooting51.8% · 55.3%3-point %36.5% · 34.7%Ball care11.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds19.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Dallas Mavericks wins
1
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
13/12/15Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards111-114
06/12/15Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks104-116
31/12/14Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards114-87
20/11/14Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks102-105
01/01/14Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks78-87
13/11/13Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards105-95
01/01/13Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks94-103
15/11/12Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards107-101
14/03/12Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards107-98
27/02/11Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks99-105
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16AGolden State Warriors99-108
30/12/16ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
28/12/16HHouston Rockets107-123
27/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans104-111
24/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-88
22/12/16APortland Trail Blazers96-95
20/12/16ADenver Nuggets107-117
18/12/16HSacramento Kings99-79
17/12/16AUtah Jazz100-103
15/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-95
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/17AHouston Rockets91-101
31/12/16HBrooklyn Nets118-95
29/12/16HIndiana Pacers111-105
27/12/16HMilwaukee Bucks107-102
24/12/16AMilwaukee Bucks96-123
22/12/16AChicago Bulls107-97
20/12/16AIndiana Pacers105-107
18/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers117-110
17/12/16HDetroit Pistons122-108
15/12/16HCharlotte Hornets109-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayWWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %29%40%21%
Points / game95.195.794.6
Allowed / game100.697.9102.7
Point differential-5.5-2.1-8.2
Avg total195.7193.6197.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %48%68%21%
Points / game105.2108.2101.2
Allowed / game106.0104.8107.6
Point differential-0.8+3.4-6.4
Avg total211.2212.9208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%16%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)83% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %9%5%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3530586%117.3104.7+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs3427779%105.498.3+7.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3326779%110.3103.0+7.3
4 Houston Rockets3627975%114.6106.7+7.9
5 Toronto Raptors33231070%111.2103.2+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%108.0102.9+5.1
7 Utah Jazz36221461%99.195.1+4.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies36221461%98.697.6+0.9
9 Boston Celtics35211460%106.4104.3+2.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder35211460%106.0104.4+1.6
11 Charlotte Hornets35191654%105.1103.0+2.1
12 Atlanta Hawks34181653%102.3103.9-1.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.9102.4+2.5
14 Indiana Pacers36181850%104.9106.1-1.1
15 Chicago Bulls35171849%101.0100.9+0.1
16 Washington Wizards33161748%105.2106.0-0.8
17 New York Knicks34161847%105.4108.5-3.1
18 Orlando Magic36162044%99.4103.4-4.0
19 Detroit Pistons37162143%99.299.3-0.1
20 Sacramento Kings33141942%101.8104.3-2.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers36152142%107.3110.9-3.6
22 Denver Nuggets34142041%108.2110.2-2.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans36142239%102.3105.5-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers37122532%104.2110.4-6.2
25 Minnesota Timberwolves35112431%103.3105.0-1.6
26 Dallas Mavericks34102429%95.1100.6-5.5
27 Miami Heat35102529%98.4101.9-3.5
28 Phoenix Suns35102529%105.9112.8-6.9
29 Philadelphia 76ers3392427%98.8106.1-7.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3382524%105.5114.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks28332626113
Washington Wizards29382117105
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